Stock Ratings / Financials / MFIC / forecast

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MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$10.36 -0.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.33

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $853.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MFIC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MFIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (NASDAQ: MFIC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $10.36 (-0.38% 1D, market cap $853.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MFIC ranks #922 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MFIC compare to AEF and AIO in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), MFIC carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.8%. By comparison, AEF (abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $867.5M) and AIO (Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $818.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIC leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while MFIC leads on capital efficiency (4.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MFIC?

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Per MFIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001278752), MidCap Financial Investment Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $63.2M in net income, and -$49.7M in free cash flow against $3.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.33 (-0.26%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MFIC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MFIC SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$8.42-1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$8.26+24.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$10.26+1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$10.36-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MFIC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MFIC currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.07) and Max Pain ($10.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MFIC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MFIC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MFIC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $10.36: 965.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.39

$7,133

$-2,867 (-28.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.47

$9,141

$-859 (-8.6%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $12.96

$12,510

+$2,510 (+25.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$10	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$12	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$8	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MFIC)

✓Walkthrough of MFIC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MFIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.52%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $10.40H $10.40L $10.36C $10.36VOL 1.58M

RES: $10.42SUP: $7.93SMA50: $9.07SMA200: $10.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MFIC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MFIC Butterfly Map → + Track MFIC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

5.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MFIC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MFIC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MFIC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MFIC)

Financials Rank #922 of 1096 ⚔️ AEF vs MFIC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MFIC vs. AEF, AIO, PDX, FDUS)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) ranks #922 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #585 by equity capitalization ($853.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFIC leads on earnings valuation at 13.6x trailing P/E, while MFIC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PDX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with MFIC at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MFIC ACTIVE MidCap Financial Investment Corporation	D-	39/100	13.6x	—	4.8%	-0.38%	$853.4M	Benchmark Subject
AEF abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	—	-3.46%	$867.5M	/aef-vs-mfic →
AIO Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of	D	44/100	—	—	—	-1.45%	$818.7M	/aio-vs-mfic →
PDX PIMCO Dynamic Income Strategy Fund of	D	50/100	—	—	—	+0.63%	$931.2M	/pdx-vs-mfic →
FDUS Fidus Investment Corporation	D-	39/100	—	—	—	-0.67%	$732.9M	/fdus-vs-mfic →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001278752

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $63.2M, operating cash flow of -$49.7M, and free cash flow of -$49.7M (-421.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MFIC closed FY2025 with $3.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$63.2M	-$49.7M	-$49.7M	$3.32B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$98.8M	-$9.5M	-$9.5M	$3.19B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$118.8M	$196.4M	$196.4M	—	—

3. MFIC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MFIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MFIC compare to AEF and AIO in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MFIC?

Where is MFIC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MFIC last traded at $10.36 (-0.38% on volume of 1,576,831 shares), positioning the stock +14.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.07) and +0.97% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.26). Across its 52-week range of $8.11 to $12.34, MFIC sits at the 53.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 76.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($9.92 to $10.80).

MFIC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MFIC's 12-month stock price target?

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $9.47 (-8.6% from $10.36), with a bull-case target of $12.96 and a bear-case floor of $7.39.

Is MFIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MFIC D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 39/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: MFIC RQD Cockpit MFIC 12M Forecast MFIC Earnings & Move MFIC Dividends & DRIP MFIC Insiders & 13F MFIC Whale Options MFIC Profit Sankey MFIC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MFIC — MidCap Financial Investment Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MFIC scores 40 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC 4.8%; FCF yield -5.81%), Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 7/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is cash generation: the negative FCF yield and a 4.8% ROIC signal that the business is not currently converting capital into free cash at a rate the rating system rewards. The forensic profile is also weak on the Piotroski scale (1/9), even though the Altman Z of 2.5 and Debt/Equity of 0.5 are less alarming. The stronger pillar is institutional flow at 12/20, which suggests some positioning interest, though the rating does not translate that into a clear directional thesis. The upside case rests on the flow and news-driven catalysts; the valuation tradeoff is that a 13.6x trailing P/E sits against a weak cash-flow profile, so earnings quality is a central question.

