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Stock Ratings / Technology / ALGM
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Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$32.15 +5.31% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.40

Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.69B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALGM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (NASDAQ: ALGM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $32.15 (+5.31% 1D, market cap $5.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ALGM ranks #302 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALGM compare to AAOI and CRUS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ALGM carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 46.3%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.0%, cap $5.86B) and CRUS (Cirrus Logic Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 20.0%, cap $5.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRUS leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while CRUS leads on capital efficiency (20.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALGM?
▼

Per ALGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-27, CIK 0000866291), Allegro MicroSystems Inc. generated $890.1M in revenue (+22.8% YoY), -$14.7M in net income, and $124.9M in free cash flow against $1.42B in total assets and $286.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.40 (+0.77%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 14% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$75 Bull$31 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE ALGM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALGM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALGM SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.99 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14% FCF Margin ($124.9M FCF) & 46.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$32.22+7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$34.51+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$35.37-9.1% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$32.15-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALGM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALGM currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.82) and Max Pain ($33.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $75.36.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALGM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALGM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
8.99>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE
L: $22$32.15H: $72
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (46.3% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ALGM

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

1.3% ROIC with 46.3% gross margin and 2.03% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 8.99 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (38)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ALGM
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALGM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALGM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ALGM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.02%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $33.03H $33.03L $30.53C $32.15VOL 5.00M
RES: $35.46SUP: $29.75SMA50: $34.82SMA200: $40.83
$74.69$62.58$50.47$38.35$26.24RES $35.46SUP $29.75$32.152026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALGM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALGM Butterfly Map → + Track ALGM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
11.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALGM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALGM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALGM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALGM)

Technology Rank #302 of 715 ⚔️ AAOI vs ALGM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ALGM vs. AAOI, CRUS, MXL, FORM)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) ranks #302 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #199 by equity capitalization ($5.69B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRUS leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while CRUS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.0% ROIC and 52.8% gross margin. CRUS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ALGM at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALGM ACTIVE
Allegro MicroSystems Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 46.3% 1.3% +5.31% $5.69B Benchmark Subject
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics Inc.
E 33/100 — 30.0% -8.0% -9.49% $5.86B /aaoi-vs-algm →
CRUS
Cirrus Logic Inc.
C+ 69/100 13.8x 52.8% 20.0% +1.51% $5.50B /crus-vs-algm →
MXL
MaxLinear Inc.
C- 59/100 — 56.8% -19.2% -9.10% $6.14B /mxl-vs-algm →
FORM
FormFactor Inc. FormFactor Inc.
D 48/100 140.1x 39.3% 4.8% -0.26% $6.84B /form-vs-algm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-27 • CIK 0000866291 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-27), Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) reported GAAP revenue of $890.1M (+22.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $725.0M , and -15.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.7M, operating cash flow of $163.1M, and free cash flow of $124.9M (+468.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALGM closed FY2025 with $1.42B in total assets against $286.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.99, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-27 $890.1M -$14.7M $163.1M $124.9M $1.42B $286.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-28 $725.0M -$72.8M $61.9M $22.0M $1.44B $374.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-29 $1.05B $152.9M $181.7M $134.5M $3.39B $792.4M

3. ALGM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (NASDAQ: ALGM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $32.15 (+5.31% 1D, market cap $5.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ALGM ranks #302 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALGM compare to AAOI and CRUS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ALGM carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 46.3%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.0%, cap $5.86B) and CRUS (Cirrus Logic Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 20.0%, cap $5.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRUS leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while CRUS leads on capital efficiency (20.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALGM?

Per ALGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-27, CIK 0000866291), Allegro MicroSystems Inc. generated $890.1M in revenue (+22.8% YoY), -$14.7M in net income, and $124.9M in free cash flow against $1.42B in total assets and $286.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALGM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALGM last traded at $32.15 (+5.31% on volume of 3,564,706 shares), positioning the stock -7.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.82) and -21.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($40.83). Across its 52-week range of $22.41 to $71.77, ALGM sits at the 19.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($28.13 to $36.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALGM RQD Cockpit ALGM 12M Forecast ALGM Earnings & Move ALGM Dividends & DRIP ALGM Insiders & 13F ALGM Whale Options ALGM Profit Sankey ALGM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALGM — Allegro MicroSystems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $32.15 (+5.31% 1D, market capitalization $5.69B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.3%, gross margin of 46.3%, operating margin of 2.1%, and free cash flow yield of 2.03%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.13x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.99, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.30x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. The source data reports revenue, gross margin of 46.3%, operating margin of 2.1%, and net margin of -1.6%, but does not detail how these are generated or to whom sales are made.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-27), Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) reported $890.1M in annual revenue (up from $725.0M in FY2024, +22.8% YoY) and -$14.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.05B revenue, $152.9M net income) through FY2025, ALGM scaled operating cash flow to $163.1M and free cash flow to $124.9M, backed by $1.42B in total assets against $286.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.03% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $22.41 – $71.77 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 95.0x EV/EBITDA against 2.1% operating margins and a 1.13x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), ALGM carries a macro regime beta of 1.13 and gross margin of 46.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can ALGM sustain or expand its 2.1% operating margin and 1.3% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $890.1M and free cash flow of $124.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $286.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALGM's 18.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.13x)?

ALGM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALGM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALGM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $32.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALGM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALGM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $36.33 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 8.99, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.3, and FY 2025 operating i

Don't sleep on ALGM's setup in Technology. The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 8.99, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.3, and FY 2025 operating income turned positive at $18.5M alongside $124.9M in FCF.. Beta of 1.13 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (53/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $30.53 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.42 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $30.53

ROIC of 1.3%, an EV/EBITDA of 95, a beta of 1.13, and FY 2025 net income of -$14.7M leave the stock with weak cash returns, low macro-r

Fading this rally in ALGM at $30.53. ROIC of 1.3%, an EV/EBITDA of 95, a beta of 1.13, and FY 2025 net income of -$14.7M leave the stock with weak cash returns, low macro-regime fit, and little valuation cushion.. With a beta of 1.13 and the stock sitting at $30.53 (52-wk range $22.41–$71.77), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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