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Why KHC Stock surged +2.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$24.93 +2.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.99

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $28.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, The Kraft Heinz Company (NYSE: KHC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $24.93 (+2.42% 1D, market cap $28.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, KHC ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KHC compare to ADM and BG in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), KHC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of -6.6%. By comparison, ADM (Archer-Daniels-Midland Company) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 34.1x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $37.07B) and BG (Bunge Limited) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E 22.6x, ROIC 3.3%, cap $18.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BG leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while GIS leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KHC?
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Per KHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001637459), The Kraft Heinz Company generated $24.94B in revenue (-3.5% YoY), -$5.85B in net income, and $3.66B in free cash flow against $81.79B in total assets and $18.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.99 (+0.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 14.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (14)SEC (5)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$29 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE KHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KHC SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 55% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$22.70+3.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$23.50+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$23.86+4.5% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$24.93-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KHC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KHC currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.95) and Max Pain ($26.18) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why KHC Stock surged +2.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) surged +2.42% to $24.93, trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($21.03 – $28.09). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($21.03 – $28.09) with RSI-14 at 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.5% around $24.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 33.3% gross margin and $3.7B annual free cash flow.
Live KHC Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KHC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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KHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.20%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $23.90H $24.93L $23.90C $24.93VOL 14.06M
RES: $24.96SUP: $20.47SMA50: $23.95SMA200: $23.88
$28.53$26.70$24.86$23.03$21.19RES $24.96SUP $20.47$24.932026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
20.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KHC)

Consumer Staples Rank #65 of 146 ⚔️ ADM vs KHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (KHC vs. ADM, BG, GIS, SJM)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) ranks #65 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #20 by equity capitalization ($28.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BG leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while GIS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.8% ROIC and 33.6% gross margin. ADM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with KHC at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KHC ACTIVE
The Kraft Heinz Company
D+ 53/100 — 33.3% -6.6% +2.42% $28.86B Benchmark Subject
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
C 64/100 34.1x 20.2% 3.2% -1.48% $37.07B /adm-vs-khc →
BG
Bunge Limited
E 32/100 22.6x 20.1% 3.3% -2.50% $18.57B /bg-vs-khc →
GIS
General Mills Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 33.6% 3.8% +1.34% $18.33B /gis-vs-khc →
SJM
The J.M. Smucker Company
D+ 58/100 — 33.5% 2.8% +1.12% $13.88B /sjm-vs-khc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0001637459

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) reported GAAP revenue of $24.94B (-3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.85B , and +94.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.85B, operating cash flow of $4.46B, and free cash flow of $3.66B (+15.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KHC closed FY2025 with $81.79B in total assets against $18.00B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.48, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $24.94B -$5.85B $4.46B $3.66B $81.79B $18.00B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $25.85B $2.74B $4.18B $3.16B $88.29B $17.53B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $12.80B $2.85B $3.98B $3.98B $15.59B $3.65B

3. KHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The Kraft Heinz Company (NYSE: KHC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $24.93 (+2.42% 1D, market cap $28.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, KHC ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KHC compare to ADM and BG in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), KHC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of -6.6%. By comparison, ADM (Archer-Daniels-Midland Company) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 34.1x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $37.07B) and BG (Bunge Limited) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E 22.6x, ROIC 3.3%, cap $18.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BG leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while GIS leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KHC?

Per KHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001637459), The Kraft Heinz Company generated $24.94B in revenue (-3.5% YoY), -$5.85B in net income, and $3.66B in free cash flow against $81.79B in total assets and $18.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KHC last traded at $24.93 (+2.42% on volume of 10,922,095 shares), positioning the stock +4.09% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.95) and +4.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.88). Across its 52-week range of $21.03 to $28.09, KHC sits at the 55.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($23.81 to $26.05).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KHC — The Kraft Heinz Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $24.93 (+2.42% 1D, market capitalization $28.86B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -6.6%, gross margin of 33.3%, operating margin of -18.7%, and free cash flow yield of 12.92%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.90x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.48, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.40x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. — for product lines, customer segments, and revenue mechanics beyond the sector and industry classification. The reported revenue figures in the SEC financials ($24.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-27), The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) reported $24.94B in annual revenue (up from $25.85B in FY2024, -3.5% YoY) and -$5.85B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.80B revenue, $2.85B net income) through FY2025, KHC scaled operating cash flow to $4.46B and free cash flow to $3.66B, backed by $81.79B in total assets against $18.00B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 12.92% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.03 – $28.09 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation against -18.7% operating margins and a 0.90x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signal links recorded. — for 2nd-order bottlenecks. The sector classification (Consumer Staples / Packaged Foods) is the only contextual link provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can KHC sustain or expand its -18.7% operating margin and -6.6% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $24.94B and free cash flow of $3.66B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $18.00B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KHC's 27.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.90x)?

KHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $24.93?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KHC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.91 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow yield of 12.92% and a 6.7% dividend yield provide cash-return support despite losses.

Free cash flow yield of 12.92% and a 6.7% dividend yield provide cash-return support despite losses.. When you look under the hood at KHC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 33.3% gross margins and -6.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (14/20) has been quietly accumulating below $28.09. My 12M target is $30.91.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — KHC's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.96 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $24.34

Altman Z-Score of 0.48, negative ROIC of -6.6%, and FY 2025 net loss of -$5.85B signal balance-sheet and earnings stress.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on KHC: Altman Z-Score of 0.48, negative ROIC of -6.6%, and FY 2025 net loss of -$5.85B signal balance-sheet and earnings stress.. At 27.0x forward P/E, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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