Matrix Service Company (MTRX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.7% Move

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MTRX carries an RQD Score of 28 and a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars score as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 4/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 5/20 (Altman Z 1.25; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Every pillar sits in the bottom half of its range, so no single component offsets the others. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on a cash-generation recovery that the source data does not confirm: reported free cash flow rose from $10.2M to $65.6M to $109.8M across the three filings, yet the FCF yield is shown as 0% in market data and ROIC is -35%. That gap between cash flow and return on capital is the central valuation tradeoff. The forensic metrics (Altman Z of 1.25 and Piotroski F of 4/9) point to elevated financial-distress and weak-quality risk, which is why the rating frames the stock as a forensic-risk avoid rather than a turnaround candidate. Investors weighing the name should treat the pillar scores as a diagnostic summary of present conditions, not as a prediction of price direction.

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating and net losses in each listed period, with operating margin at -4.6%, net margin at -3.8%, and gross margin at 5.2% per market data. ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.25 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9 per the Roarable RQD rating, both consistent with a weak forensic profile. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same rating. Cash rose from $156.8M to $199.0M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while free cash flow also rose, though the source data does not provide debt amounts, so the balance-sheet picture is only partially resolved.

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, five items were published within the prior 15 hours, each tagged to MTRX. Four are flagged YELLOW under the "MARKET WIRE" label and one is flagged RED under "RISK WATCH." The headlines reference general market-data pages, an institutional-positioning item (a reported reduction in position by Azarias Capital Management L.P.), a Seeking Alpha piece titled around the company's contract wins and share-price requirements, a Stock Titan item reporting the appointment of a new finance chief, and a Yahoo Finance note framing both reasons to watch and reasons for caution. The RED-flagged item is the MarketBeat report on the reduced institutional stake, which the feed categorizes as the sole risk-watch entry. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain linkage ("NONE") and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-graph catalysts are available.

• What are the company's debt obligations and interest expense, given that debt is listed as N/A in every reported period?
• Why does reported free cash flow rise sharply across the three periods while ROIC remains at -35% and net income remains negative?
• What are the company's customers, end markets, and contract backlog, given the profile offers only sector and industry labels?
• What explains the difference between reported cash-based metrics and the 0% FCF yield shown in market data?
• Which institutional holders, insiders, or analysts are active in the name, given that the holders and analyst feeds are empty?