What is LW's 12-month stock price target?

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $61.67 (+9% from $56.58), with a bull-case target of $72.77 and a bear-case floor of $46.4.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / LW / forecast

CAG (49) CPB (63) DAR (55) INGR (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is LW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates LW B+ (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 78/100.

$56.58 +4.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $57.19

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (20.6% gross margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $7.45B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $56.58 (+4.62% 1D, market cap $7.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, LW ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LW compare to CAG and CPB in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), LW carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.3x, gross margin of 20.6%, and ROIC of 14.8%. By comparison, CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.96B) and CPB (The Campbell's Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LW?

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Per LW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001679273), Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. generated $6.61B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $290.0M in net income, and $540.2M in free cash flow against $7.33B in total assets and $1.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $57.19 (+1.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 8.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LW SCORES 78/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.2% FCF Margin ($540.2M FCF) & 20.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 6 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$53.02+0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$53.11+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$53.49+5.8% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$56.58+7.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → B+ (78)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, LW faces multiple-compression risk if 25.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 18.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.85) or 200D SMA ($46.75) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($61.67) toward Bear Floor ($46.40).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 78%NO 22%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $56.58: 176.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $46.40

$8,201

$-1,799 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $61.67

$10,900

+$900 (+9.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $72.77

$12,861

+$2,861 (+28.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$64	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	STRONG BUY	$68	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$54	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LW Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +33.00%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-03O $53.29H $56.58L $53.29C $56.58VOL 1.68M

RES: $55.40SUP: $40.73SMA50: $49.85SMA200: $46.75

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LW Butterfly Map → + Track LW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

19.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LW)

Consumer Staples Rank #4 of 147 ⚔️ CAG vs LW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (LW vs. CAG, CPB, DAR, INGR)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) ranks #4 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #35 by equity capitalization ($7.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while INGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. LW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 78/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LW ACTIVE Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.	B+	78/100	25.3x	20.6%	14.8%	+4.62%	$7.45B	Benchmark Subject
CAG ConAgra Brands Inc.	D	49/100	—	23.9%	-10.0%	+1.51%	$6.96B	/cag-vs-lw →
CPB The Campbell's Company	C	63/100	10.4x	30.4%	10.8%	+3.36%	$6.39B	/cpb-vs-lw →
DAR Darling Ingredients Inc.	D+	55/100	138.6x	24.0%	3.1%	-3.07%	$8.79B	/dar-vs-lw →
INGR Ingredion Incorporated	C	63/100	8.3x	25.3%	16.1%	+2.02%	$6.12B	/ingr-vs-lw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0001679273 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) reported GAAP revenue of $6.61B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.45B , and +2.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $290.0M, operating cash flow of $942.9M, and free cash flow of $540.2M (+134.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LW closed FY2025 with $7.33B in total assets against $1.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.07, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-05-31	$6.61B	$290.0M	$942.9M	$540.2M	$7.33B	$1.72B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-05-25	$6.45B	$357.0M	$868.3M	$230.1M	$7.45B	$1.74B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-05-26	$6.47B	$726.0M	$798.2M	$507.2M	$7.76B	$1.82B

3. LW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does LW compare to CAG and CPB in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LW?

Where is LW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LW last traded at $56.58 (+4.62% on volume of 2,409,915 shares), positioning the stock +13.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($49.85) and +21.03% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.75). Across its 52-week range of $37.62 to $63.07, LW sits at the 74.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($53.13 to $60.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: LW RQD Cockpit LW 12M Forecast LW Earnings & Move LW Dividends & DRIP LW Insiders & 13F LW Whale Options LW Profit Sankey LW News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 78/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LW — Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-05-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 78/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $56.58 (+4.62% 1D, market capitalization $7.45B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.8%, gross margin of 20.6%, operating margin of 8.9%, and free cash flow yield of 7.36%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.01x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.07, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.84x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Consumer Staples. Industry: Packaged Foods. Exchange: NYSE. The source data describes Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. As a NYSE-listed Consumer Staples issuer operating in Packaged Foods with a market capitalization of $7.3B. —: the specific products sold, customer base, and revenue model descriptions.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-05-31), Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) reported $6.61B in annual revenue (up from $6.45B in FY2024, +2.5% YoY) and $290.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.47B revenue, $726.0M net income) through FY2025, LW scaled operating cash flow to $942.9M and free cash flow to $540.2M, backed by $7.33B in total assets against $1.72B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 78/100): Strong cash generator (20.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $37.62 – $63.07 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 25.3x trailing P/E and 9.4x EV/EBITDA against 8.9% operating margins and a 1.01x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Packaged Foods (Consumer Staples), LW carries a macro regime beta of 1.01 and gross margin of 20.6%.

Key Question #1: Can LW sustain or expand its 8.9% operating margin and 14.8% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.61B and free cash flow of $540.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.72B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is LW's 23.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.01x)?

LW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LW Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Lamb Weston (LW) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why

Yahoo Finance report covering Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investopedia • 1d ago

Lamb Weston Stock Pops After Frozen Potato Firm Lifts Full-Year Outlook

Investopedia report covering Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Lamb Weston Stock Rallies 13% Since Q1 Earnings: What's Next for LW?

Yahoo Finance report covering Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Lamb Weston (LW) Soars 5.9%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?

Yahoo Finance report covering Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW) Surprises With Q3 CY2026 Sales

Yahoo Finance report covering Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Earnings Estimates Rising for Lamb Weston (LW): Will It Gain?

Yahoo Finance report covering Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Lamb Weston: Fiscal Q1 Earnings Snapshot

Yahoo Finance report covering Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Lamb Weston Holdings Announces Quarterly Dividend

Yahoo Finance report covering Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $56.58?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $70.30 (+30.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 14.8% ROIC and 7.36% FCF yield anchor a 17/20 cash engine score, the strongest pillar.

Here is why I am bullish on LW here at $54.08: Per the RQD rating, a 14.8% ROIC and 7.36% FCF yield anchor a 17/20 cash engine score, the strongest pillar.. Compare LW's 8.9% operating margin and 14.8% ROIC against the rest of Packaged Foods. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $51.38 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on 25.3x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Packaged Foods. If gross margin (20.6%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $43.80 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $54.08

Operating income fell from $1.07B in FY 2023 to $591.1M in FY 2025 while trailing P/E sits at 25.3.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short LW above $54.08. Operating income fell from $1.07B in FY 2023 to $591.1M in FY 2025 while trailing P/E sits at 25.3.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20) and FCF yield (7.36%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $63.07.