MTAL (47) ASM (44) LAC (32) GSM (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.00 -8.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.88

Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $862.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SGML Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SGML stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ: SGML) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $7.00 (-8.62% 1D, market cap $862.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SGML ranks #154 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SGML compare to MTAL and ASM in the Materials sector?

▼

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), SGML carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MTAL (Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $831.2M) and ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGML leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGML?

▼

For Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #154 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.88 (-1.74%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SGML)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SGML SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.6% FCF Margin ($24.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$8.81-3.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$8.47-7.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$7.86-10.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$7.00-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SGML Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SGML currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.72) and Max Pain ($7.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SGML• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SGML Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

40.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE12% OF RANGE

L: $5$7.00H: $24

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SGML

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (33)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SGML

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SGML)

✓Walkthrough of SGML's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SGML // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -68.99%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $8.30H $8.30L $7.00C $7.00VOL 1.19M

RES: $10.03SUP: $6.03SMA50: $9.72SMA200: $12.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SGML Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SGML Butterfly Map → + Track SGML →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SGML today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SGML. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SGML today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SGML)

Materials Rank #154 of 270 ⚔️ MTAL vs SGML Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (SGML vs. MTAL, ASM, LAC, GSM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) ranks #154 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #146 by equity capitalization ($862.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGML leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with SGML at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SGML ACTIVE Sigma Lithium Corporation	D	45/100	—	—	—	-8.62%	$862.3M	Benchmark Subject
MTAL Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A)	D	47/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$831.2M	/mtal-vs-sgml →
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)	D	44/100	—	—	—	-5.86%	$779.4M	/asm-vs-sgml →
LAC Lithium Americas Corp.	E	32/100	—	—	-8.1%	-4.69%	$773.3M	/lac-vs-sgml →
GSM Ferroglobe PLC	D	49/100	—	—	—	-3.74%	$749.3M	/gsm-vs-sgml →

2. SGML Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $862.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. SGML Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SGML stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SGML compare to MTAL and ASM in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGML?

Where is SGML trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SGML last traded at $7.00 (-8.62% on volume of 2,366,149 shares), positioning the stock -27.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.72) and -45.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.83). Across its 52-week range of $4.61 to $24.48, SGML sits at the 12.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.3% ($6.14 to $7.86).

SGML Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SGML stock right now?

Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 45/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SGML's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SGML's 12-month base price target is $6.59 (range $5.14 to $25.7), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SGML RQD Cockpit SGML 12M Forecast SGML Earnings & Move SGML Dividends & DRIP SGML Insiders & 13F SGML Whale Options SGML Profit Sankey SGML News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SGML — Sigma Lithium Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SGML scores 45 out of 100 with a letter grade of D and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. The rating notes ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield supporting the current price.
Whale / 13F Flow: 3 / 20. This is the weakest pillar and covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. A score this low indicates the source data does not show supportive institutional accumulation.
Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. This reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The below-midpoint score indicates limited insider-driven conviction in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. The rating cites Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is rated as moving in line with the market, while the low pillar score reflects weak fit with the current regime as assessed by the rating.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. The rating cites Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is comparatively the most defensible element of the profile.

Investor implications: upside drivers are limited in the rating's own pillar detail, since the cash-generation and institutional-flow pillars are weak. Valuation tradeoffs are not resolvable from the source data because P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable. Second-order effects are addressed in the Butterfly Effect section. The rating's distribution warning suggests caution rather than accumulation, but this is an analytical reading of the scores and not personalized advice.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, five items reference SGML: two Yahoo Finance reports on stock movement (one describing a dip, one a drop), a TradingView estimates item, a MarketBeat item citing a consensus price target of $14.30, and a Yahoo Finance item on the stock sinking. A Stock Titan item reports that, after restarting, Sigma Lithium produced 7,090 tonnes of material for battery makers by Oct. 21. The news items are tagged as catalysts or market wire; the production item is the only one with a specific operational fact in its headline. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports sector Materials, industry Metal Mining, supply chain "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. Investors should note that the production restart referenced in the news feed is the only operational signal in the sources, and its supply-chain implications are not mapped in the graph.

Open Questions

What are SGML's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
What is the basis for the $14.30 consensus price target cited in the news feed, and what analyst coverage supports it?
Who are the institutional holders and insiders, and what is their recent position change activity?
What is the company's debt maturity profile and cash position behind the Debt/Equity of 0.5 figure?
How does the July–October production restart (7,090 tonnes by Oct. 21) translate into revenue and cash generation given the 0% margins and ROIC?

SGML Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SGML Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 11h ago

Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts

Yahoo Finance report covering Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 14h ago

Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note

Yahoo Finance report covering Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 17h ago

Sigma Lithium Corporation Estimates – NASDAQ:SGML

TradingView report covering Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 20h ago

Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML) Stock Has Consensus Price Target of $14.30

MarketBeat report covering Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why

Yahoo Finance report covering Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

After restarting, Sigma Lithium produced 7,090 tonnes of material for battery makers by Oct. 21.

Stock Titan report covering Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ:SGML) Stock Falls 6.3% - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Sigma Lithium stock rises after court upholds mining licenses

Yahoo Finance report covering Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SGML Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.00?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SGML 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.74 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SGML (D • RQD 45/100) a Buy at $7.66?

Welcome to the SGML (Sigma Lithium Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.90 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $7.66

Pump the brakes on SGML — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SGML, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Sigma Lithium Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.89 (+16.1%)

Spot @ $7.66

SGML cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SGML, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.66 (52-wk range $4.61 - $24.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.