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Stock Ratings / Energy / HOS / forecast
RES (52) XPRO (57) NESR (52) PUMP (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$7.08 -1.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.05

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.57B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HOS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (NYSE: HOS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $7.08 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $1.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, HOS ranks #152 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HOS compare to RES and XPRO in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), HOS carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, RES (RPC Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.37B) and XPRO (Expro Ltd) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NESR leads on earnings multiple (42.3x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOS?
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Per HOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000866829), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (-4.9% YoY), $30.8M in net income, and $136.7M in free cash flow against $2.62B in total assets and $298.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.05 (-0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (9)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$12 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE HOS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HOS SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 19% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$7.26-8.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$6.66+6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$7.06+0.3% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$7.08-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HOS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HOS currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.12) and Max Pain ($7.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your HOS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $7.08: 1412.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $5.23
$7,387
$-2,613 (-26.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $6.70
$9,463
$-537 (-5.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $11.69
$16,511
+$6,511 (+65.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HOS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.93%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $7.18H $7.18L $7.08C $7.08VOL 2.35M
RES: $11.44SUP: $5.90SMA50: $8.12SMA200: $9.05
$11.47$10.06$8.65$7.23$5.82RES $11.44SUP $5.90$7.082026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HOS Butterfly Map → + Track HOS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
37.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOS)

Energy Rank #152 of 211 ⚔️ RES vs HOS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (HOS vs. RES, XPRO, NESR, PUMP)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) ranks #152 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #127 by equity capitalization ($1.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NESR leads on earnings valuation at 42.3x trailing P/E, while NESR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 12.4% gross margin. XPRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with HOS at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HOS ACTIVE
Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.
D 46/100 51.7x 12.3% 3.5% -1.39% $1.57B Benchmark Subject
RES
RPC Inc.
D+ 52/100 44.1x — 4.0% -3.29% $1.37B /res-vs-hos →
XPRO
Expro Ltd
D+ 57/100 — — — -0.52% $1.96B /xpro-vs-hos →
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited Corp
D+ 52/100 42.3x 12.4% 7.5% -0.56% $2.15B /nesr-vs-hos →
PUMP
ProPetro Holding Corp.
D- 43/100 — — 0.6% -1.78% $949.7M /pump-vs-hos →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000866829

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (-4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +0.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.8M, operating cash flow of $136.7M, and free cash flow of $136.7M (-26.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOS closed FY2025 with $2.62B in total assets against $298.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.95, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.29B $30.8M $136.7M $136.7M $2.62B $298.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.36B $55.6M $186.0M $186.0M $2.60B $306.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.29B -$10.8M $152.5M $152.5M — —

3. HOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (NYSE: HOS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $7.08 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $1.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, HOS ranks #152 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HOS compare to RES and XPRO in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), HOS carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, RES (RPC Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.37B) and XPRO (Expro Ltd) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NESR leads on earnings multiple (42.3x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOS?

Per HOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000866829), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (-4.9% YoY), $30.8M in net income, and $136.7M in free cash flow against $2.62B in total assets and $298.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOS last traded at $7.08 (-1.39% on volume of 2,354,970 shares), positioning the stock -12.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.12) and -21.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.05). Across its 52-week range of $6.11 to $11.13, HOS sits at the 19.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($6.45 to $7.71).

Direct Sub-Reports: HOS RQD Cockpit HOS 12M Forecast HOS Earnings & Move HOS Dividends & DRIP HOS Insiders & 13F HOS Whale Options HOS Profit Sankey HOS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HOS — Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HOS scores 47 out of 100 with a letter grade of D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillar scores are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 3.5% and an FCF yield of 8.57%. For an investor, a 3.5% ROIC is modest relative to the capital base, though the 8.57% FCF yield indicates the cash generated per dollar of market value is comparatively substantial. The gap between these two readings is itself informative: cash generation is present, but returns on invested capital are thin.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the weakest pillar, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data contains no 13F holder detail (see Analyst View section), so the low score is a signal of weak institutional support rather than a detailed ownership map.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with a sector sensitivity assessment. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, offering no defensive cushion; the oilfield services sensitivity adds cyclical exposure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 1.95, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.19. Debt/Equity of 0.19 is a relative strength, while an Altman Z of 1.95 sits in a zone that conventionally warrants caution about financial distress, and the Piotroski score is moderate.

Implications for a prospective investor: The upside case rests on the FCF yield and low leverage, which give the equity cash-generation support and balance-sheet room. The valuation tradeoff is significant: per the market data, P/E (TTM) is 51.7 against EPS (TTM) of 0.14, and EV/EBITDA is 22.6, which prices in substantial earnings recovery relative to reported trailing profitability. Weak whale flow and mixed insider signals reduce confidence that informed capital sees the recovery. The overall RQD verdict is a distribution warning, so the rating frames this as a name where the risk-reward appears unfavorable on the current scoring.

Business

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in the Oilfield Services/Equipment industry. Per the market data, the company's margin profile shows gross margin of 12.3%, operating margin of 5%, and net margin of 2.4%. Its market capitalization is $1.6B per the market data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the six items are all tagged to HOS:

  • Momentum and market action (YELLOW): Coverage notes a stock rise tied to momentum returning to offshore services and a forecast-style report on market action.
  • Valuation framing (YELLOW): A Simply Wall St report frames the shares as potentially well below fair value following a 31% slide, a view that conflicts with the RQD distribution warning and should be weighed against it.
  • Rating upgrade (GREEN, CATALYST): A MarketBeat item reports a Wall Street Zen rating raised to "Buy," the only item in the feed tagged as a catalyst.
  • Earnings timing (YELLOW): Stock Titan reports that third-quarter results will be released before the Nov. 5 call, a near-term event risk.
  • Fleet and technology expansion (YELLOW): A NOLA.com report describes an "all-in-one" offshore services firm with a expanding fleet and frontier technology, which is a growth narrative to verify against reported financials.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between trailing EPS of 0.14 and a P/E of 51.7, and what portion of recent net income decline reflects cyclical versus structural factors?
  • Why are EPS values for FY 2023–FY 2025 unreported, and how do reported net income figures reconcile to per-share results?
  • What are the Congressional PTR and SEC Form 4 transactions that make up the insider cluster flow scored in the RQD rating?
  • What is the reported cash and debt position for FY 2023, given those fields are missing from the financials?
  • Which specific fleet expansion and frontier-technology initiatives are referenced in the news, and what capital commitments do they require?

HOS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HOS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HOS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.08?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HOS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HOS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.13 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow yield of 8.57% and a Debt/Equity of 0.19 give the equity cash-generation support and balance-sheet room.

The street is overcomplicating Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS). Free cash flow yield of 8.57% and a Debt/Equity of 0.19 give the equity cash-generation support and balance-sheet room.. With an RQD score of 46/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 9/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $7.65.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — HOS's 9/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.73 (-19.1%)
Spot @ $7.08

Trailing P/E of 51.7 on EPS of 0.14 against a 3.5% ROIC and a D-grade RQD rating leaves little margin for error.

Careful chasing HOS at $7.08. Trailing P/E of 51.7 on EPS of 0.14 against a 3.5% ROIC and a D-grade RQD rating leaves little margin for error.. Gross margin is 12.3%, but operating margin is 5.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $5.73 on multiple compression.

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