HDFC Bank Limited (HDB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.7% Move

$22.18 +1.74% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.21

HDFC Bank Limited (HDB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $111.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HDB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, HDFC Bank Limited (NYSE: HDB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $22.18 (+1.74% 1D, market cap $111.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HDB ranks #266 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HDB compare to CM and IBN in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Commercial Banks), HDB carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 20.7%. By comparison, CM (Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $107.89B) and IBN (ICICI Bank Limited) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $104.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HDB leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while HDB leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HDB?
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Per HDB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001144967), HDFC Bank Limited generated $24.80B in revenue (-3.2% YoY), $7.51B in net income, and $11.36B in free cash flow against $61.52B in total assets and $14.40B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.21 (+0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 45.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (6)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$39 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE HDB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HDB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HDB SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 45.8% FCF Margin ($11.36B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$22.76+1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$23.06-7.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$21.36+3.8% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$22.18+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HDB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, HDB faces multiple-compression risk if 14.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.63) or 200D SMA ($25.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.88) toward Bear Floor ($17.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HDB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HDB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.7% Swing Band

±$0.82 Expected Swing
$21.36 (-3.7%)Spot $22.18$23.00 (+3.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

HDB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $1.46 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.2%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-03-31$24.80B$7.51B$11.36B52%
FY 20242025-03-31$25.64B$7.88B$13.22B52%
FY 20232024-03-31$22.24B$7.47B$11.27B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating HDB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on HDB
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HDB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.74%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $21.55H $22.18L $21.55C $22.18VOL 5.56M
RES: $24.08SUP: $20.78SMA50: $22.63SMA200: $25.70
$34.35$30.83$27.31$23.79$20.27RES $24.08SUP $20.78$22.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HDB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HDB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HDB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HDB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HDB)

Financials Rank #266 of 1096 ⚔️ CM vs HDB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HDB vs. CM, IBN, BMO, ING)

Industry: Commercial Banks (34 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HDFC Bank Limited (HDB) ranks #266 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #29 by equity capitalization ($111.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HDB leads on earnings valuation at 14.9x trailing P/E, while HDB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and — gross margin. HDB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HDB ACTIVE
HDFC Bank Limited
C 65/100 14.9x — 20.7% +1.74% $111.86B Benchmark Subject
CM
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
C 65/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.98% $107.89B /cm-vs-hdb →
IBN
ICICI Bank Limited
C 62/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.10% $104.29B /ibn-vs-hdb →
BMO
Bank Of Montreal
C 64/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.70% $122.25B /bmo-vs-hdb →
ING
ING Group N.V.
D+ 57/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.42% $93.57B /ing-vs-hdb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001144967

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), HDFC Bank Limited (HDB) reported GAAP revenue of $24.80B (-3.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.64B , and +11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.51B, operating cash flow of $11.92B, and free cash flow of $11.36B (-14.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, HDB closed FY2025 with $61.52B in total assets against $14.40B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $24.80B $7.51B $11.92B $11.36B $61.52B $14.40B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $25.64B $7.88B $14.00B $13.22B $61.52B $14.40B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $22.24B $7.47B $12.27B $11.27B $61.52B $14.40B

3. HDB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HDB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, HDFC Bank Limited (NYSE: HDB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $22.18 (+1.74% 1D, market cap $111.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HDB ranks #266 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HDB compare to CM and IBN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Commercial Banks), HDB carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 20.7%. By comparison, CM (Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $107.89B) and IBN (ICICI Bank Limited) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $104.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HDB leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while HDB leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HDB?

Per HDB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001144967), HDFC Bank Limited generated $24.80B in revenue (-3.2% YoY), $7.51B in net income, and $11.36B in free cash flow against $61.52B in total assets and $14.40B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HDB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HDB last traded at $22.18 (+1.74% on volume of 7,440,433 shares), positioning the stock -1.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.63) and -13.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.70). Across its 52-week range of $21.36 to $37.35, HDB sits at the 5.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($21.36 to $23.00).

HDB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is HDB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, HDFC Bank Limited (HDB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is HDB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.7% event move for HDB, spanning a range between $21.36 and $23.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HDB — HDFC Bank Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:40Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HDB scores 65 out of 100, grade C, verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 20.7% and an FCF yield of 10.15%. For a prospective investor, this is the strongest part of the thesis: the business is reported as generating high returns on capital and substantial free cash flow relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is low, which suggests institutional sponsorship is not a meaningful tailwind in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the highest-scoring pillar, but the underlying insider transaction detail is not itemized in the source data, so the score cannot be traced to specific trades here.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.06 with sector sensitivity noted. A beta slightly above 1 implies the stock is reported to move roughly in line with, and modestly more than, the market, offering limited defensive cushioning.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These point to a reasonably sound balance sheet without signaling distress.

Investor implications: the valuation case rests on cash generation and returns on capital, with P/E around 14.9 trailing. The weakest pillar, institutional 13F flow, indicates that broader institutional conviction is not evident in the source data, which may limit near-term re-rating catalysts. The stock's 52-week range of $21.36 – $37.35 against a price of $21.8 places it near the low end of that band. A "Hold" verdict per the RQD framework signals balanced rather than asymmetric risk-reward.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$21.8$111.86B14.913.912.11.462.09%1.06$21.36 - $37.3520.7%

Business

HDFC Bank Limited (HDB) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and Commercial Banks industry, per the company profile. Per the market data, its operating margin is 36.9% and net margin is 30.3%. The source data does not describe its product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix beyond sector and industry classification.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items were published in the window provided, all tagged to HDB with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines reference: a TradingView market and positioning report; a Yahoo Finance item on the Q2 earnings call; a Seeking Alpha note describing a neutral view "justified by in-line results and leadership transition"; a MarketBeat item reporting Perpetual Ltd purchasing 1,961,566 shares; a Yahoo Finance value comparison against WF; and a Globe and Mail item reporting HDFC Bank granting over 1.3 million employee stock options under ESOS Plan H-2024. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are recorded. Risk watch items are limited to the leadership transition referenced in the Seeking Alpha headline; the source data does not detail its nature.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects cannot be assessed from the provided materials.

Open Questions

  • What is the nature and timing of the leadership transition referenced in the Seeking Alpha headline, and how does it bear on the RQD Hold verdict?
  • Which specific SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR transactions underpin the 18/20 insider conviction score?
  • What are the reported cash and EPS figures, which are absent from the financial periods provided?
  • Why did revenue and net income decline year over year in FY 2025 despite unchanged debt, and what drove the change?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, given that analyst data is unavailable?

HDB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for HDFC Bank Limited (HDB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HDB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HDB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.18?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HDB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HDB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $23.54 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HDB (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $21.80?

Welcome to the HDB (HDFC Bank Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Commercial Banks. Bulls point to capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.79 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $21.80

Pump the brakes on HDB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HDB, but look at what you are paying: 14.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless HDFC Bank Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.29 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $21.80

HDB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HDB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Commercial Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.80 (52-wk range $21.36 - $37.35), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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