Are MOMO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies MOMO leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Stock Ratings / Technology / MOMO / insiders

CCSI (69) VTEX (65) CGNT (53) RCAT (32) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$4.44 +1.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.44

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $648.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MOMO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MOMO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MOMO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $4.44 (+1.14% 1D, market cap $648.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MOMO ranks #261 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MOMO compare to CCSI and VTEX in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MOMO carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.8%, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, CCSI (Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $684.3M) and VTEX (VTEX (Class A)) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 34.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $688.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOMO?

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Per MOMO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001610601), Hello Group Inc. generated $1.48B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.97B in total assets and $448.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.44 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MOMO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MOMO SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.7% FCF Margin ($98.8M FCF) & 37.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$4.75-2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$4.65-4.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$4.45-0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$4.44-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MOMO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, MOMO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 35.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.90) or 200D SMA ($5.80) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.42) toward Bear Floor ($3.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MOMO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MOMO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MOMO Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MOMO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MOMO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MOMO)

✓Walkthrough of MOMO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MOMO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.73%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $4.44H $4.44L $4.39C $4.44VOL 576.3K

RES: $5.50SUP: $4.34SMA50: $4.90SMA200: $5.80

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MOMO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MOMO Butterfly Map → + Track MOMO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MOMO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MOMO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MOMO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MOMO)

Technology Rank #261 of 715 ⚔️ CCSI vs MOMO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MOMO vs. CCSI, VTEX, CGNT, RCAT)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) ranks #261 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #399 by equity capitalization ($648.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCSI leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while CCSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.2% ROIC and 79.8% gross margin. CCSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with MOMO at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MOMO ACTIVE Hello Group Inc.	D+	57/100	—	37.8%	18.6%	+1.14%	$648.6M	Benchmark Subject
CCSI Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.	C+	69/100	8.2x	79.8%	24.2%	-3.67%	$684.3M	/ccsi-vs-momo →
VTEX VTEX (Class A)	C	65/100	34.8x	77.5%	6.6%	0.00%	$688.5M	/vtex-vs-momo →
CGNT Cognyte Software Ltd.	D+	53/100	—	72.4%	11.7%	-4.52%	$702.8M	/cgnt-vs-momo →
RCAT Red Cat Holdings Inc.	E	32/100	—	3.1%	-21.4%	-3.89%	$707.1M	/rcat-vs-momo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001610601 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.45B , and -12.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $169.2M, and free cash flow of $98.8M (-46.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MOMO closed FY2025 with $1.97B in total assets against $448.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.49, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.48B	$0	$169.2M	$98.8M	$1.97B	$448.0K
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.45B	$0	$224.7M	$185.6M	$2.52B	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.69B	$0	$320.7M	$320.7M	—	—

3. MOMO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MOMO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MOMO compare to CCSI and VTEX in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOMO?

Where is MOMO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MOMO last traded at $4.44 (+1.14% on volume of 639,911 shares), positioning the stock -9.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.90) and -23.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.80). Across its 52-week range of $4.36 to $7.25, MOMO sits at the 2.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($4.23 to $4.65).

Direct Sub-Reports: MOMO RQD Cockpit MOMO 12M Forecast MOMO Earnings & Move MOMO Dividends & DRIP MOMO Insiders & 13F MOMO Whale Options MOMO Profit Sankey MOMO News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MOMO — Hello Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.44 (+1.14% 1D, market capitalization $648.6M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 18.6%, gross margin of 37.8%, operating margin of 13.1%, and free cash flow yield of 15.05%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.49, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Hello Group Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1.48B. — for the specific monetization mechanics.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) reported $1.48B in annual revenue (up from $1.45B in FY2024, +2.4% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.69B revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, MOMO scaled operating cash flow to $169.2M and free cash flow to $98.8M, backed by $1.97B in total assets against $448.0K in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 15.05% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.36 – $7.25 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation against 13.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain field is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. The graph therefore identifies no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations beyond the Technology / Prepackaged Software classification, and no 2nd-order bottlenecks.

Key Question #1: Can MOMO sustain or expand its 13.1% operating margin and 18.6% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.48B and free cash flow of $98.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $448.0K in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is MOMO's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MOMO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MOMO Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 22h ago

Stock grants vested on three dates as Hello Group (MOMO) director acquired 1,563 depositary shares each day.

Stock Titan report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

3 Penny Stocks Trading Up To 63% Below Fair Value

Yahoo Finance report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Hello Gr Reports Q2 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript

Benzinga report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

BAB And 2 Other Penny Stocks To Watch

Simply Wall St report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

3 Promising Penny Stocks With Market Caps Over $200M

Simply Wall St report covering Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MOMO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.44?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MOMO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.22 (+18.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A 15.05% FCF yield and 18.6% ROIC show strong cash generation at a $4.44 price.

Don't sleep on MOMO's setup in Technology. A 15.05% FCF yield and 18.6% ROIC show strong cash generation at a $4.44 price.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (57/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — MOMO's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.56 (-18.9%)

Spot @ $4.39

Zero reported net income across all periods and a 3-of-20 whale flow score point to weak bottom-line profitability and limited institut

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on MOMO: Zero reported net income across all periods and a 3-of-20 whale flow score point to weak bottom-line profitability and limited institutional conviction.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software triggers a 12-15% air pocket.