Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$2.03 -4.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.01

Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $737.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.03 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $737.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LAC ranks #222 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LAC compare to ASM and GSM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), LAC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.1%. By comparison, ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $733.8M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $721.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAC?
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Per LAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001966983), Lithium Americas Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$86.3M in net income, and -$826.3M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.01 (-1.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.8% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE LAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LAC SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$2.20-2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$2.14+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$2.16-6% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$2.03-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LAC currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.60) and Max Pain ($2.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.31.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

LAC Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (LAC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on LAC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LAC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.36%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $2.13H $2.13L $2.03C $2.03VOL 8.34M
RES: $2.10SUP: $1.91SMA50: $2.60SMA200: $3.92
$6.67$5.40$4.13$2.86$1.59RES $2.10SUP $1.91$2.032026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LAC)

Materials Rank #222 of 270 ⚔️ ASM vs LAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LAC vs. ASM, GSM, SGML, DC)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) ranks #222 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #153 by equity capitalization ($737.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LAC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with LAC at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LAC ACTIVE
Lithium Americas Corp.
E 32/100 — — -8.1% -4.69% $737.0M Benchmark Subject
ASM
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
D 44/100 — — — -5.86% $733.8M /asm-vs-lac →
GSM
Ferroglobe PLC
D 45/100 — — — -3.74% $721.3M /gsm-vs-lac →
SGML
Sigma Lithium Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -8.62% $788.0M /sgml-vs-lac →
DC
Dakota Gold Corp.
E 30/100 — — -29.3% -7.31% $680.3M /dc-vs-lac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001966983

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$86.3M, operating cash flow of -$61.2M, and free cash flow of -$826.3M (-333.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LAC closed FY2025 with $2.58B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$86.3M -$61.2M -$826.3M $2.58B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$42.6M -$13.0M -$190.7M $1.04B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$5.1M -$39.5M -$39.5M — —

3. LAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.03 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $737.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LAC ranks #222 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LAC compare to ASM and GSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), LAC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.1%. By comparison, ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $733.8M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $721.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAC?

Per LAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001966983), Lithium Americas Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$86.3M in net income, and -$826.3M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LAC last traded at $2.03 (-4.69% on volume of 8,335,850 shares), positioning the stock -21.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.60) and -48.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.92). Across its 52-week range of $1.98 to $6.96, LAC sits at the 1.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($1.83 to $2.23).

LAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are LAC insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies LAC leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LAC — Lithium Americas Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LAC scores 32 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 6 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of -8.1% and an FCF yield of 0%. Whale 13F Flow scores 3 of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 5 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 8 of 20, reflecting a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 10 of 20, reflecting an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 2 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to a stock where the cash-generation and ownership-signal pillars are weakest. Per the SEC financials, free cash flow was negative in every reported period, which is why the cash engine pillar is low. The balance sheet pillar is middling rather than weak, and the source does not establish whether the reported cash balance is sufficient to fund the negative free cash flow over time. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed on earnings multiples because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. Upside drivers cited in the source material are limited to news-flow items that do not quantify a catalyst. Investors evaluating this name would need to weigh the negative cash flow and low ownership-signal scores against any upside thesis that falls outside the data provided here.

Business

Per the company profile, Lithium Americas Corp. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Metal Mining industry, with a market capitalization of $0.8B. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M in each period shown, so the source does not establish a revenue-generating business as of the reported periods.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$-86.3MN/A$-826.3M$568.2MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$-42.6MN/A$-190.7M$593.9MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$-5.1MN/A$-39.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income was negative across all three reported periods and free cash flow was negative in each, with FY 2025 showing the largest outflow at $-826.3M. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data, and ROIC is -8.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 out of 9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5, and per the SEC financials reported cash was $568.2M at FY 2025 year-end.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six news items are provided, all tagged to LAC and sourced from aggregator and financial-media outlets. Headlines include "Here's Why Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) Fell More Than Broader Market" and "Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors," both tagged as market-wire items. One item, "InvestingPro's Fair Value flagged Lithium Americas 51% drop," is tagged RISK WATCH, the only risk-flagged item in the set. A separate item reports "Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) Gets a Hold from National Bank," tagged as a market-wire item. The summaries are generic and do not contain quantified catalysts. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream links are recorded, and the supply chain is listed as NONE. The source data therefore does not establish supplier dependencies, customer concentration, or sector-correlation pathways for LAC. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from the provided data.

Open Questions

  • What revenue, if any, the company generates, given that reported revenue is $0.0M in each period shown.
  • How the FY 2025 free-cash-flow outflow of $-826.3M is being funded relative to the $568.2M cash balance.
  • What the reported debt figure is, since debt is listed as N/A in every period.
  • Whether earnings-based valuation metrics (P/E, EV/EBITDA, EPS) can be established from filed results.
  • What specific events drove the market-wire and RISK WATCH headlines, since the summaries do not state them.

LAC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LAC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LAC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.03?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LAC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LAC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.87 (-12.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LAC (E • RQD 32/100) a Buy at $2.13?

Welcome to the LAC (Lithium Americas Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 32/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.64 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $2.13

Pump the brakes on LAC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LAC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Lithium Americas Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.47 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $2.13

LAC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LAC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.13 (52-wk range $1.98 - $6.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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