What is HLT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HLT's 12-month base price target is $394.25 (range $299.06 to $465.21), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HLT

MAR (76) IHG (66) LVS (56) H (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell HLT stock right now?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

$364.71 +2.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $367.02

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $79.42B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HLT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HLT) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $364.71 (+2.18% 1D, market cap $79.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HLT ranks #45 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HLT compare to MAR and IHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HLT carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 33.5%. By comparison, MAR (Marriott International) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 40.1x, ROIC 39.2%, cap $104.12B) and IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group American) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $24.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while MAR leads on capital efficiency (39.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLT?

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Per HLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001585689), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. generated $12.04B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $1.46B in net income, and $2.03B in free cash flow against $16.77B in total assets and $9.95B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $367.01 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 16.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HLT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HLT SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16.8% FCF Margin ($2.03B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$328.00+10.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$362.25-3.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$349.63+4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$364.71+7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HLT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, HLT faces multiple-compression risk if 54.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($326.71) or 200D SMA ($321.75) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($394.25) toward Bear Floor ($299.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HLT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HLT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

65.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.17>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE99% OF RANGE

L: $254$364.71H: $365

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A+RQD 19 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on HLT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (95)

33.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.55% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.17 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (68)

30/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HLT

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HLT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HLT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.13%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $356.9H $364.7L $356.9C $364.7VOL 1.62M

RES: $369.5SUP: $275.8SMA50: $326.7SMA200: $321.8

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HLT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HLT Butterfly Map → + Track HLT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

38.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HLT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HLT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HLT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HLT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #45 of 1009 ⚔️ MAR vs HLT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HLT vs. MAR, IHG, LVS, H)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) ranks #45 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #25 by equity capitalization ($79.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LVS leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while MAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.2% ROIC and — gross margin. HLT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HLT ACTIVE Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.	B+	76/100	54.5x	—	33.5%	+2.18%	$79.42B	Benchmark Subject
MAR Marriott International	B+	76/100	40.1x	—	39.2%	+4.26%	$104.12B	/mar-vs-hlt →
IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group American	C+	66/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.27%	$24.70B	/ihg-vs-hlt →
LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp.	D+	56/100	14.3x	—	36.2%	+3.33%	$23.18B	/lvs-vs-hlt →
H Hyatt Hotels Corporation	D	47/100	—	—	-0.7%	+2.99%	$16.86B	/h-vs-hlt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001585689 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) reported GAAP revenue of $12.04B (+7.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.17B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.46B, operating cash flow of $2.13B, and free cash flow of $2.03B (+5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, HLT closed FY2025 with $16.77B in total assets against $9.95B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.17, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$12.04B	$1.46B	$2.13B	$2.03B	$16.77B	$9.95B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$11.17B	$1.53B	$2.01B	$1.92B	$16.52B	$9.09B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$10.23B	$1.14B	$1.95B	$1.49B	$43.68B	$10.22B

3. HLT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HLT compare to MAR and IHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLT?

Where is HLT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HLT last traded at $364.71 (+2.18% on volume of 2,392,294 shares), positioning the stock +11.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($326.71) and +13.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($321.75). Across its 52-week range of $253.54 to $364.50, HLT sits at the 100.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($348.30 to $381.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: HLT RQD Cockpit HLT 12M Forecast HLT Earnings & Move HLT Dividends & DRIP HLT Insiders & 13F HLT Whale Options HLT Profit Sankey HLT News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HLT — Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 76/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $364.71 (+2.18% 1D, market capitalization $79.42B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 33.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 22.4%, and free cash flow yield of 2.55%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.17, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Hotels/Resorts industry. It is a Consumer Discretionary issuer with a market capitalization of $79.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) reported $12.04B in annual revenue (up from $11.17B in FY2024, +7.7% YoY) and $1.46B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($10.23B revenue, $1.14B net income) through FY2025, HLT scaled operating cash flow to $2.13B and free cash flow to $2.03B, backed by $16.77B in total assets against $9.95B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 76/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $253.54 – $364.50 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 54.5x trailing P/E and 31.6x EV/EBITDA against 22.4% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — Investors should note that the source provides no mapped ripple paths, so any such analysis would require information beyond this dataset.

Key Question #1: Can HLT sustain or expand its 22.4% operating margin and 33.5% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $12.04B and free cash flow of $2.03B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $9.95B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is HLT's 50.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?

HLT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HLT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Reuters • 1d ago

Hilton to move stock listing to Nasdaq

Reuters report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 1d ago

Why Is Everybody Paying A Premium For Hilton Stock?

Trefis report covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT), Why Is It Getting Attention Today?