Business

MFIC is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, classified under the Finance/Investors Services industry. Per the company profile, its market capitalization is $0.9B. The source data does not describe the company's products, customer base, or specific revenue model. Revenue and margin fields in the market data are reported as $0.0M and 0%, respectively, which the source data does not explain further.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$0.0M	$63.2M	N/A	$-49.7M	$98.2M	N/A
FY 2024	$0.0M	$0.0M	$98.8M	N/A	$-9.5M	$74.4M	N/A
FY 2023	$0.0M	$0.0M	$118.8M	N/A	$196.4M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income declined from $118.8M (FY 2023) to $98.8M (FY 2024) and $63.2M (FY 2025), while FCF moved from $196.4M to $-9.5M and then $-49.7M. Operating and gross margins are reported as 0%, so margin trend cannot be assessed from the source. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 4.8%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Cash rose from $74.4M to $98.2M over FY 2024 to FY 2025 even as FCF was negative.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The dominant catalyst in the news wire is a reported acquisition of MFIC by Ares Capital Corporation in a transaction described as $2.6 billion, appearing across multiple outlets (Yahoo Finance, Dealroom, citybiz). Headlines describe Ares Capital "agreeing to acquire" MFIC and frame the deal as extending a BDC lead. Other items include a Seeking Alpha piece referencing "100% Floating Rate Exposure" as a catalyst and a Moomoo options-chain page. All news items are tagged YELLOW with the impact label "MARKET WIRE." The source data does not provide deal terms, price per share, closing timeline, or regulatory conditions, and the news items do not contain these details in the material provided. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source. The only sector-level context provided is the Financials / Finance/Investors Services classification and the beta of 1.0. The source does not establish sector correlations or 2nd-order bottlenecks. Investors should watch whether the reported Ares Capital transaction, if completed, alters the ownership and valuation framework for MFIC, though the source data does not confirm this.

Open Questions

What are the terms, price per share, and expected closing timeline of the reported Ares Capital acquisition?
What drives the negative FCF in FY 2024 and FY 2025 despite positive reported net income, and how does this reconcile with the cash balance increase?
What is MFIC's revenue and operating income, given that these fields are reported as $0.0M in the source?
What is the EV/EBITDA and debt level, since both are unreported in the source data?
What institutional, insider, or congressional holdings exist, given that the holders section is empty?

MFIC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MFIC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

Why Is Ares Capital Acquiring MidCap Financial Investment Corporation in a $2.6 Billion Transaction?

Yahoo Finance report covering MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Ares Capital Corporation Agrees to Acquire MidCap Financial Investment Corporation

Yahoo Finance report covering MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation(MFIC) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News

Moomoo report covering MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Dealroom • 1d ago

Ares Capital to buy MidCap Financial in $2.6B deal to extend BDC lead

Dealroom report covering MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

MidCap Financial: 100% Floating Rate Exposure A Catalyst (NASDAQ:MFIC)

Seeking Alpha report covering MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE citybiz • 1d ago

Ares Capital to Acquire MidCap Financial Investment in $2.6 Billion Deal

citybiz report covering MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Ares Capital to Merge With MidCap Financial in $10.88-Per-Share Deal

TradingView report covering MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 1d ago

Ares Capital is Making a $2.6 Billion Acquisition. Here’s What it Means for its 10%-Yielding Dividend.

The Motley Fool report covering MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MFIC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.36?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MFIC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.15 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MFIC (D- • RQD 40/100) a Buy at $10.40?

Welcome to the MFIC (MidCap Financial Investment Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Finance/Investors Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.01 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $10.40

Pump the brakes on MFIC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MFIC, but look at what you are paying: 13.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless MidCap Financial Investment Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.06 (+16.0%)

Spot @ $10.40

MFIC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MFIC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance/Investors Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.40 (52-wk range $8.11 - $12.34), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.