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RES (52) XPRO (57) NESR (52) PUMP (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.9% Move

$6.45 -8.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.33

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.57B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (NYSE: HOS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $6.45 (-8.90% 1D, market cap $1.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, HOS ranks #152 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HOS compare to RES and XPRO in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), HOS carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, RES (RPC Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.37B) and XPRO (Expro Ltd) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NESR leads on earnings multiple (42.3x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOS?
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Per HOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000866829), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (-4.9% YoY), $30.8M in net income, and $136.7M in free cash flow against $2.62B in total assets and $298.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.33 (-1.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (9)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$12 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE HOS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HOS SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$7.26-8.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$6.66+6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$7.06-8.6% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$6.45-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HOS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HOS currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.12) and Max Pain ($6.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.9% Swing Band

±$0.57 Expected Swing
$5.88 (-8.9%)Spot $6.45$7.02 (+8.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

HOS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $0.14 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4.9%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.29B$30.8M$136.7M12.3%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.36B$55.6M$186.0M16.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.29B-$10.8M$152.5M12.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HOS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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HOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $7.18H $7.18L $6.45C $6.45VOL 2.35M
RES: $11.44SUP: $5.90SMA50: $8.12SMA200: $9.05
$11.47$10.06$8.65$7.23$5.82RES $11.44SUP $5.90$6.452026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HOS Butterfly Map → + Track HOS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
37.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOS)

Energy Rank #152 of 211 ⚔️ RES vs HOS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (HOS vs. RES, XPRO, NESR, PUMP)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) ranks #152 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #127 by equity capitalization ($1.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NESR leads on earnings valuation at 42.3x trailing P/E, while NESR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 12.4% gross margin. XPRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with HOS at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HOS ACTIVE
Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.
D 46/100 51.7x 12.3% 3.5% -8.90% $1.57B Benchmark Subject
RES
RPC Inc.
D+ 52/100 44.1x — 4.0% -4.05% $1.37B /res-vs-hos →
XPRO
Expro Ltd
D+ 57/100 — — — -8.05% $1.96B /xpro-vs-hos →
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited Corp
D+ 52/100 42.3x 12.4% 7.5% -1.59% $2.15B /nesr-vs-hos →
PUMP
ProPetro Holding Corp.
D- 43/100 — — 0.6% -9.57% $949.7M /pump-vs-hos →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000866829 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (-4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +0.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.8M, operating cash flow of $136.7M, and free cash flow of $136.7M (-26.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOS closed FY2025 with $2.62B in total assets against $298.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.95, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.29B $30.8M $136.7M $136.7M $2.62B $298.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.36B $55.6M $186.0M $186.0M $2.60B $306.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.29B -$10.8M $152.5M $152.5M — —

3. HOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (NYSE: HOS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $6.45 (-8.90% 1D, market cap $1.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, HOS ranks #152 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HOS compare to RES and XPRO in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), HOS carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, RES (RPC Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.37B) and XPRO (Expro Ltd) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NESR leads on earnings multiple (42.3x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOS?

Per HOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000866829), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (-4.9% YoY), $30.8M in net income, and $136.7M in free cash flow against $2.62B in total assets and $298.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOS last traded at $6.45 (-8.90% on volume of 2,797,967 shares), positioning the stock -20.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.12) and -28.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.05). Across its 52-week range of $6.11 to $11.13, HOS sits at the 6.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($5.88 to $7.02).

Direct Sub-Reports: HOS RQD Cockpit HOS 12M Forecast HOS Earnings & Move HOS Dividends & DRIP HOS Insiders & 13F HOS Whale Options HOS Profit Sankey HOS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HOS — Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $6.45 (-8.90% 1D, market capitalization $1.57B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.5%, gross margin of 12.3%, operating margin of 5.0%, and free cash flow yield of 8.57%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.95, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.19x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in the Oilfield Services/Equipment industry. Per the market data, the company's margin profile shows gross margin of 12.3%, operating margin of 5%, and net margin of 2.4%. Its market capitalization is $1.6B per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) reported $1.29B in annual revenue (up from $1.36B in FY2024, -4.9% YoY) and $30.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.29B revenue, -$10.8M net income) through FY2025, HOS scaled operating cash flow to $136.7M and free cash flow to $136.7M, backed by $2.62B in total assets against $298.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 8.57% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.11 – $11.13 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 51.7x trailing P/E and 22.6x EV/EBITDA against 5.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Oilfield Services/Equipment (Energy), HOS carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 12.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can HOS sustain or expand its 5.0% operating margin and 3.5% ROIC against Oilfield Services/Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.29B and free cash flow of $136.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $298.4M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HOS's 48.1x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HOS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HOS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HOS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.45?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HOS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HOS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.13 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow yield of 8.57% and a Debt/Equity of 0.19 give the equity cash-generation support and balance-sheet room.

The street is overcomplicating Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS). Free cash flow yield of 8.57% and a Debt/Equity of 0.19 give the equity cash-generation support and balance-sheet room.. With an RQD score of 46/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 9/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $7.65.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — HOS's 9/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.73 (-19.1%)
Spot @ $7.08

Trailing P/E of 51.7 on EPS of 0.14 against a 3.5% ROIC and a D-grade RQD rating leaves little margin for error.

Careful chasing HOS at $7.08. Trailing P/E of 51.7 on EPS of 0.14 against a 3.5% ROIC and a D-grade RQD rating leaves little margin for error.. Gross margin is 12.3%, but operating margin is 5.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $5.73 on multiple compression.

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