Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$23.03 -3.23% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.85

Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $830.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Manitowoc Company Inc. (NYSE: MTW) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $23.03 (-3.23% 1D, market cap $830.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MTW ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MTW compare to ASTE and PLOW in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), MTW carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 119.2x, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, ASTE (Astec Industries Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 23.7x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $904.2M) and PLOW (Douglas Dynamics Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $911.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLOW leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTW?
β–Ό

Per MTW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000061986), Manitowoc Company Inc. generated $2.24B in revenue (+2.9% YoY), $7.2M in net income, and -$15.3M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.85 (-0.77%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510046
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$26 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MTW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MTW SCORES 46/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±8.8% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$22.55-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$22.22+1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$22.51+2.3% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$23.03-6.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ D (46)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MTW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While MTW currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.71) and Max Pain ($24.18) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.71.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTWβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMTW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±8.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MTW)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MTW.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTW)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MTW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MTW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.22%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $23.80H $23.80L $23.03C $23.03VOL 351.6K
RES: $25.48SUP: $22.27SMA50: $21.71SMA200: $15.65
$24.89$21.20$17.51$13.82$10.14RES $25.48SUP $22.27$23.032026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTW today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTW)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MTW vs. ASTE, PLOW, HY, WNC)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) ranks #268 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #265 by equity capitalization ($830.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLOW leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. PLOW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with MTW at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MTW ACTIVE
Manitowoc Company Inc.
D 46/100 119.2x 18.1% 6.9% -3.23% $830.5M Benchmark Subject
ASTE
Astec Industries Inc.
D 48/100 23.7x 26.5% 5.6% -1.60% $904.2M /aste-vs-mtw β†’
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics Inc.
C+ 67/100 19.6x 26.6% 20.7% -0.85% $911.3M /plow-vs-mtw β†’
HY
Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 β€” 16.8% -3.7% -2.90% $510.8M /hy-vs-mtw β†’
WNC
Wabash National Corporation
D 49/100 β€” β€” 31.2% -11.46% $478.3M /wnc-vs-mtw β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000061986

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.24B (+2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.18B , and +0.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.2M, operating cash flow of $22.2M, and free cash flow of -$15.3M (-537.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTW closed FY2025 with $1.82B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.24B $7.2M $22.2M -$15.3M $1.82B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.18B $55.8M $49.2M $3.5M $1.66B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.23B $39.2M $63.0M $63.0M β€” β€”

3. MTW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Manitowoc Company Inc. (NYSE: MTW) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $23.03 (-3.23% 1D, market cap $830.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MTW ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MTW compare to ASTE and PLOW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), MTW carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 119.2x, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, ASTE (Astec Industries Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 23.7x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $904.2M) and PLOW (Douglas Dynamics Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $911.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLOW leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTW?

Per MTW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000061986), Manitowoc Company Inc. generated $2.24B in revenue (+2.9% YoY), $7.2M in net income, and -$15.3M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MTW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTW last traded at $23.03 (-3.23% on volume of 351,576 shares), positioning the stock +6.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.71) and +47.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.65). Across its 52-week range of $9.93 to $24.00, MTW sits at the 93.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.8% ($21.00 to $25.06).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 46/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MTW β€” Manitowoc Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MTW scores 47 out of 100, a D grade, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8 / 20): Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 6.9% and FCF yield is -1.78%. For an investor, this pillar is the weakest signal: the business is earning a modest return on capital and is not currently converting earnings into free cash flow on a per-share-value basis.
  • Whale 13F Flow (16 / 20): The RQD rating describes institutional accumulation and options positioning as a relative strength. This is the highest-scoring pillar, suggesting some large holders are positioned constructively despite weak fundamentals.
  • Insider Conviction (4 / 20): The RQD rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scoring low. For a prospective investor, limited insider conviction is a caution flag, not a conclusive negative.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the market and carries cyclical exposure to its sector.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is a middling balance-sheet profile: not distressed, but not strong.

Taken together, the pillars indicate a stock whose valuation (P/E of 119.2 TTM, per market data) is high relative to its reported earnings power, with weak cash generation and a balance sheet that is adequate rather than robust. The upside case rests mainly on institutional positioning and recent price momentum; the downside case rests on cash-flow weakness and the valuation premium. This is an educational framing of the rating, not a recommendation.

Business

Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) is a NYSE-listed company in the Industrials sector, Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks industry, per the company profile.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items are listed for MTW:

  • "The Manitowoc Company Deserves A Lift Even From Here" (Seeking Alpha, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • "Why The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (NYSE:MTW) Could Be Worth Watching" (Simply Wall St, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • "Did Manitowoc's 89% Run Pass You By? What The Bulls Got Right" (Yahoo Finance, GREEN, CATALYST).
  • "(MTW) and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations" (Stock Traders Daily, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • "Why Manitowoc (MTW) Just Dropped -1.50% β€” What to Watch 2026-10-09 - Call Spread Alert" (RED, RISK WATCH).
  • "Manitowoc Is Up 76%, But The Story Isn't Finished" (Simply Wall St, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).

The single GREEN item is a catalyst-tagged article; the single RED item is a risk-watch article referencing a call-spread alert and a daily decline. The remaining items are market-wire coverage. Per the news feed, the headlines reference a large prior-period run-up. The news summaries are generic and do not disclose specific fundamental events. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Industrials, industry is Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks, supply chain is recorded as "NONE," and no butterfly links are present. Investors should note that the absence of recorded links means the source data cannot establish second-order dependencies; any assessment of such ripples would require information outside this dataset.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific drivers of the decline from $55.8M net income in FY 2024 to $7.2M in FY 2025, and is the operating income decline ($51.8M to $53.8M, an increase) reconciled by below-the-line items?
  • What is the company's debt level and maturity profile, given that debt figures are reported as N/A for all periods?
  • What explains the gap between a P/E of 119.2 and EPS of 0.2, and how does forward P/E of 110.9 reflect expected earnings?
  • What are the sector and customer exposures that would determine how the stock responds to cyclical demand in construction and agriculture?
  • What specific positions and sizes underlie the institutional accumulation and options activity cited in the RQD rating?

MTW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MTW Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MTW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $23.03?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MTW 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MTW:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $25.70 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MTW (D β€’ RQD 47/100) a Buy at $23.80?

Welcome to the MTW (Manitowoc Company Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (119.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.75 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $23.80

Pump the brakes on MTW β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MTW, but look at what you are paying: 119.2x trailing P/E with 18.1% gross margins. Unless Manitowoc Company Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.75 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $23.80

MTW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MTW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $23.80 (52-wk range $9.93 - $24.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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