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National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$36.56 +3.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.88

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 66% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.30B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FIZZ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FIZZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ: FIZZ) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $36.56 (+3.57% 1D, market cap $3.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FIZZ ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FIZZ compare to COCO and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), FIZZ carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of 65.6%. By comparison, COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 44.2x, ROIC 40.6%, cap $3.34B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIZZ?
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Per FIZZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0000069891), National Beverage Corp. generated $1.18B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $183.6M in net income, and $156.1M in free cash flow against $792.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.88 (+0.88%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 13.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (17)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$46 Bull$39 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE FIZZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIZZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FIZZ SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($156.1M FCF) & 37% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$32.99+6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$35.13-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$34.96+4.6% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$36.56+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FIZZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, FIZZ faces multiple-compression risk if 17.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.35) or 200D SMA ($33.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.70) toward Bear Floor ($29.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIZZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FIZZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in FIZZ & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on FIZZ and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FIZZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.27%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $35.02H $36.56L $35.02C $36.56VOL 278.1K
RES: $37.69SUP: $28.08SMA50: $32.35SMA200: $33.70
$38.86$36.18$33.50$30.82$28.14RES $37.69SUP $28.08$36.562026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FIZZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIZZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIZZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIZZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIZZ)

Consumer Staples Rank #14 of 146 ⚔️ COCO vs FIZZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (FIZZ vs. COCO, SAM, CCU, PRMB)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #47 by equity capitalization ($3.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. SAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FIZZ at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FIZZ ACTIVE
National Beverage Corp.
B- 71/100 17.9x 37.0% 65.6% +3.57% $3.30B Benchmark Subject
COCO
The Vita Coco Company Inc.
D+ 55/100 44.2x 36.5% 40.6% -0.46% $3.34B /coco-vs-fizz →
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc.
B 75/100 18.4x 48.5% 18.4% +9.97% $2.04B /sam-vs-fizz →
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
D 45/100 — — — +0.19% $1.91B /ccu-vs-fizz →
PRMB
Primo Brands Corporation
D- 36/100 117.4x 30.3% 4.4% +5.22% $7.15B /prmb-vs-fizz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-02 • CIK 0000069891

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02), National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $183.6M, operating cash flow of $181.3M, and free cash flow of $156.1M (-8.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIZZ closed FY2025 with $792.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.84, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-02 $1.18B $183.6M $181.3M $156.1M $792.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-03 $1.20B $186.8M $206.7M $170.4M $594.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-27 $1.19B $176.7M $197.9M $197.9M — —

3. FIZZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FIZZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ: FIZZ) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $36.56 (+3.57% 1D, market cap $3.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FIZZ ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FIZZ compare to COCO and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), FIZZ carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of 65.6%. By comparison, COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 44.2x, ROIC 40.6%, cap $3.34B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIZZ?

Per FIZZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0000069891), National Beverage Corp. generated $1.18B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $183.6M in net income, and $156.1M in free cash flow against $792.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FIZZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FIZZ last traded at $36.56 (+3.57% on volume of 300,082 shares), positioning the stock +13.01% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.35) and +8.49% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.70). Across its 52-week range of $28.97 to $38.21, FIZZ sits at the 82.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($34.33 to $38.79).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FIZZ — National Beverage Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-05-02

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $36.56 (+3.57% 1D, market capitalization $3.30B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 65.6%, gross margin of 37.0%, operating margin of 19.5%, and free cash flow yield of 4.76%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 13.84, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in Beverages (Production/Distribution). The profile identifies the company by sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization of $3.3B. Revenue sources, customer base, and monetization model are — Gross margin of 37% is reported in the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-05-02), National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) reported $1.18B in annual revenue (up from $1.20B in FY2024, -1.7% YoY) and $183.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.19B revenue, $176.7M net income) through FY2025, FIZZ scaled operating cash flow to $181.3M and free cash flow to $156.1M, backed by $792.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 71/100): Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $28.97 – $38.21 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 17.9x trailing P/E and 11.8x EV/EBITDA against 19.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Beverages (Production/Distribution) (Consumer Staples), FIZZ carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 37.0%.

  • Key Question #1: Can FIZZ sustain or expand its 19.5% operating margin and 65.6% ROIC against Beverages (Production/Distribution) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.18B and free cash flow of $156.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FIZZ's 16.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FIZZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FIZZ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FIZZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.56?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FIZZ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FIZZ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $45.54 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

High ROIC of 65.6% and a 4.76% FCF yield indicate strong cash generation at a 17.9 TTM P/E.

The street is overcomplicating National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ). High ROIC of 65.6% and a 4.76% FCF yield indicate strong cash generation at a 17.9 TTM P/E.. With an RQD score of 71/100 (B-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $38.12.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — FIZZ's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.36 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $35.30

Revenue and FCF declined across FY 2023–FY 2025, with FCF falling from $197.9M to $156.1M.

I respect the product at National Beverage Corp., but the stock at $35.30 is a different story. Revenue and FCF declined across FY 2023–FY 2025, with FCF falling from $197.9M to $156.1M.. FCF yield is 4.76% and RQD sits at 71/100 (B-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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