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AAOI (33) ALGM (53) FORM (48) CRUS (69) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

MaxLinear Inc. (MXL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$61.33 -9.10% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.21

MaxLinear Inc. (MXL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.14B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MXL Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MXL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, MaxLinear Inc. (NASDAQ: MXL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $61.33 (-9.10% 1D, market cap $6.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MXL ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MXL compare to AAOI and ALGM in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), MXL carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of -19.2%. By comparison, AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.0%, cap $5.86B) and ALGM (Allegro MicroSystems Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.3%, cap $5.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRUS leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while CRUS leads on capital efficiency (20.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MXL?
β–Ό

Per MXL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001288469), MaxLinear Inc. generated $467.6M in revenue (+29.7% YoY), -$136.7M in net income, and $7.0M in free cash flow against $796.4M in total assets and $123.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.21 (-1.83%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (8)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$135 Bull$62 Base$48 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MXL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MXL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MXL SCORES 59/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 10.63 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.5% FCF Margin ($7.0M FCF) & 56.8% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$78.82-3.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$75.79-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$75.14-18.4% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$61.33+0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (67) β†’ C- (59)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MXL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, MXL faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 54.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($77.49) or 200D SMA ($60.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($61.61) toward Bear Floor ($48.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MXLβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMXL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MXL Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MXL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MXL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MXL Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
MXL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.49%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $71.61H $71.61L $61.33C $61.33VOL 2.72M
RES: $108.7SUP: $59.01SMA50: $77.49SMA200: $60.72
$135.9$104.3$72.57$40.88$9.18RES $108.7SUP $59.01$61.332026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MXL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ MXL Butterfly Map β†’ + Track MXL β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +29.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MXL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MXL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MXL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MXL)

Technology Rank #226 of 714 βš”οΈ AAOI vs MXL Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MXL vs. AAOI, ALGM, FORM, CRUS)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MaxLinear Inc. (MXL) ranks #226 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #190 by equity capitalization ($6.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRUS leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while CRUS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.0% ROIC and 52.8% gross margin. CRUS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with MXL at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MXL ACTIVE
MaxLinear Inc.
C- 59/100 β€” 56.8% -19.2% -9.10% $6.14B Benchmark Subject
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 30.0% -8.0% -9.49% $5.86B /aaoi-vs-mxl β†’
ALGM
Allegro MicroSystems Inc.
D+ 53/100 β€” 46.3% 1.3% +5.31% $5.69B /algm-vs-mxl β†’
FORM
FormFactor Inc. FormFactor Inc.
D 48/100 140.1x 39.3% 4.8% -0.26% $6.84B /form-vs-mxl β†’
CRUS
Cirrus Logic Inc.
C+ 69/100 13.8x 52.8% 20.0% +1.51% $5.50B /crus-vs-mxl β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001288469

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MaxLinear Inc. (MXL) reported GAAP revenue of $467.6M (+29.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $360.5M , and -32.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$136.7M, operating cash flow of $19.6M, and free cash flow of $7.0M (+111.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MXL closed FY2025 with $796.4M in total assets against $123.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.63, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $467.6M -$136.7M $19.6M $7.0M $796.4M $123.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $360.5M -$245.2M -$45.3M -$63.0M $864.6M $123.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $693.3M -$73.1M $43.4M $12.2M $3.58B $838.7M

3. MXL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MXL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MaxLinear Inc. (NASDAQ: MXL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $61.33 (-9.10% 1D, market cap $6.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MXL ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MXL compare to AAOI and ALGM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), MXL carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of -19.2%. By comparison, AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.0%, cap $5.86B) and ALGM (Allegro MicroSystems Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.3%, cap $5.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRUS leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while CRUS leads on capital efficiency (20.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MXL?

Per MXL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001288469), MaxLinear Inc. generated $467.6M in revenue (+29.7% YoY), -$136.7M in net income, and $7.0M in free cash flow against $796.4M in total assets and $123.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MXL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MXL last traded at $61.33 (-9.10% on volume of 2,895,022 shares), positioning the stock -20.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($77.49) and +1.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($60.72). Across its 52-week range of $12.77 to $128.30, MXL sits at the 42.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($53.66 to $69.00).

Direct Sub-Reports: MXL RQD Cockpit MXL 12M Forecast MXL Earnings & Move MXL Dividends & DRIP MXL Insiders & 13F MXL Whale Options MXL Profit Sankey MXL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 59/100 (C-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MXL β€” MaxLinear Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MaxLinear Inc. (MXL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $61.33 (-9.10% 1D, market capitalization $6.14B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -19.2%, gross margin of 56.8%, operating margin of -27.1%, and free cash flow yield of 0.11%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.13x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 10.63, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.27x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

MaxLinear Inc. (MXL) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. The reported gross margin of 56.8% and operating margin of -27.1% (market data) indicate a high gross margin before operating expenses.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), MaxLinear Inc. (MXL) reported $467.6M in annual revenue (up from $360.5M in FY2024, +29.7% YoY) and -$136.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($693.3M revenue, -$73.1M net income) through FY2025, MXL scaled operating cash flow to $19.6M and free cash flow to $7.0M, backed by $796.4M in total assets against $123.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C- β€’ RQD 59/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 0.11% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.77 – $128.30 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -27.1% operating margins and a 1.13x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore β€” The only sector context available is the Technology / Semiconductors classification.

  • Key Question #1: Can MXL sustain or expand its -27.1% operating margin and -19.2% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $467.6M and free cash flow of $7.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $123.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MXL's 22.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.13x)?

MXL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MaxLinear Inc. (MXL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MXL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MXL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $61.33?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MXL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MXL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $87.04 (+29.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 10.63, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.27) gives room to fund a turnaround.

The street is overcomplicating MaxLinear Inc. (MXL). Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 10.63, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.27) gives room to fund a turnaround.. With an RQD score of 59/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $72.87.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 22.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (56.8%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $51.95 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $67.47

Negative ROIC (-19.2%), near-zero FCF yield (0.11%), and negative trailing EPS (-1.5) leave a 22 forward P/E resting on an unproven ear

I respect the product at MaxLinear Inc., but the stock at $67.47 is a different story. Negative ROIC (-19.2%), near-zero FCF yield (0.11%), and negative trailing EPS (-1.5) leave a 22 forward P/E resting on an unproven earnings recovery.. FCF yield is 0.11% and RQD sits at 59/100 (C-) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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