Yahoo Finance UK report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why HLT Stock surged +2.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
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Is HLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HLT) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $364.71 (+2.18% 1D, market cap $79.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HLT ranks #45 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does HLT compare to MAR and IHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HLT carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 33.5%. By comparison, MAR (Marriott International) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 40.1x, ROIC 39.2%, cap $104.12B) and IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group American) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $24.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while MAR leads on capital efficiency (39.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLT?
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Per HLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001585689), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. generated $12.04B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $1.46B in net income, and $2.03B in free cash flow against $16.77B in total assets and $9.95B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16.8% FCF Margin ($2.03B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.5% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HLT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, HLT faces multiple-compression risk if 54.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($326.71) or 200D SMA ($321.75) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($394.25) toward Bear Floor ($299.06).
Why HLT Stock surged +2.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) surged +2.18% to $364.71, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($253.54 – $364.71). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($253.54 – $364.71) with RSI-14 at 65.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.5% around $364.71 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $2.0B annual free cash flow.
Reuters report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Marriott International (NASDAQ:MAR) is scheduled to report its earnings on Monday, November 2, 2026. The company has a market value of about $105.5 billion. Over the last twelve months it generated $26.9 billion in reven
Hotel company Hilton (NYSE:HLT) missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q3 2026, but sales rose 6.6% year on year to $3.33 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $2.45 per share was 3.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HLT Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
HLT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +7.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HLT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HLT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HLT)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HLT vs. MAR, IHG, LVS, H)
Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) ranks #45 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #25 by equity capitalization ($79.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LVS leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while MAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.2% ROIC and — gross margin. HLT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLT
ACTIVE
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 54.5x | — | 33.5% | +2.18% | $79.42B | Benchmark Subject |
| MAR Marriott International | B+ | 76/100 | 40.1x | — | 39.2% | +4.26% | $104.12B | /mar-vs-hlt → |
| IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group American | C+ | 66/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +2.27% | $24.70B | /ihg-vs-hlt → |
| LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp. | D+ | 56/100 | 14.3x | — | 36.2% | +3.33% | $23.18B | /lvs-vs-hlt → |
| H Hyatt Hotels Corporation | D | 47/100 | — | — | -0.7% | +2.99% | $16.86B | /h-vs-hlt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001585689 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) reported GAAP revenue of $12.04B (+7.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.17B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.46B, operating cash flow of $2.13B, and free cash flow of $2.03B (+5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, HLT closed FY2025 with $16.77B in total assets against $9.95B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.17, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $12.04B | $1.46B | $2.13B | $2.03B | $16.77B | $9.95B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $11.17B | $1.53B | $2.01B | $1.92B | $16.52B | $9.09B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $10.23B | $1.14B | $1.95B | $1.49B | $43.68B | $10.22B |
3. HLT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HLT) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $364.71 (+2.18% 1D, market cap $79.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HLT ranks #45 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HLT compare to MAR and IHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HLT carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 33.5%. By comparison, MAR (Marriott International) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 40.1x, ROIC 39.2%, cap $104.12B) and IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group American) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $24.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while MAR leads on capital efficiency (39.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLT?
Per HLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001585689), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. generated $12.04B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $1.46B in net income, and $2.03B in free cash flow against $16.77B in total assets and $9.95B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HLT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HLT last traded at $364.71 (+2.18% on volume of 2,392,294 shares), positioning the stock +11.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($326.71) and +13.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($321.75). Across its 52-week range of $253.54 to $364.50, HLT sits at the 100.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($348.30 to $381.12).
HLT — Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 76/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $364.71 (+2.18% 1D, market capitalization $79.42B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 33.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 22.4%, and free cash flow yield of 2.55%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.17, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Hotels/Resorts industry. It is a Consumer Discretionary issuer with a market capitalization of $79.4B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) reported $12.04B in annual revenue (up from $11.17B in FY2024, +7.7% YoY) and $1.46B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($10.23B revenue, $1.14B net income) through FY2025, HLT scaled operating cash flow to $2.13B and free cash flow to $2.03B, backed by $16.77B in total assets against $9.95B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 76/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $253.54 – $364.50 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 54.5x trailing P/E and 31.6x EV/EBITDA against 22.4% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — Investors should note that the source provides no mapped ripple paths, so any such analysis would require information beyond this dataset.
- Key Question #1: Can HLT sustain or expand its 22.4% operating margin and 33.5% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $12.04B and free cash flow of $2.03B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $9.95B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is HLT's 50.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?
HLT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reuters report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
HLT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $364.71?
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC of 33.5% and an FCF yield of 2.55% anchor a 19/20 fundamental cash engine, supported by an 18/20 inst
Long HLT at $356.92 targeting $428.30. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC of 33.5% and an FCF yield of 2.55% anchor a 19/20 fundamental cash engine, supported by an 18/20 institutional flow score.. Institutional whale score is 18/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $256.24 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 76/100 quality, though with 1.08 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $356.92 and keeping dry powder in case we test $331.94.
Per the market data, a P/E (TTM) of 54.5 and EV/EBITDA of 31.6 leave a rich valuation with limited margin for error, and net income fel
I respect the product at Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., but the stock at $356.92 is a different story. Per the market data, a P/E (TTM) of 54.5 and EV/EBITDA of 31.6 leave a rich valuation with limited margin for error, and net income fell from $1.53B to $1.46B in FY 2025.. FCF yield is 2.55% and RQD sits at 76/100 (B+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?