Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$12.45 -3.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.36

Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.70B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LION stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lionsgate Studios Corp (NYSE: LION) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $12.45 (-3.11% 1D, market cap $3.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, LION ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LION compare to CNK and AMC in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), LION carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 25.1%. By comparison, CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 33.6x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $4.54B) and AMC (AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $2.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNK leads on earnings multiple (33.6x) while LION leads on capital efficiency (25.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LION?
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Per LION's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0002052959), Lionsgate Studios Corp generated $2.63B in revenue (+1.8% YoY), -$198.3M in net income, and $11.4M in free cash flow against $5.24B in total assets and $1.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.36 (-0.75%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 0.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D
Cash (15)Whales (13)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$18 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE LION RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LION)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LION SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.4% FCF Margin ($11.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$10.89+16.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$12.68-3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$12.20+2% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$12.45+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LION Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, LION faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.49) or 200D SMA ($11.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.45) toward Bear Floor ($9.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LION• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LION Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LION)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LION's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LION // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $12.85H $12.85L $12.45C $12.45VOL 2.70M
RES: $13.02SUP: $10.04SMA50: $11.49SMA200: $11.68
$17.30$14.80$12.30$9.80$7.30RES $13.02SUP $10.04$12.452026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LION Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LION today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LION. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LION today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LION)

Communication Services Rank #37 of 132 ⚔️ CNK vs LION Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (LION vs. CNK, AMC, FUBO, MCS)

Industry: Movies/Entertainment (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) ranks #37 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #47 by equity capitalization ($3.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CNK leads on earnings valuation at 33.6x trailing P/E, while LION leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CNK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with LION at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LION ACTIVE
Lionsgate Studios Corp
D+ 58/100 — — 25.1% -3.11% $3.70B Benchmark Subject
CNK
Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc.
B 72/100 33.6x — 9.2% -2.17% $4.54B /cnk-vs-lion →
AMC
AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.
D 45/100 — — -0.8% -0.65% $2.73B /amc-vs-lion →
FUBO
FuboTV Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -4.27% $832.1M /fubo-vs-lion →
MCS
Marcus Corporation
D- 43/100 68.2x — 2.3% -5.41% $825.5M /mcs-vs-lion →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0002052959

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) reported GAAP revenue of $2.63B (+1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.58B , and +7.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$198.3M, operating cash flow of $24.8M, and free cash flow of $11.4M (+106.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, LION closed FY2025 with $5.24B in total assets against $1.76B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.45, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $2.63B -$198.3M $24.8M $11.4M $5.24B $1.76B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $2.58B -$362.0M -$166.0M -$179.5M $3.10B $725.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $2.45B -$1.10B $396.8M $286.5M $2.94B $688.0M

3. LION Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LION stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lionsgate Studios Corp (NYSE: LION) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $12.45 (-3.11% 1D, market cap $3.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, LION ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LION compare to CNK and AMC in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), LION carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 25.1%. By comparison, CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 33.6x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $4.54B) and AMC (AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $2.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNK leads on earnings multiple (33.6x) while LION leads on capital efficiency (25.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LION?

Per LION's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0002052959), Lionsgate Studios Corp generated $2.63B in revenue (+1.8% YoY), -$198.3M in net income, and $11.4M in free cash flow against $5.24B in total assets and $1.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LION trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LION last traded at $12.45 (-3.11% on volume of 2,698,241 shares), positioning the stock +8.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.49) and +6.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.68). Across its 52-week range of $6.33 to $16.70, LION sits at the 59.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($11.23 to $13.67).

LION Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does LION pay a dividend and is it safe?

Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LION — Lionsgate Studios Corp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LION scores 59 out of 100, equating to a C- grade and a "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral" verdict. The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 25.1%; FCF yield 0.3%), Whale 13F Flow at 14/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.16; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 0.45; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.85). The strongest pillar is the cash engine, where a high ROIC contrasts sharply with a near-zero FCF yield, suggesting that reported returns on invested capital are not yet converting into free cash for shareholders. The weakest pillar is forensic balance sheet health, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.45 sitting well below the level typically associated with financial stability, which is a material caution for a prospective investor. Upside drivers in the source data are concentrated in the institutional and news-flow signals, while valuation tradeoffs are visible in the EV/EBITDA of 49.8 against a forward P/E of 19. Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose recent price momentum is not yet supported by the strength of its forensic and cash-generation profile.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2631.8M$97.1M$-198.3MN/A$11.4M$182.4M$1763.8M
FY 2024$2584.7M$-18.1M$-362.0MN/A$-179.5MN/A$725.8M
FY 2023$2450.2M$-14.5M$-1102.9MN/A$286.5MN/A$688.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $2450.2M in FY 2023 to $2631.8M in FY 2025, while operating income turned positive in FY 2025 at $97.1M after negative results in the prior two years. Per the Market Data section, operating margin is 3.7% and net margin is -7.5%, with gross margin reported as 0%. The Market Data section reports ROIC of 25.1%, an Altman Z-Score of 0.45, and a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt rose from $688.0M to $1763.8M across the reported periods, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.85 per the forensic pillar.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the Recent News and Catalysts section, the news flow centers on takeover-related reporting. Multiple items reference a reported takeover interest or offer involving Legendary Entertainment, including a Deadline report of a takeover offer and a Yahoo Finance report of a Dune producer reportedly placing an offer for the Hunger Games studio. An Investing.com item attributes a stock gain to takeover interest per StoneX. These are flagged as CATALYST items with GREEN signals. Other items, including a Yahoo Finance valuation piece suggesting the stock may be overvalued after a rally, a Benzinga report on a surge in trading, and a Seeking Alpha piece titled around Legendary's return, are flagged YELLOW. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no second-order signal ties are available.

Open Questions

  • What is the specific content slate, revenue mix, and customer base driving the FY 2025 revenue of $2631.8M?
  • What is the status and terms of the reported takeover interest, and how would it affect the company's debt of $1763.8M?
  • Why does the reported ROIC of 25.1% coexist with an FCF yield of 0.3% and FY 2024 negative free cash flow?
  • What drove the net loss of $-198.3M in FY 2025 despite positive operating income of $97.1M?
  • What are the current P/E (TTM) and the cash balance for FY 2024 and FY 2023, which the source data does not provide?

LION Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LION Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LION Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.45?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LION 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LION:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $13.88 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LION (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $12.85?

Welcome to the LION (Lionsgate Studios Corp) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Movies/Entertainment. Bulls point to capital efficiency (25.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.77 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $12.85

Pump the brakes on LION — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LION, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Lionsgate Studios Corp expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.68 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $12.85

LION cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LION, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Movies/Entertainment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.85 (52-wk range $6.25 - $16.70), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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