Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$18.29 -2.66% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.17

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.97B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (NYSE: JMKE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $18.29 (-2.66% 1D, market cap $5.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JMKE ranks #556 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JMKE compare to CAKE and CAVA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), JMKE carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, CAKE (Cheesecake Factory Incorporated) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 38.0x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $5.63B) and CAVA (CAVA Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 108.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $6.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WING leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while WING leads on capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JMKE?
β–Ό

Per JMKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0002127043), Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $8.18B in total assets and $2.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.17 (-0.67%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk C-
Cash (6)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$26 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE JMKE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JMKE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY JMKE SCORES 50/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.30 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±11.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$17.55+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$17.82-4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$16.96+7.8% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$18.29-1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ D (50)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JMKE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While JMKE currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.82) and Max Pain ($19.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $26.24.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JMKEβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œJMKE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±11.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (JMKE)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for JMKE.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JMKE)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of JMKE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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JMKE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.44%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $17.43H $18.79L $17.43C $18.29VOL 5.57M
RES: $18.74SUP: $13.34SMA50: $18.82SMA200: $19.87
$25.62$23.00$20.38$17.77$15.15RES $18.74SUP $13.34$18.292026-07-302026-08-212026-09-162026-10-092026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JMKE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JMKE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JMKE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JMKE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JMKE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #556 of 1011 βš”οΈ CAKE vs JMKE Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JMKE vs. CAKE, CAVA, BROS, WING)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) ranks #556 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #239 by equity capitalization ($5.97B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WING leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while WING leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 45.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CAKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with JMKE at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JMKE ACTIVE
Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.
D 50/100 32.8x β€” 2.4% -2.66% $5.97B Benchmark Subject
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
B 72/100 38.0x β€” 18.9% -0.42% $5.63B /cake-vs-jmke β†’
CAVA
CAVA Group Inc.
D+ 52/100 108.5x β€” 5.9% -0.79% $6.92B /cava-vs-jmke β†’
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc.
C- 59/100 96.2x 25.9% 20.7% -2.52% $7.68B /bros-vs-jmke β†’
WING
Wingstop Inc.
C+ 66/100 22.6x β€” 45.0% +2.99% $3.93B /wing-vs-jmke β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-28 β€’ CIK 0002127043

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, JMKE closed FY2025 with $8.18B in total assets against $2.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.30, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $0 $0 $0 $0 $8.18B $2.06B

3. JMKE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JMKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (NYSE: JMKE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $18.29 (-2.66% 1D, market cap $5.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JMKE ranks #556 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JMKE compare to CAKE and CAVA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), JMKE carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, CAKE (Cheesecake Factory Incorporated) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 38.0x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $5.63B) and CAVA (CAVA Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 108.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $6.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WING leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while WING leads on capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JMKE?

Per JMKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0002127043), Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $8.18B in total assets and $2.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JMKE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JMKE last traded at $18.29 (-2.66% on volume of 2,904,366 shares), positioning the stock -2.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.82) and -7.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.87). Across its 52-week range of $15.96 to $24.99, JMKE sits at the 25.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.5% ($16.19 to $20.39).

JMKE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is JMKE's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for JMKE.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 50/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

JMKE β€” Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, JMKE scores 50 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 (ROIC 2.4%; FCF yield 2.21%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 10/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.15; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.3; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.35). The weakest pillar is Fundamental Cash Engine, which the rating ties to a 2.4% ROIC and a 2.21% FCF yield. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the balance sheet, which the rating scores comparatively well, and on the recent news flow. The valuation tradeoff is significant: the market data shows a trailing P/E of 32.8 and an EV/EBITDA of 26.3 against a 2.4% ROIC, meaning the price is high relative to the current return on invested capital. The institutional and insider pillars are only mid-range, so the rating does not show strong smart-money conviction. Taken together, the rating frames JMKE as a name where the operating return does not yet justify the multiple, and where the investor is paying for expected improvement rather than demonstrated cash generation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
18.79$5.97B32.830.526.30.570%1.15$15.96 - $24.992.4%

Business

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Restaurants industry, per the company profile. The profile identifies the business as a sandwich restaurant operator, but the supplied source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model in detail. Market data shows an operating margin of 13.9% and a net margin of 10.9%, while gross margin is listed as 0%. Revenue figures are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-28)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$0.0M$215.0M$2062.0M

Per the SEC financials, the only reported period is FY 2025, and the revenue, net income, operating income, and FCF fields are all reported as $0.0M, so they cannot support a trend analysis. Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9% and net margin is 10.9%, and per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 2.4% and the Altman Z-Score is 2.3 with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9. Debt/Equity is 0.35 per the rating, and the reported cash of $215.0M against debt of $2062.0M indicates a leveraged capital structure. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 14/20, which points to a sound financial-health profile even as the cash-generation pillar is weak.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Price action: Per the market data, the stock rose 7.8% on the session with volume of 5,571,384.
  • Positive catalysts (GREEN): A Benzinga item asks why the stock is gaining on a Thursday, and a Seeking Alpha item carries the headline "The Risk-Reward Finally Tastes Better (Ratings Upgrade)." Both are tagged as CATALYST.
  • Mixed/neutral news (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance UK item, a Stocktwits item, and a Yahoo Finance item announcing the fiscal third quarter 2026 results and business updates for October 28, 2026 are tagged as MARKET WIRE.
  • Risk watch item: An Investing.com item reports that Mizuho lowered its price target on valuation, which is the most direct negative signal in the news set.
  • Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are not available in source data. The only sector information is the classification as Consumer Discretionary, Restaurants. The one second-order signal the news set does contain is the valuation tension: a price-target cut on valuation (Mizuho) coexisting with upgrade-style commentary suggests that the debate centers on whether the multiple is justified. A prospective investor should watch for the fiscal third quarter results, since those are the next scheduled disclosure in the news set.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue and operating income figures? The FY 2025 financials show $0.0M across the core lines, which prevents any growth or margin trend analysis.
  • What do the fiscal third quarter 2026 results (announced for October 28, 2026) show relative to the 2.4% ROIC and 2.21% FCF yield?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and the magnitude of the Mizuho price-target cut, given that no analyst data is provided?
  • Who are the 13F institutional holders and what is their recent direction, given the whale flow pillar scores only 10/20?
  • What drives the gap between the 32.8 trailing P/E and the 2.4% ROIC, and does the debt load of $2062.0M constrain the path to higher returns?

JMKE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to JMKE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JMKE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $18.29?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JMKE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JMKE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $20.29 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is JMKE (D β€’ RQD 50/100) a Buy at $18.79?

Welcome to the JMKE (Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.28 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $18.79

Pump the brakes on JMKE β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on JMKE, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.92 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $18.79

JMKE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on JMKE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $18.79 (52-wk range $15.96 - $24.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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