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Stock Ratings / Industrials / GRMN / forecast
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Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) (GRMN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$272.67 -2.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $272.05

Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) (GRMN) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (59% profit margin, 17% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $52.54B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GRMN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GRMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) (NYSE: GRMN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $272.67 (-2.60% 1D, market cap $52.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GRMN ranks #34 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GRMN compare to KEYS and LHX in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GRMN carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.4x, gross margin of 58.7%, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, KEYS (Keysight Technologies Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 66.1x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $52.30B) and LHX (L3Harris Technologies Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $51.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LHX leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while ROK leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRMN?
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Per GRMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001121788), Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) generated $7.25B in revenue (+15.1% YoY), $1.66B in net income, and $1.36B in free cash flow against $10.99B in total assets and $2.57B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (59% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $272.04 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 18.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B+
Cash (15)Whales (10)SEC (18)Macro (14)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$339 Bull$287 Base$224 Bear
📬 FREE GRMN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GRMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GRMN SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.8% FCF Margin ($1.36B FCF) & 58.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
78
Grade A-$279.72+4.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
75
Grade B+$291.13-6.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$272.51+0.1% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$272.67+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GRMN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, GRMN faces multiple-compression risk if 32.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 56.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($281.72) or 200D SMA ($254.86) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($287.39) toward Bear Floor ($223.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GRMN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GRMN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GRMN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $272.67: 36.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $223.59
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $287.39
$10,540
+$540 (+5.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $339.12
$12,437
+$2,437 (+24.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$29974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$31969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$25558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GRMN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
GRMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.28%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $279.9H $279.9L $272.7C $272.7VOL 947.5K
RES: $295.3SUP: $258.3SMA50: $281.7SMA200: $254.9
$320.6$294.5$268.5$242.5$216.5RES $295.3SUP $258.3$272.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GRMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GRMN Butterfly Map → + Track GRMN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRMN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GRMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRMN)

Industrials Rank #34 of 485 ⚔️ KEYS vs GRMN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GRMN vs. KEYS, LHX, AME, ROK)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) (GRMN) ranks #34 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #29 by equity capitalization ($52.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LHX leads on earnings valuation at 32.3x trailing P/E, while ROK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.9% ROIC and 48.1% gross margin. ROK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with GRMN at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GRMN ACTIVE
Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland)
B- 70/100 32.4x 58.7% 16.6% -2.60% $52.54B Benchmark Subject
KEYS
Keysight Technologies Inc.
C- 59/100 66.1x 62.1% 10.5% -6.86% $52.30B /keys-vs-grmn →
LHX
L3Harris Technologies Inc.
C 65/100 32.3x — 5.7% -0.29% $51.69B /lhx-vs-grmn →
AME
AMETEK Inc.
C+ 69/100 39.0x 36.0% 13.4% -4.23% $55.28B /ame-vs-grmn →
ROK
Rockwell Automation Inc.
B 73/100 57.8x 48.1% 22.9% -3.37% $48.54B /rok-vs-grmn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0001121788

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) (GRMN) reported GAAP revenue of $7.25B (+15.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.30B , and +38.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.66B, operating cash flow of $1.63B, and free cash flow of $1.36B (+10.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GRMN closed FY2025 with $10.99B in total assets against $2.57B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.74, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $7.25B $1.66B $1.63B $1.36B $10.99B $2.57B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $6.30B $1.41B $1.43B $1.24B $9.63B $2.25B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $5.23B $1.29B $1.38B $1.14B $29.67B $6.94B

3. GRMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GRMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) (NYSE: GRMN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $272.67 (-2.60% 1D, market cap $52.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GRMN ranks #34 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GRMN compare to KEYS and LHX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GRMN carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.4x, gross margin of 58.7%, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, KEYS (Keysight Technologies Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 66.1x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $52.30B) and LHX (L3Harris Technologies Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $51.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LHX leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while ROK leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRMN?

