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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / FIZZ / earnings
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National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.1% Move

$35.30 +0.80% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.44

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 66% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.30B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FIZZ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FIZZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ: FIZZ) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $35.30 (+0.80% 1D, market cap $3.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FIZZ ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FIZZ compare to COCO and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), FIZZ carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of 65.6%. By comparison, COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 44.2x, ROIC 40.6%, cap $3.34B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIZZ?
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Per FIZZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0000069891), National Beverage Corp. generated $1.18B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $183.6M in net income, and $156.1M in free cash flow against $792.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.43 (+0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 13.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (17)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$44 Bull$37 Base$29 Bear
📬 FREE FIZZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIZZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FIZZ SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($156.1M FCF) & 37% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$32.99+6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$35.13-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$34.96+1% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$35.30+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FIZZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, FIZZ faces multiple-compression risk if 17.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.35) or 200D SMA ($33.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.37) toward Bear Floor ($28.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIZZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FIZZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~88 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.1% Swing Band

±$2.15 Expected Swing
$33.15 (-6.1%)Spot $35.30$37.45 (+6.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FIZZ Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 71/100

Trailing EPS: $1.96 • YoY Revenue Growth: -1.7%

Model Bullish Setup (71/100)Model Risk Weight (29/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-05-02$1.18B$183.6M$156.1M37%
FY 20242025-05-03$1.20B$186.8M$170.4M37%
FY 20232024-04-27$1.19B$176.7M$197.9M37%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FIZZ & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FIZZ
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FIZZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.64%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $35.02H $35.30L $35.02C $35.30VOL 278.1K
RES: $37.69SUP: $28.08SMA50: $32.35SMA200: $33.70
$38.86$36.18$33.50$30.82$28.14RES $37.69SUP $28.08$35.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FIZZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FIZZ Butterfly Map → + Track FIZZ →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIZZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIZZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIZZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIZZ)

Consumer Staples Rank #14 of 146 ⚔️ COCO vs FIZZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (FIZZ vs. COCO, SAM, CCU, PRMB)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #47 by equity capitalization ($3.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. SAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FIZZ at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FIZZ ACTIVE
National Beverage Corp.
B- 71/100 17.9x 37.0% 65.6% +0.80% $3.30B Benchmark Subject
COCO
The Vita Coco Company Inc.
D+ 55/100 44.2x 36.5% 40.6% +3.93% $3.34B /coco-vs-fizz →
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc.
B 75/100 18.4x 48.5% 18.4% +1.43% $2.04B /sam-vs-fizz →
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
D 45/100 — — — -0.96% $1.91B /ccu-vs-fizz →
PRMB
Primo Brands Corporation
D- 36/100 117.4x 30.3% 4.4% +1.39% $7.15B /prmb-vs-fizz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-02 • CIK 0000069891

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02), National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $183.6M, operating cash flow of $181.3M, and free cash flow of $156.1M (-8.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIZZ closed FY2025 with $792.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.84, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-02 $1.18B $183.6M $181.3M $156.1M $792.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-03 $1.20B $186.8M $206.7M $170.4M $594.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-27 $1.19B $176.7M $197.9M $197.9M — —

3. FIZZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FIZZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ: FIZZ) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $35.30 (+0.80% 1D, market cap $3.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FIZZ ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FIZZ compare to COCO and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), FIZZ carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of 65.6%. By comparison, COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 44.2x, ROIC 40.6%, cap $3.34B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIZZ?

Per FIZZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0000069891), National Beverage Corp. generated $1.18B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $183.6M in net income, and $156.1M in free cash flow against $792.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FIZZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FIZZ last traded at $35.30 (+0.80% on volume of 278,099 shares), positioning the stock +9.12% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.35) and +4.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.70). Across its 52-week range of $28.97 to $38.21, FIZZ sits at the 68.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($33.15 to $37.45).

Direct Sub-Reports: FIZZ RQD Cockpit FIZZ 12M Forecast FIZZ Earnings & Move FIZZ Dividends & DRIP FIZZ Insiders & 13F FIZZ Whale Options FIZZ Profit Sankey FIZZ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FIZZ — National Beverage Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FIZZ holds an RQD Score of 70 (letter grade B-, verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation"). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20 (ROIC 65.6%; FCF yield 4.76%); Whale 13F Flow 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 12/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 14/20 (Altman Z 13.84; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the cash engine, where high ROIC and a 4.76% FCF yield indicate strong capital efficiency relative to the market value implied in the market data. The insider and whale-flow pillars are moderate, meaning the accumulation signal is present but not dominant. The macro pillar is the most neutral: a Beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity rather than a defensive or aggressive profile. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: a P/E (TTM) of 17.9 and Forward P/E of 16.6 indicate the market is pricing modest earnings growth expectations. Upside drivers would be sustained FCF generation and continued institutional accumulation; downside risks include a decline in reported revenue or earnings, which the financials show trending slightly lower across the three reported periods. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Business

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in Beverages (Production/Distribution). The profile identifies the company by sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization of $3.3B. Revenue sources, customer base, and monetization model are — Gross margin of 37% is reported in the market data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference FIZZ. Headlines include "National Beverage (FIZZ) Stock May Be Near Fair Value On Cash Flow" (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW), "National Beverage (NASDAQ:FIZZ) Shares Climb 5.5% - Still a Buy?" (MarketBeat, YELLOW), and "National Beverage Corp (FIZZ) Shares Surge 5.3% -- What GF Score of 77 Tells Investors" (GuruFocus, GREEN, labeled CATALYST). Other items include a TradingView estimates page, a Simply Wall St valuation piece, and a Stock Traders Daily rotational-strategy article, all classified YELLOW. Risk watch items are not separately itemized in the source. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, proprietary signals are none and supply-chain links are NONE.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

— Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals, so upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided sources.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: —

Holders (SEC Form 4, 13F, Congressional trades): — The RQD pillars reference institutional accumulation and insider cluster flow, but the underlying holder records are not provided.

Open Questions

  • What are the revenue drivers and product or channel mix behind the FY 2023–FY 2025 revenue trend?
  • What is the reported EPS and total debt for each fiscal period, given that these fields are N/A in the financials?
  • What specific insider and 13F transactions underpin the Insider Conviction and Whale Flow pillar scores?
  • What explains the FCF decline from $197.9M to $156.1M across the reported periods?
  • Are there any supply-chain or sector dependencies that the Butterfly graph did not capture?

FIZZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FIZZ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FIZZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $35.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FIZZ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FIZZ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $45.54 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

High ROIC of 65.6% and a 4.76% FCF yield indicate strong cash generation at a 17.9 TTM P/E.

The street is overcomplicating National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ). High ROIC of 65.6% and a 4.76% FCF yield indicate strong cash generation at a 17.9 TTM P/E.. With an RQD score of 71/100 (B-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $38.12.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — FIZZ's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.36 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $35.30

Revenue and FCF declined across FY 2023–FY 2025, with FCF falling from $197.9M to $156.1M.

I respect the product at National Beverage Corp., but the stock at $35.30 is a different story. Revenue and FCF declined across FY 2023–FY 2025, with FCF falling from $197.9M to $156.1M.. FCF yield is 4.76% and RQD sits at 71/100 (B-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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