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Stock Ratings / Industrials / J / forecast
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Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$154.62 +1.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $155.33

Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (25% profit margin, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $17.88B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on J Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is J stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Jacobs Solutions Inc. (NYSE: J) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $154.62 (+1.22% 1D, market cap $17.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, J ranks #47 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does J compare to ARXS and STRL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), J carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 61.8x, gross margin of 24.8%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, ARXS (Arxis Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $23.66B) and STRL (Sterling Infrastructure Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 39.4x, ROIC 32.3%, cap $11.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRL leads on earnings multiple (39.4x) while STRL leads on capital efficiency (32.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for J?
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Per J's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-26, CIK 0000052988), Jacobs Solutions Inc. generated $12.03B in revenue (+4.6% YoY), $289.3M in net income, and $607.5M in free cash flow against $11.61B in total assets and $2.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (25% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 62x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $155.33 (+0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (17)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$192 Bull$163 Base$127 Bear
📬 FREE J RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for J)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY J SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5% FCF Margin ($607.5M FCF) & 24.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$142.20-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$139.67+6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$148.34+4.2% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$154.62+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the J Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, J faces multiple-compression risk if 61.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 62x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($143.78) or 200D SMA ($133.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($162.97) toward Bear Floor ($126.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $J• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “J Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 25, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your J Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $154.62: 64.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $126.79
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $162.97
$10,540
+$540 (+5.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $192.30
$12,437
+$2,437 (+24.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$16974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$18169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$14558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (J Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
J // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.27%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $150.9H $154.6L $150.9C $154.6VOL 1.02M
RES: $155.3SUP: $139.3SMA50: $143.8SMA200: $133.9
$158.7$144.3$130.0$115.6$101.2RES $155.3SUP $139.3$154.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

J Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 J Butterfly Map → + Track J →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
42.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on J today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for J. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for J today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (J)

Industrials Rank #47 of 485 ⚔️ ARXS vs J Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (J vs. ARXS, STRL, RKLB, ESLT)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) ranks #47 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #66 by equity capitalization ($17.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRL leads on earnings valuation at 39.4x trailing P/E, while STRL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 32.3% ROIC and 23.0% gross margin. ESLT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with J at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
J ACTIVE
Jacobs Solutions Inc.
B- 70/100 61.8x 24.8% 15.6% +1.22% $17.88B Benchmark Subject
ARXS
Arxis Inc.
B 72/100 — 47.4% 4.0% -7.48% $23.66B /arxs-vs-j →
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure Inc.
C- 61/100 39.4x 23.0% 32.3% -7.43% $11.43B /strl-vs-j →
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation
D- 39/100 — 34.4% -6.1% -7.39% $37.10B /rklb-vs-j →
ESLT
Elbit Systems Ltd.
B 74/100 70.3x 24.4% 15.1% -3.43% $37.55B /eslt-vs-j →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-26 • CIK 0000052988

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-26), Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) reported GAAP revenue of $12.03B (+4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.50B ) , GAAP net income of $289.3M, operating cash flow of $686.7M, and free cash flow of $607.5M (-34.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, J closed FY2025 with $11.61B in total assets against $2.49B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.49, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-26 $12.03B $289.3M $686.7M $607.5M $11.61B $2.49B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-27 $11.50B $806.1M $1.05B $933.6M $11.61B $1.72B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-29 $0 $665.8M $974.8M $974.8M $9.83B $2.30B

3. J Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is J stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Jacobs Solutions Inc. (NYSE: J) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $154.62 (+1.22% 1D, market cap $17.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, J ranks #47 in composite RQD confidence.

How does J compare to ARXS and STRL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), J carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 61.8x, gross margin of 24.8%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, ARXS (Arxis Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $23.66B) and STRL (Sterling Infrastructure Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 39.4x, ROIC 32.3%, cap $11.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRL leads on earnings multiple (39.4x) while STRL leads on capital efficiency (32.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for J?

Per J's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-26, CIK 0000052988), Jacobs Solutions Inc. generated $12.03B in revenue (+4.6% YoY), $289.3M in net income, and $607.5M in free cash flow against $11.61B in total assets and $2.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (25% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 62x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is J trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

J last traded at $154.62 (+1.22% on volume of 646,773 shares), positioning the stock +7.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($143.78) and +15.44% above its 200-day simple moving average ($133.94). Across its 52-week range of $105.68 to $157.00, J sits at the 95.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($146.58 to $162.66).

J Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is J's 12-month stock price target?

Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $162.97 (+5.4% from $154.62), with a bull-case target of $192.3 and a bear-case floor of $126.79.

Is J stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates J B- (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 70/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: J RQD Cockpit J 12M Forecast J Earnings & Move J Dividends & DRIP J Insiders & 13F J Whale Options J Profit Sankey J News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

J — Jacobs Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:04Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, J scores 70 out of 100, a letter grade of B-, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 (ROIC 15.6%; FCF yield 3.4%), Whale 13F Flow at 17/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 11/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (Beta 1.02; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 3.49; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.72). The strongest pillar is institutional flow, and the weakest relative to its maximum is insider conviction. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on cash returns and institutional demand, while the valuation tradeoff is significant: per the market data, the P/E (TTM) is 61.8 and the EV/EBITDA is 20.2, so the stock is priced for sustained earnings growth that the reported net margin of 2.4% does not yet show. The Macro Regime Fit score being the second-weakest indicates the stock carries sector-level sensitivity rather than defensive characteristics. This is an analytical read of the rating, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price152.76
Market Cap$17.88B
P/E (TTM)61.8
Forward P/E57.5
EV/EBITDA20.2
EPS (TTM)2.47
Dividend Yield0.86%
Beta1.02
52-Wk Range$105.68 - $157
ROIC %15.6%

Business

Per the profile, Jacobs Solutions Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Military/Government/Technical industry. The source data does not describe specific products, customer categories, or revenue model details beyond the sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$12029.8M$863.6M$289.3MN/A$607.5M$1552.9M$2486.0M
FY 2024$11500.9M$692.4M$806.1MN/A$933.6M$1299.7M$1717.3M
FY 2023$0.0M$676.5M$665.8MN/A$974.8MN/A$2301.0M

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue rose to $12029.8M from $11500.9M in FY 2024, while net income declined to $289.3M from $806.1M and operating income rose to $863.6M from $692.4M. Per the market data, gross margin is 24.8%, operating margin is 7.2%, and net margin is 2.4%, with ROIC at 15.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.49 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72. The FY 2023 revenue figure is reported as $0.0M in the source, which is treated as a data-quality flag rather than a confirmed value. Not available in source data for a dedicated Altman or Piotroski calculation beyond the stated scores.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Market wire (yellow): Yahoo! Finance Canada and Yahoo Finance coverage of J market action and institutional positioning; a headline references a wastewater project win and a fair-value gap of 49%, per the headline text.
  • Analyst action (red / risk watch): MarketBeat reports a price target cut by KeyCorp.
  • Risk watch (red): StockStory lists J among "3 Low-Volatility Stocks We Find Risky."
  • Market wire (yellow): Simply Wall St forecast coverage and a Yahoo Finance preview of the next quarterly earnings report.
  • Proprietary signals: The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the analyst data section, no analyst consensus, ratings, or price targets are provided: NONE. Per the holders section, no SEC Form 4 insider, 13F institutional, or Congressional trades are provided: NONE. The RQD rating's whale and insider pillar scores (17/20 and 11/20) reflect flow data summarized in that rating, but the underlying holder records are not present in the source data. The KeyCorp price target cut referenced in the news section is noted but its target value is not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What specific business lines and customer contracts generate the reported revenue, given that the source provides only the sector and industry classification?
  • Why did FY 2025 net income fall to $289.3M while operating income rose, and what drove the difference?
  • What were the magnitudes of the KeyCorp price target cut and the wastewater project win referenced in the news wire?
  • Why is FY 2023 revenue reported as $0.0M, and is the figure a data error or a reporting gap?
  • What are the underlying insider, 13F, and Congressional holder records behind the RQD pillar scores?

J Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to J Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

J Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $154.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON J 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on J:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $180.26 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is J (B- • RQD 70/100) a Buy at $152.76?

Welcome to the J (Jacobs Solutions Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (61.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $125.26 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $152.76

Pump the brakes on J — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on J, but look at what you are paying: 61.8x trailing P/E with 24.8% gross margins. Unless Jacobs Solutions Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $177.20 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $152.76

J cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on J, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $152.76 (52-wk range $105.68 - $157.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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