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Why MGLD Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.97 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.97

The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $84.1M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MGLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, The Marygold Companies Inc. (NYSE: MGLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (0.00% 1D, market cap $84.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MGLD ranks #929 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MGLD compare to PFX and JFIN in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), MGLD carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.1%. By comparison, PFX (PhenixFIN Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 2.7%, cap $84.4M) and JFIN (Jiayin Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.1%, cap $84.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while JFIN leads on capital efficiency (29.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGLD?
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Per MGLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001005101), The Marygold Companies Inc. generated $23.4M in revenue (-28.6% YoY), -$5.8M in net income, and -$3.4M in free cash flow against $27.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.97 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (14)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
$2 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE MGLD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MGLD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MGLD SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 88% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$2.00-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$1.97+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$1.97+0% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$1.97-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MGLD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MGLD currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.53) and Max Pain ($2.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MGLD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MGLD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why MGLD Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) slipped 0.00% to $1.97, trading at 88% of its 52-week range ($0.84 – $2.12). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 88% of its 52-week range ($0.84 – $2.12) with RSI-14 at 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±2% around $1.97 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live MGLD Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 18d ago
Exclusive: USCF May Be Up for Grabs After Marygold Sale

Simplify Asset Management, which has made multiple bids for Marygold, said it was approached by Marygold’s incoming CEO about a potential deal for USCF Investments after the larger entity is acquired by Madison Dearborn.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MGLD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MGLD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MGLD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +74.34%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.97H $1.97L $1.97C $1.97VOL 161.4K
RES: $2.43SUP: $0.82SMA50: $1.53SMA200: $1.21
$2.21$1.85$1.50$1.14$0.79RES $2.43SUP $0.82$1.972026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -28.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGLD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGLD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGLD)

Financials Rank #929 of 1097 ⚔️ PFX vs MGLD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MGLD vs. PFX, JFIN, BMHL, SUIG)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) ranks #929 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #980 by equity capitalization ($84.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PFX leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while JFIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.1% ROIC and — gross margin. JFIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with MGLD at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MGLD ACTIVE
The Marygold Companies Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -29.1% 0.00% $84.1M Benchmark Subject
PFX
PhenixFIN Corporation
D- 43/100 20.3x — 2.7% -0.47% $84.4M /pfx-vs-mgld →
JFIN
Jiayin Group Inc.
D+ 58/100 — — 29.1% +0.62% $84.8M /jfin-vs-mgld →
BMHL
Bluemount Holdings Limited (Class B)
D 45/100 — — — -5.88% $86.8M /bmhl-vs-mgld →
SUIG
Sui Group Holdings Limited
E 20/100 — — -35.0% 0.00% $79.1M /suig-vs-mgld →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001005101 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) reported GAAP revenue of $23.4M (-28.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $32.8M , and -32.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.8M, operating cash flow of -$3.3M, and free cash flow of -$3.4M (-71.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGLD closed FY2025 with $27.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $23.4M -$5.8M -$3.3M -$3.4M $27.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $32.8M -$4.1M -$1.9M -$2.0M $33.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $34.9M $1.2M $1.9M $1.9M — —

3. MGLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MGLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The Marygold Companies Inc. (NYSE: MGLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (0.00% 1D, market cap $84.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MGLD ranks #929 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MGLD compare to PFX and JFIN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), MGLD carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.1%. By comparison, PFX (PhenixFIN Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 2.7%, cap $84.4M) and JFIN (Jiayin Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.1%, cap $84.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while JFIN leads on capital efficiency (29.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGLD?

Per MGLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001005101), The Marygold Companies Inc. generated $23.4M in revenue (-28.6% YoY), -$5.8M in net income, and -$3.4M in free cash flow against $27.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MGLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MGLD last traded at $1.97 (0.00% on volume of 14,989 shares), positioning the stock +28.76% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.53) and +62.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.21). Across its 52-week range of $0.84 to $2.12, MGLD sits at the 88.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.0% ($1.93 to $2.01).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MGLD — The Marygold Companies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 39/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.97 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $84.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -29.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -29.2%, and free cash flow yield of -4.01%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (MGLD) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Finance: Consumer Services industry. Sector and industry classification are the only business descriptors available in source data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) reported $23.4M in annual revenue (up from $32.8M in FY2024, -28.6% YoY) and -$5.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($34.9M revenue, $1.2M net income) through FY2025, MGLD scaled operating cash flow to -$3.3M and free cash flow to -$3.4M, backed by $27.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 39/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -4.01% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.84 – $2.12 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -29.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependency mapping, no sector correlation figures beyond the Beta of 1.0, and no identified 2nd-order bottlenecks. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links is a data limitation rather than evidence of an absence of dependencies.

  • Key Question #1: Can MGLD sustain or expand its -29.2% operating margin and -29.1% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $23.4M and free cash flow of -$3.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MGLD's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MGLD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MGLD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MGLD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MGLD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MGLD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.60 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) and a Beta of 1.0 indicate the company is not presently signaling acute solvency

Long MGLD at $1.97 targeting $2.60. Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) and a Beta of 1.0 indicate the company is not presently signaling acute solvency distress.. Institutional whale score is 14/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $0.84 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Finance: Consumer Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.62 (-17.8%)
Spot @ $1.97

Revenue fell from $34.9M to $23.4M while operating income swung from $1.4M to -$6.8M, with ROIC at -29.1% and FCF yield at -4.01%.

Fading this rally in MGLD at $1.97. Revenue fell from $34.9M to $23.4M while operating income swung from $1.4M to -$6.8M, with ROIC at -29.1% and FCF yield at -4.01%.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.97 (52-wk range $0.84–$2.12), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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