Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.5% Move

Per the Roarable RQD rating, JMKE scores 50 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 (ROIC 2.4%; FCF yield 2.21%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 10/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.15; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.3; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.35). The weakest pillar is Fundamental Cash Engine, which the rating ties to a 2.4% ROIC and a 2.21% FCF yield. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the balance sheet, which the rating scores comparatively well, and on the recent news flow. The valuation tradeoff is significant: the market data shows a trailing P/E of 32.8 and an EV/EBITDA of 26.3 against a 2.4% ROIC, meaning the price is high relative to the current return on invested capital. The institutional and insider pillars are only mid-range, so the rating does not show strong smart-money conviction. Taken together, the rating frames JMKE as a name where the operating return does not yet justify the multiple, and where the investor is paying for expected improvement rather than demonstrated cash generation.

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Restaurants industry, per the company profile. The profile identifies the business as a sandwich restaurant operator, but the supplied source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model in detail. Market data shows an operating margin of 13.9% and a net margin of 10.9%, while gross margin is listed as 0%. Revenue figures are not available in source data.

Per the SEC financials, the only reported period is FY 2025, and the revenue, net income, operating income, and FCF fields are all reported as $0.0M, so they cannot support a trend analysis. Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9% and net margin is 10.9%, and per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 2.4% and the Altman Z-Score is 2.3 with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9. Debt/Equity is 0.35 per the rating, and the reported cash of $215.0M against debt of $2062.0M indicates a leveraged capital structure. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 14/20, which points to a sound financial-health profile even as the cash-generation pillar is weak.

• Price action: Per the market data, the stock rose 7.8% on the session with volume of 5,571,384.
• Positive catalysts (GREEN): A Benzinga item asks why the stock is gaining on a Thursday, and a Seeking Alpha item carries the headline "The Risk-Reward Finally Tastes Better (Ratings Upgrade)." Both are tagged as CATALYST.
• Mixed/neutral news (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance UK item, a Stocktwits item, and a Yahoo Finance item announcing the fiscal third quarter 2026 results and business updates for October 28, 2026 are tagged as MARKET WIRE.
• Risk watch item: An Investing.com item reports that Mizuho lowered its price target on valuation, which is the most direct negative signal in the news set.
• Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are not available in source data. The only sector information is the classification as Consumer Discretionary, Restaurants. The one second-order signal the news set does contain is the valuation tension: a price-target cut on valuation (Mizuho) coexisting with upgrade-style commentary suggests that the debate centers on whether the multiple is justified. A prospective investor should watch for the fiscal third quarter results, since those are the next scheduled disclosure in the news set.

• What are the reported revenue and operating income figures? The FY 2025 financials show $0.0M across the core lines, which prevents any growth or margin trend analysis.
• What do the fiscal third quarter 2026 results (announced for October 28, 2026) show relative to the 2.4% ROIC and 2.21% FCF yield?
• What is the consensus analyst rating and the magnitude of the Mizuho price-target cut, given that no analyst data is provided?
• Who are the 13F institutional holders and what is their recent direction, given the whale flow pillar scores only 10/20?
• What drives the gap between the 32.8 trailing P/E and the 2.4% ROIC, and does the debt load of $2062.0M constrain the path to higher returns?