Stock Ratings / Materials / GSM / earnings

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Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.3% Move

$3.86 -3.74% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.83

Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $749.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GSM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GSM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Ferroglobe PLC (NASDAQ: GSM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $3.86 (-3.74% 1D, market cap $749.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GSM ranks #106 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GSM compare to DC and LAR in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), GSM carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DC (Dakota Gold Corp.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.3%, cap $733.9M) and LAR (Lithium Argentina AG) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $730.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSM?

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For Ferroglobe PLC (GSM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #106 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.83 (-0.86%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GSM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GSM SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($21.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$4.10+2.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.20-7.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$3.87-0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$3.86-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GSM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GSM currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.16) and Max Pain ($4.05) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GSM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GSM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.3% Swing Band

±$0.32 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GSM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 49/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (49/100)Model Risk Weight (51/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GSM)

✓Walkthrough of GSM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GSM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.70%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $4.01H $4.01L $3.86C $3.86VOL 757.9K

RES: $4.63SUP: $3.84SMA50: $4.16SMA200: $4.22

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GSM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GSM Butterfly Map → + Track GSM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GSM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GSM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GSM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GSM)

Materials Rank #106 of 270 ⚔️ DC vs GSM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (GSM vs. DC, LAR, LAC, ASM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) ranks #106 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #154 by equity capitalization ($749.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GSM ACTIVE Ferroglobe PLC	D	49/100	—	—	—	-3.74%	$749.3M	Benchmark Subject
DC Dakota Gold Corp.	E	34/100	—	—	-29.3%	-7.31%	$733.9M	/dc-vs-gsm →
LAR Lithium Argentina AG	D	45/100	—	—	—	-8.31%	$730.2M	/lar-vs-gsm →
LAC Lithium Americas Corp.	E	32/100	—	—	-8.1%	-4.69%	$773.3M	/lac-vs-gsm →
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)	D	44/100	—	—	—	-5.86%	$779.4M	/asm-vs-gsm →

2. GSM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $749.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. GSM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GSM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GSM compare to DC and LAR in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSM?

Where is GSM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GSM last traded at $3.86 (-3.74% on volume of 1,233,691 shares), positioning the stock -7.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.16) and -8.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.22). Across its 52-week range of $3.08 to $5.66, GSM sits at the 30.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($3.54 to $4.18).

GSM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GSM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ferroglobe PLC (GSM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is GSM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.3% event move for GSM, spanning a range between $3.54 and $4.18.

Direct Sub-Reports: GSM RQD Cockpit GSM 12M Forecast GSM Earnings & Move GSM Dividends & DRIP GSM Insiders & 13F GSM Whale Options GSM Profit Sankey GSM News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GSM — Ferroglobe PLC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GSM scores 49 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

Read together, the pillar scores point to a stock where the strongest component is the balance sheet, and the weakest signals are institutional flow and macro fit. The 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield in the cash-engine pillar mean the rating does not credit the company with a return on invested capital or free-cash-flow yield at current levels. For a prospective investor, the practical implication is that valuation support from cash generation is not evident in the source data, so any upside case would depend on factors outside the reported cash-return metrics. The distribution warning label signals that the composite evidence leans negative. This is an analytical framing of the data, not a recommendation.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed lists six items tagged to GSM, with mixed signal tones. Two items are labeled CATALYST (a MarketBeat report of a Wall Street Zen rating upgrade, and a Q2 2026 earnings item describing an EPS of $0.32 that exceeded a negative consensus estimate and a swing to profit beating estimates by a wide margin). Four items are labeled MARKET WIRE: a StockInvest.us price forecast, a Stock Titan amended disclosure stating a passive investor reports owning 5% or less of GSM, a MarketBeat notice of an expected earnings date on Tuesday, and a second Q2 2026 earnings item referencing an estimate uncertainty and a guidance revision trend. The earnings-related headlines are not reconciled with each other in the source data, and no underlying financial statements are supplied to verify them. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependency map, no named sector correlations, and no identified bottlenecks. Investors should treat second-order ripple analysis for GSM as unavailable from the provided sources.

Open Questions

What are GSM's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
What drives the 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and are these zero values a data limitation or a true reported result?
What are the P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA multiples, which are all unavailable in the source data?
Which earnings results are accurate, given that two conflicting Q2 2026 headlines describe different outcomes?
Who are the institutional holders and insiders behind the 13F and Form 4 pillar signals, and what is the timing of their trades?

GSM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GSM Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 13h ago

Ferroglobe Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy GSM?

StockInvest.us report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 16h ago

Ferroglobe (NASDAQ:GSM) Stock Rating Upgraded by Wall Street Zen

MarketBeat report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 19h ago

A passive investor reports owning 5% or less of Ferroglobe (GSM) in an amended disclosure.

Stock Titan report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 22h ago

Ferroglobe (GSM) Expected to Post Earnings on Tuesday

MarketBeat report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

GSM Q2 2026 Earnings: Ferroglobe Posts $0.32 EPS, Far Ahead of a Negative Consensus Estimate - Guidance Revision Trend

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

GSM Q2 2026 Earnings: Ferroglobe Swings to Profit, Beating Estimates by a Wide Margin - Estimate Uncertainty

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 13d ago

Ferroglobe PLC Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call for November 4, 2026

LONDON, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Ferroglobe PLC (NASDAQ: GSM) announced today that it will issue third quarter 2026 financial results after the market closes on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, and will host the quart

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GSM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.86?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GSM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $4.33 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GSM (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $4.01?

Welcome to the GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.29 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $4.01

Pump the brakes on GSM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GSM, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ferroglobe PLC expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.85 (+20.9%)

Spot @ $4.01

GSM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GSM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.01 (52-wk range $3.08 - $5.66), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.