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flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.03 -10.43% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.01

flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $121.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FLYX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: FLYX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.03 (-10.43% 1D, market cap $121.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYX ranks #928 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FLYX compare to UP and SRFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), FLYX carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and SRFM (Surf Air Mobility Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $100.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOUR leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while TOUR leads on capital efficiency (1.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYX?
β–Ό

Per FLYX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843973), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) generated $375.9M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), -$17.6M in net income, and -$24.3M in free cash flow against $440.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.01 (-2.07%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.6% Base Target
$9 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FLYX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLYX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FLYX SCORES 26/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 15% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$1.25-9.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$1.13+7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$1.21-14.9% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$1.03-10.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (34) β†’ E (26)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLYX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While FLYX currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.21) and Max Pain ($1.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.32.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLYXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFLYX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $23,243

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $139/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$11.8K
Yr 2
$12.9K
Yr 3
$14.0K
Yr 4
$15.2K
Yr 5
$16.6K
Yr 6
$18.0K
Yr 7
$19.6K
Yr 8
$21.4K
Yr 9
$23.2K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLYX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FLYX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FLYX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.97%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $1.23H $1.23L $1.03C $1.03VOL 146.3K
RES: $1.42SUP: $1.12SMA50: $1.21SMA200: $1.91
$3.44$2.79$2.13$1.48$0.83RES $1.42SUP $1.12$1.032026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLYX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLYX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLYX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLYX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLYX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #928 of 1009 βš”οΈ UP vs FLYX Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FLYX vs. UP, SRFM, PAL, TOUR)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) ranks #928 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #738 by equity capitalization ($121.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TOUR leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while TOUR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.1% ROIC and 58.0% gross margin. TOUR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 39/100 (D-) compared with FLYX at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLYX ACTIVE
flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 β€” 15.0% -35.0% -10.43% $121.6M Benchmark Subject
UP
Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)
E 18/100 β€” 10.0% -35.0% +3.76% $115.7M /up-vs-flyx β†’
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -6.09% $100.3M /srfm-vs-flyx β†’
PAL
Proficient Auto Logistics Inc.
E 34/100 β€” β€” -11.6% +13.19% $73.4M /pal-vs-flyx β†’
TOUR
Tuniu Corporation
D- 39/100 11.5x 58.0% 1.1% +1.91% $51.2M /tour-vs-flyx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001843973 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) reported GAAP revenue of $375.9M (+14.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $327.3M , and +19.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$17.6M, operating cash flow of $6.7M, and free cash flow of -$24.3M (+64.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLYX closed FY2025 with $440.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $375.9M -$17.6M $6.7M -$24.3M $440.0M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $327.3M -$21.1M -$10.9M -$67.6M $538.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $315.4M -$46.8M $8.7M $8.7M β€” β€”

3. FLYX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLYX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: FLYX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.03 (-10.43% 1D, market cap $121.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYX ranks #928 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLYX compare to UP and SRFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), FLYX carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and SRFM (Surf Air Mobility Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $100.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOUR leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while TOUR leads on capital efficiency (1.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYX?

Per FLYX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843973), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) generated $375.9M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), -$17.6M in net income, and -$24.3M in free cash flow against $440.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLYX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLYX last traded at $1.03 (-10.43% on volume of 325,249 shares), positioning the stock -14.88% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.21) and -46.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.91). Across its 52-week range of $1.05 to $8.88, FLYX sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.16).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 26/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FLYX β€” flyExclusive Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 26/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.03 (-10.43% 1D, market capitalization $121.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 15.0%, operating margin of -12.6%, and free cash flow yield of -18.65%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

FlyExclusive Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Transportation Services industry. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $375.9M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) reported $375.9M in annual revenue (up from $327.3M in FY2024, +14.9% YoY) and -$17.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($315.4M revenue, -$46.8M net income) through FY2025, FLYX scaled operating cash flow to $6.7M and free cash flow to -$24.3M, backed by $440.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 26/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -18.65% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.05 – $8.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -12.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlation data, and second-order bottlenecks are β€” The one structural item a careful investor might track is dilution: the acquisition-related issuance of 1,544,575 additional shares, per the news wire, would increase the share count relative to a market capitalization of $130.0M at a price of 1.23.

  • Key Question #1: Can FLYX sustain or expand its -12.6% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Transportation Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $375.9M and free cash flow of -$24.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FLYX's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FLYX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FLYX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FLYX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.03?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FLYX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FLYX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.41 (+22.6%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $315.4M in FY 2023 to $375.9M in FY 2025 while the stock trades at 1.23 with a 52-week low of $1.05.

The street is overcomplicating flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX). Revenue grew from $315.4M in FY 2023 to $375.9M in FY 2025 while the stock trades at 1.23 with a 52-week low of $1.05.. With an RQD score of 26/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.24.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.15 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.95 (-17.4%)
Spot @ $1.15

ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -18.65%, and an Altman Z of 0.2 drive an RQD score of 27 with insider conviction at 3 out of 20.

ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -18.65%, and an Altman Z of 0.2 drive an RQD score of 27 with insider conviction at 3 out of 20.. Look at the math on FLYX: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -12.6% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Transportation Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.01 before getting long.

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