Per GRMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001121788), Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) generated $7.25B in revenue (+15.1% YoY), $1.66B in net income, and $1.36B in free cash flow against $10.99B in total assets and $2.57B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (59% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GRMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GRMN last traded at $272.67 (-2.60% on volume of 947,461 shares), positioning the stock -3.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($281.72) and +6.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($254.86). Across its 52-week range of $186.67 to $314.28, GRMN sits at the 67.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($253.58 to $291.76).

GRMN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GRMN's 12-month stock price target?

Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) (GRMN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $287.39 (+5.4% from $272.67), with a bull-case target of $339.12 and a bear-case floor of $223.59.

Is GRMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GRMN B- (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 70/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: GRMN RQD Cockpit GRMN 12M Forecast GRMN Earnings & Move GRMN Dividends & DRIP GRMN Insiders & 13F GRMN Whale Options GRMN Profit Sankey GRMN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GRMN — Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GRMN scores 72 out of 100, a letter grade of B, labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 16.6% and a FCF yield of 2.53%. Investor implication: returns on invested capital are solid, but a 2.53% free-cash-flow yield means the price paid per dollar of free cash flow is relatively high, which is a valuation tradeoff.
  • Whale / 13F flow: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. Investor implication: the score is mid-range, indicating no strong institutional signal either way in the source data.
  • Insider conviction: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Investor implication: a mid-range score; the underlying trade-level detail is not available in source data.
  • Macro regime fit: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.92 and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity. Investor implication: the stock's beta below 1.0 suggests moderate sensitivity to broad market moves, a potential defensive characteristic, though the rating does not isolate how this behaves across specific macro regimes.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 8.74, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.25. Investor implication: this is the strongest pillar, indicating a conservatively financed balance sheet.

Taken together, the strongest supports are balance sheet strength and cash-generation quality, while the main tradeoff is valuation: at a 32.4 trailing P/E and 25.6 EV/EBITDA, per the market data, the stock prices in considerable expectations. This is an analytical framing of the rating, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
279.94$53.94B32.427.225.68.631.23%0.92$186.67 - $314.2816.6%

Business

Per the profile, Garmin Ltd. Common Stock (Switzerland) (GRMN) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically Industrial Machinery/Components. Its market capitalization is $53.9B. Not available in source data: the specific products sold, customer segments, and revenue model details.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$7245.5M$1876.1M$1663.9MN/A$1362.9M$2278.6M$2572.5M
FY 2024$6296.9M$1594.0M$1411.4MN/A$1238.9M$2079.5M$2253.5M
FY 2023$5228.3M$1092.2M$1289.6MN/A$1141.0MN/A$6942.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $5228.3M (FY 2023) to $7245.5M (FY 2025), and net income moved from $1289.6M to $1663.9M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 58.7%, operating margin 25.9%, and net margin 23%, with ROIC at 16.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 8.74 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Debt/Equity of 0.25 per the RQD rating reflects a conservative posture, while reported debt fell from $6942.5M (FY 2023) to $2572.5M (FY 2025) in the SEC financials.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and second-order bottleneck dependencies.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific products and customer segments behind the reported revenue growth?
  • What drove the FY 2023 cash figure and the EPS values, which are not reported in the SEC financials?
  • What insider, 13F, and Congressional trades underlie the RQD sub-scores for whale flow and insider conviction?
  • What upstream suppliers and downstream customers create dependencies for the business?
  • What is the analyst consensus and price target distribution for the stock?

GRMN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) (GRMN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GRMN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GRMN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $272.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GRMN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GRMN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $330.33 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GRMN (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $279.94?

Welcome to the GRMN (Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $221.15 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $279.94

Pump the brakes on GRMN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GRMN, but look at what you are paying: 32.4x trailing P/E with 58.7% gross margins. Unless Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $319.13 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $279.94

GRMN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GRMN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $279.94 (52-wk range $186.67 - $314.28), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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