How profitable is McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), MKC converted $6.8B of revenue into a 37.9% gross margin, 15.7% operating margin, and $654.4M in free cash flow (9.6% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / MKC / financials

SJM (58) GIS (53) DAR (55) BG (32) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$47.29 +1.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.29

McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $12.72B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MKC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MKC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, McCormick & Company Incorporated (NYSE: MKC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $47.29 (+1.05% 1D, market cap $12.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MKC ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MKC compare to SJM and GIS in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MKC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.0x, gross margin of 37.9%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, SJM (The J.M. Smucker Company) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.8%, cap $13.88B) and GIS (General Mills Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.8%, cap $18.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKC leads on earnings multiple (16.0x) while MKC leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKC?

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Per MKC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000063754), McCormick & Company Incorporated generated $6.84B in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $789.4M in net income, and $654.4M in free cash flow against $13.20B in total assets and $3.11B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.29 (+0.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 9.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MKC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MKC SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.12 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$44.80+3.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$46.32-0.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$46.06+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C$47.29+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MKC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, MKC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 35.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($48.57) or 200D SMA ($53.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.35) toward Bear Floor ($37.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MKC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MKC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How MKC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$654.4M (9.6% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $6.66B

FY24

Rev $6.72B

FY25

Rev $6.84B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$6.84B	37.9%	15.7%	$789.4M	$654.4M	9.7%
FY 2024	$6.72B	38.5%	15.8%	$788.5M	$619.3M	9.6%
FY 2023	$6.66B	37.9%	14.5%	$680.6M	$937.5M	15.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MKC)

✓Walkthrough of MKC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MKC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.52%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $46.80H $47.29L $46.80C $47.29VOL 4.30M

RES: $48.46SUP: $40.29SMA50: $48.57SMA200: $53.04

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MKC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MKC Butterfly Map → + Track MKC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MKC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MKC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MKC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MKC)

Consumer Staples Rank #37 of 147 ⚔️ SJM vs MKC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (MKC vs. SJM, GIS, DAR, BG)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) ranks #37 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #29 by equity capitalization ($12.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MKC leads on earnings valuation at 16.0x trailing P/E, while MKC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and 37.9% gross margin. MKC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MKC ACTIVE McCormick & Company Incorporated	C	63/100	16.0x	37.9%	9.7%	+1.05%	$12.72B	Benchmark Subject
SJM The J.M. Smucker Company	D+	58/100	—	33.5%	2.8%	+2.88%	$13.88B	/sjm-vs-mkc →
GIS General Mills Inc.	D+	53/100	—	33.6%	3.8%	+2.91%	$18.33B	/gis-vs-mkc →
DAR Darling Ingredients Inc.	D+	55/100	138.6x	24.0%	3.1%	+1.05%	$8.79B	/dar-vs-mkc →
BG Bunge Limited	E	32/100	22.6x	20.1%	3.3%	+0.65%	$18.57B	/bg-vs-mkc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0000063754 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.84B (+1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.72B , and +2.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $789.4M, operating cash flow of $962.2M, and free cash flow of $654.4M (+5.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MKC closed FY2025 with $13.20B in total assets against $3.11B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.12, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-11-30	$6.84B	$789.4M	$962.2M	$654.4M	$13.20B	$3.11B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-11-30	$6.72B	$788.5M	$921.9M	$619.3M	$13.07B	$3.59B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-11-30	$6.66B	$680.6M	$1.24B	$937.5M	$7.99B	$1.87B

3. MKC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MKC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MKC compare to SJM and GIS in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKC?

Where is MKC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MKC last traded at $47.29 (+1.05% on volume of 4,298,954 shares), positioning the stock -2.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($48.57) and -10.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.04). Across its 52-week range of $43.25 to $72.41, MKC sits at the 13.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($44.88 to $49.70).

Direct Sub-Reports: MKC RQD Cockpit MKC 12M Forecast MKC Earnings & Move MKC Dividends & DRIP MKC Insiders & 13F MKC Whale Options MKC Profit Sankey MKC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MKC — McCormick & Company Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-11-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $47.29 (+1.05% 1D, market capitalization $12.72B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.7%, gross margin of 37.9%, operating margin of 15.7%, and free cash flow yield of 5.20%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.05x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.12, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.54x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, Packaged Foods industry. Per the financials, the company reports annual revenue of $6.84B for FY 2025. Revenue, customer base, and specific product lines are — The profile does not describe how the company sells to its customers or specific revenue-model details beyond sector classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-11-30), McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) reported $6.84B in annual revenue (up from $6.72B in FY2024, +1.7% YoY) and $789.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.66B revenue, $680.6M net income) through FY2025, MKC scaled operating cash flow to $962.2M and free cash flow to $654.4M, backed by $13.20B in total assets against $3.11B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 5.20% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $43.25 – $72.41 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 16.0x trailing P/E and 11.7x EV/EBITDA against 15.7% operating margins and a 1.05x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream dependencies, downstream customers, and sector correlations are — The only sector context is the Consumer Staples / Packaged Foods classification. A prospective investor should note that the graph provides no second-order ripple mapping for MKC.

Key Question #1: Can MKC sustain or expand its 15.7% operating margin and 9.7% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.84B and free cash flow of $654.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.11B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is MKC's 14.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.05x)?

MKC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MKC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $47.29?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MKC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $57.69 (+22.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 17 / 20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, alongside a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

Picked up a starter position in MKC in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $47.29. Insider conviction scores 17 / 20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, alongside a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.. Trading inside a $43.25–$72.41 52-week range with 5.2% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Packaged Foods multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 63/100 quality, though with 1.05 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $47.29 and keeping dry powder in case we test $43.98.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.36 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $47.29

Whale 13F flow scores only 7 / 20 and FCF declined from $937.5M in FY 2023 to $654.4M in FY 2025.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on MKC: Whale 13F flow scores only 7 / 20 and FCF declined from $937.5M in FY 2023 to $654.4M in FY 2025.. At 16.0x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.