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Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$14.04 -5.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.89

Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.50B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LFTO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Liftoff Mobile Inc. (NASDAQ: LFTO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $14.04 (-5.07% 1D, market cap $2.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LFTO compare to DXC and RAMP in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), LFTO carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DXC (DXC Technology Company) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 135.2x, ROIC 54.2%, cap $2.39B) and RAMP (LiveRamp Holdings Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 15.9x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $2.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAMP leads on earnings multiple (15.9x) while DXC leads on capital efficiency (54.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFTO?
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Per LFTO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001850351), Liftoff Mobile Inc. generated $798.6M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.90B in total assets and $1.80B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.89 (-1.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 8.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$32 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE LFTO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LFTO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LFTO SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.8% FCF Margin ($70.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$16.42+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$16.59+3.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$17.10-17.9% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$14.04-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LFTO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LFTO currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.86) and Max Pain ($14.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LFTO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LFTO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LFTO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $14.04: 712.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.21
$7,272
$-2,728 (-27.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $13.09
$9,323
$-677 (-6.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $31.61
$22,514
+$12,514 (+125.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LFTO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LFTO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LFTO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -50.65%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $15.99H $15.99L $14.04C $14.04VOL 871.1K
RES: $16.78SUP: $12.93SMA50: $16.86SMA200: $20.50
$31.22$26.56$21.90$17.24$12.58RES $16.78SUP $12.93$14.042026-06-042026-07-142026-08-192026-09-252026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LFTO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LFTO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LFTO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LFTO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LFTO)

Technology Rank #448 of 715 ⚔️ DXC vs LFTO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LFTO vs. DXC, RAMP, FIVN, PAGS)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) ranks #448 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #267 by equity capitalization ($2.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RAMP leads on earnings valuation at 15.9x trailing P/E, while DXC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.2% ROIC and — gross margin. RAMP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with LFTO at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LFTO ACTIVE
Liftoff Mobile Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -5.07% $2.50B Benchmark Subject
DXC
DXC Technology Company
C 64/100 135.2x — 54.2% -1.47% $2.39B /dxc-vs-lfto →
RAMP
LiveRamp Holdings Inc.
C+ 66/100 15.9x 70.7% 11.6% +0.24% $2.32B /ramp-vs-lfto →
FIVN
Five9 Inc.
C- 60/100 70.9x 55.1% 4.1% -1.57% $2.72B /fivn-vs-lfto →
PAGS
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -0.63% $2.31B /pags-vs-lfto →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001850351 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) reported GAAP revenue of $798.6M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, LFTO closed FY2025 with $1.90B in total assets against $1.80B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $798.6M $0 — — $1.90B $1.80B

3. LFTO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LFTO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Liftoff Mobile Inc. (NASDAQ: LFTO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $14.04 (-5.07% 1D, market cap $2.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does LFTO compare to DXC and RAMP in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), LFTO carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DXC (DXC Technology Company) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 135.2x, ROIC 54.2%, cap $2.39B) and RAMP (LiveRamp Holdings Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 15.9x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $2.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAMP leads on earnings multiple (15.9x) while DXC leads on capital efficiency (54.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFTO?

Per LFTO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001850351), Liftoff Mobile Inc. generated $798.6M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.90B in total assets and $1.80B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LFTO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LFTO last traded at $14.04 (-5.07% on volume of 966,111 shares), positioning the stock -16.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.86) and -31.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.50). Across its 52-week range of $14.03 to $30.10, LFTO sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($12.40 to $15.68).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LFTO — Liftoff Mobile Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 43/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.04 (-5.07% 1D, market capitalization $2.50B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, classified under the EDP Services industry..7B. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) reported $798.6M in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $1.90B in total assets against $1.80B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 43/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.03 – $30.10 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context is Technology / EDP Services. The proprietary liquidity signal implies the stock's price is highly sensitive to shifts in net liquidity conditions, with the rating's beta of 1.0 indicating market-level sensitivity. A prospective investor should watch whether liquidity conditions reverse, since the signal's bullish reading is directly tied to them.

  • Key Question #1: Can LFTO sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $798.6M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.80B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LFTO's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LFTO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LFTO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LFTO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.04?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LFTO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LFTO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.23 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The liquidity-beta signal rates LFTO's Macro Tailwind at 96/100 with a 6.00x Net Liquidity elasticity, and the forensic balance sheet s

Here is why I am bullish on LFTO here at $14.79: The liquidity-beta signal rates LFTO's Macro Tailwind at 96/100 with a 6.00x Net Liquidity elasticity, and the forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5.. Compare LFTO's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of EDP Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $14.05 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in EDP Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.98 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $14.79

The RQD rating assigns a D grade and Distribution Warning because ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and institutional flow scores only 5/2

Careful chasing LFTO at $14.79. The RQD rating assigns a D grade and Distribution Warning because ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and institutional flow scores only 5/20.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $11.98 on multiple compression.

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