Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.8% Move

$12.45 -3.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.36

Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.70B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LION stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lionsgate Studios Corp (NYSE: LION) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $12.45 (-3.11% 1D, market cap $3.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, LION ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LION compare to CNK and AMC in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), LION carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 25.1%. By comparison, CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 33.6x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $4.54B) and AMC (AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $2.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNK leads on earnings multiple (33.6x) while LION leads on capital efficiency (25.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LION?
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Per LION's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0002052959), Lionsgate Studios Corp generated $2.63B in revenue (+1.8% YoY), -$198.3M in net income, and $11.4M in free cash flow against $5.24B in total assets and $1.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.36 (-0.75%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 0.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D
Cash (15)Whales (13)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$18 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE LION RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LION)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LION SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.4% FCF Margin ($11.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$10.89+16.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$12.68-3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$12.20+2% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$12.45+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LION Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, LION faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.49) or 200D SMA ($11.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.45) toward Bear Floor ($9.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LION• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LION Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.8% Swing Band

±$1.22 Expected Swing
$11.23 (-9.8%)Spot $12.45$13.67 (+9.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LION Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $-0.67 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.8%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-03-31$2.63B-$198.3M$11.4M52%
FY 20242025-03-31$2.58B-$362.0M-$179.5M52%
FY 20232024-03-31$2.45B-$1.10B$286.5M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LION)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LION's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LION // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $12.85H $12.85L $12.45C $12.45VOL 2.70M
RES: $13.02SUP: $10.04SMA50: $11.49SMA200: $11.68
$17.30$14.80$12.30$9.80$7.30RES $13.02SUP $10.04$12.452026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LION Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LION today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LION. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LION today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LION)

Communication Services Rank #37 of 132 ⚔️ CNK vs LION Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (LION vs. CNK, AMC, FUBO, MCS)

Industry: Movies/Entertainment (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) ranks #37 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #47 by equity capitalization ($3.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CNK leads on earnings valuation at 33.6x trailing P/E, while LION leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CNK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with LION at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LION ACTIVE
Lionsgate Studios Corp
D+ 58/100 — — 25.1% -3.11% $3.70B Benchmark Subject
CNK
Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc.
B 72/100 33.6x — 9.2% -2.17% $4.54B /cnk-vs-lion →
AMC
AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.
D 45/100 — — -0.8% -0.65% $2.73B /amc-vs-lion →
FUBO
FuboTV Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -4.27% $832.1M /fubo-vs-lion →
MCS
Marcus Corporation
D- 43/100 68.2x — 2.3% -5.41% $825.5M /mcs-vs-lion →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0002052959

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) reported GAAP revenue of $2.63B (+1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.58B , and +7.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$198.3M, operating cash flow of $24.8M, and free cash flow of $11.4M (+106.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, LION closed FY2025 with $5.24B in total assets against $1.76B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.45, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $2.63B -$198.3M $24.8M $11.4M $5.24B $1.76B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $2.58B -$362.0M -$166.0M -$179.5M $3.10B $725.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $2.45B -$1.10B $396.8M $286.5M $2.94B $688.0M

3. LION Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LION stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lionsgate Studios Corp (NYSE: LION) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $12.45 (-3.11% 1D, market cap $3.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, LION ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LION compare to CNK and AMC in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), LION carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 25.1%. By comparison, CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 33.6x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $4.54B) and AMC (AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $2.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNK leads on earnings multiple (33.6x) while LION leads on capital efficiency (25.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LION?

Per LION's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0002052959), Lionsgate Studios Corp generated $2.63B in revenue (+1.8% YoY), -$198.3M in net income, and $11.4M in free cash flow against $5.24B in total assets and $1.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LION trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LION last traded at $12.45 (-3.11% on volume of 2,698,241 shares), positioning the stock +8.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.49) and +6.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.68). Across its 52-week range of $6.33 to $16.70, LION sits at the 59.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($11.23 to $13.67).

LION Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LION's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is LION stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.8% event move for LION, spanning a range between $11.23 and $13.67.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LION — Lionsgate Studios Corp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LION scores 59 out of 100, equating to a C- grade and a "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral" verdict. The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 25.1%; FCF yield 0.3%), Whale 13F Flow at 14/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.16; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 0.45; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.85). The strongest pillar is the cash engine, where a high ROIC contrasts sharply with a near-zero FCF yield, suggesting that reported returns on invested capital are not yet converting into free cash for shareholders. The weakest pillar is forensic balance sheet health, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.45 sitting well below the level typically associated with financial stability, which is a material caution for a prospective investor. Upside drivers in the source data are concentrated in the institutional and news-flow signals, while valuation tradeoffs are visible in the EV/EBITDA of 49.8 against a forward P/E of 19. Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose recent price momentum is not yet supported by the strength of its forensic and cash-generation profile.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2631.8M$97.1M$-198.3MN/A$11.4M$182.4M$1763.8M
FY 2024$2584.7M$-18.1M$-362.0MN/A$-179.5MN/A$725.8M
FY 2023$2450.2M$-14.5M$-1102.9MN/A$286.5MN/A$688.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $2450.2M in FY 2023 to $2631.8M in FY 2025, while operating income turned positive in FY 2025 at $97.1M after negative results in the prior two years. Per the Market Data section, operating margin is 3.7% and net margin is -7.5%, with gross margin reported as 0%. The Market Data section reports ROIC of 25.1%, an Altman Z-Score of 0.45, and a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt rose from $688.0M to $1763.8M across the reported periods, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.85 per the forensic pillar.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the Recent News and Catalysts section, the news flow centers on takeover-related reporting. Multiple items reference a reported takeover interest or offer involving Legendary Entertainment, including a Deadline report of a takeover offer and a Yahoo Finance report of a Dune producer reportedly placing an offer for the Hunger Games studio. An Investing.com item attributes a stock gain to takeover interest per StoneX. These are flagged as CATALYST items with GREEN signals. Other items, including a Yahoo Finance valuation piece suggesting the stock may be overvalued after a rally, a Benzinga report on a surge in trading, and a Seeking Alpha piece titled around Legendary's return, are flagged YELLOW. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no second-order signal ties are available.

Open Questions

  • What is the specific content slate, revenue mix, and customer base driving the FY 2025 revenue of $2631.8M?
  • What is the status and terms of the reported takeover interest, and how would it affect the company's debt of $1763.8M?
  • Why does the reported ROIC of 25.1% coexist with an FCF yield of 0.3% and FY 2024 negative free cash flow?
  • What drove the net loss of $-198.3M in FY 2025 despite positive operating income of $97.1M?
  • What are the current P/E (TTM) and the cash balance for FY 2024 and FY 2023, which the source data does not provide?

LION Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LION Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LION Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.45?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LION 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LION:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $13.88 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LION (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $12.85?

Welcome to the LION (Lionsgate Studios Corp) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Movies/Entertainment. Bulls point to capital efficiency (25.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.77 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $12.85

Pump the brakes on LION — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LION, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Lionsgate Studios Corp expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.68 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $12.85

LION cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LION, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Movies/Entertainment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.85 (52-wk range $6.25 - $16.70), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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