Arxis Inc. (ARXS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$50.82 -7.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.04

Arxis Inc. (ARXS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $21.89B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Arxis Inc. (NASDAQ: ARXS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $50.82 (-7.48% 1D, market cap $21.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARXS ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARXS compare to J and RKLB in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ARXS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.4%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, J (Jacobs Solutions Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 61.8x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $18.10B) and RKLB (Rocket Lab Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $34.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FER leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while J leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARXS?
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Per ARXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002093536), Arxis Inc. generated $1.59B in revenue (+114.1% YoY), $46.0M in net income, and $179.6M in free cash flow against $6.60B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.04 (-1.54%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 11.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (11)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$65 Bull$53 Base$41 Bear
📬 FREE ARXS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARXS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARXS SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.58 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.3% FCF Margin ($179.6M FCF) & 47.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$51.22+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$51.74+4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$54.13-6.1% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$50.82+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARXS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, ARXS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 44.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($51.28) or 200D SMA ($46.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.65) toward Bear Floor ($41.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARXS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARXS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
47.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.58>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
9 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE62% OF RANGE
L: $33$50.82H: $62
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (47% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ARXS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

4.0% ROIC with 47.4% gross margin and 0.76% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 4.58 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (57)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ARXS
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ARXS Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ARXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.13%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $54.93H $54.93L $50.82C $50.82VOL 1.11M
RES: $55.21SUP: $46.85SMA50: $51.28SMA200: $46.23
$63.48$55.26$47.04$38.82$30.60RES $55.21SUP $46.85$50.822026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARXS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +114.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARXS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARXS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARXS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARXS)

Industrials Rank #69 of 485 ⚔️ J vs ARXS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ARXS vs. J, RKLB, ESLT, FER)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arxis Inc. (ARXS) ranks #69 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #57 by equity capitalization ($21.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FER leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while J leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. J currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ARXS at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARXS ACTIVE
Arxis Inc.
C+ 66/100 — 47.4% 4.0% -7.48% $21.89B Benchmark Subject
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc.
B- 70/100 61.8x 24.8% 15.6% +1.22% $18.10B /j-vs-arxs →
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation
D- 37/100 — 34.4% -6.1% -7.39% $34.36B /rklb-vs-arxs →
ESLT
Elbit Systems Ltd.
B- 70/100 70.3x 24.4% 15.1% -3.43% $36.26B /eslt-vs-arxs →
FER
Ferrovial N.V.
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.86% $39.78B /fer-vs-arxs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002093536

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arxis Inc. (ARXS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.59B (+114.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $743.0M , and +274.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $46.0M, operating cash flow of $251.2M, and free cash flow of $179.6M (+378.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARXS closed FY2025 with $6.60B in total assets against $2.61B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.58, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.59B $46.0M $251.2M $179.6M $6.60B $2.61B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $743.0M -$55.5M $70.9M $37.5M $6.32B $2.51B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $424.5M -$59.9M -$7.9M -$27.0M $13.01B $3.04B

3. ARXS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Arxis Inc. (NASDAQ: ARXS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $50.82 (-7.48% 1D, market cap $21.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARXS ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARXS compare to J and RKLB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ARXS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.4%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, J (Jacobs Solutions Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 61.8x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $18.10B) and RKLB (Rocket Lab Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $34.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FER leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while J leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARXS?

Per ARXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002093536), Arxis Inc. generated $1.59B in revenue (+114.1% YoY), $46.0M in net income, and $179.6M in free cash flow against $6.60B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARXS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARXS last traded at $50.82 (-7.48% on volume of 1,114,460 shares), positioning the stock -0.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($51.28) and +9.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.23). Across its 52-week range of $33.15 to $61.50, ARXS sits at the 62.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($44.52 to $57.12).

ARXS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ARXS stock right now?

Arxis Inc. (ARXS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 47% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ARXS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ARXS's 12-month base price target is $52.65 (range $41.07 to $64.58), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARXS — Arxis Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARXS scores 72 out of 100 with a letter grade of B and a verdict label of "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 4%; FCF yield 0.76%), Whale 13F Flow at 17/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 10/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13/20 (Beta 1.06; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20 (Altman Z 4.58; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.83).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillars are the forensic balance sheet and institutional flow, which together point to a company whose accounting quality and ownership base are rated favorably. The weakest pillar is insider conviction, indicating less supporting evidence from insider or congressional trading. The cash-generation pillar is middling: the stated ROIC of 4% and FCF yield of 0.76% are modest relative to the valuation implied by an EV/EBITDA of 77.1, which is an upside-limiting tradeoff if growth does not accelerate. Macro fit is moderate, with a beta of 1.06 implying slightly above-market price sensitivity. The rating therefore describes a balance-sheet-strong, flow-supported name whose valuation and cash returns leave less margin for error.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1591.0M$276.7M$46.0MN/A$179.6M$250.3M$2606.5M
FY 2024$743.0M$102.6M$-55.5MN/A$37.5M$110.8M$2514.8M
FY 2023$424.5M$54.3M$-59.9MN/A$-27.0MN/A$3045.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $424.5M in FY 2023 to $1591.0M in FY 2025, with net income turning positive in FY 2025 at $46.0M after losses in the prior two years. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with an Altman Z of 4.58 and a Piotroski F of 9/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.83 per the same rating. Reported ROIC is 4%, per Market Data. Debt has remained above $2.5B across all three periods, while FY 2025 free cash flow was $179.6M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items reference ARXS:

  • A Yahoo Finance Singapore market-wire report (YELLOW) covering market action and institutional positioning.
  • A CMC Markets piece (GREEN, CATALYST) questioning whether Arxis' acquisition engine can keep powering growth.
  • A Yahoo Finance report (YELLOW) summarizing Q3 earnings.
  • A MarketBeat report (YELLOW) citing a consensus target price of $54.64.
  • A Stock Titan report (YELLOW) stating that up to 13.4M ARXS shares are covered for resale, with the company receiving no proceeds.
  • A Quiver Quantitative report (YELLOW) on Q3 2026 earnings.

Risk watch items include the potential resale of up to 13.4M shares, which is a supply overhang source. The GREEN-tagged CMC item points to acquisition-driven growth as a catalyst, but the underlying figures are not in the source data. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," no butterfly links exist, and no proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are Arxis' products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the source data gives only sector and industry classification?
  • What explains the swing from a FY 2024 net loss of $-55.5M to FY 2025 net income of $46.0M, and is it repeatable?
  • Given debt of $2606.5M against cash of $250.3M in FY 2025, what is the refinancing and maturity profile?
  • What EPS and forward earnings support the market price, since P/E and EPS are not available in source data?
  • What is the scale and timing of the up to 13.4M share resale relative to total shares outstanding?

ARXS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Arxis Inc. (ARXS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARXS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARXS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $50.82?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARXS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARXS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.82 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARXS (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $54.93?

Welcome to the ARXS (Arxis Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.20 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $54.93

Pump the brakes on ARXS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARXS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 47.4% gross margins. Unless Arxis Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $67.56 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $54.93

ARXS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARXS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $54.93 (52-wk range $33.15 - $61.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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