Are FDUS insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies FDUS leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Stock Ratings / Financials / FDUS / insiders

BCSF (45) NMFC (45) AIO (44) SLRC (32) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$19.48 +0.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.47

Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $732.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FDUS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FDUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Fidus Investment Corporation (NASDAQ: FDUS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $19.48 (+0.88% 1D, market cap $732.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FDUS ranks #923 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FDUS compare to BCSF and NMFC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), FDUS carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BCSF (Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 7.1x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $698.6M) and NMFC (New Mountain Finance Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $664.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLRC leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while SLRC leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDUS?

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Per FDUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001513363), Fidus Investment Corporation generated $599.1M in revenue (+22.5% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$147.0M in free cash flow against $1.43B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.47 (-0.03%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FDUS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FDUS SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$19.15-3.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$18.45+2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$18.99+2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$19.48-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FDUS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FDUS currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.25) and Max Pain ($20.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FDUS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FDUS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

FDUS Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (FDUS)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on FDUS. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FDUS)

✓Walkthrough of FDUS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FDUS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.51%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $19.44H $19.48L $19.31C $19.48VOL 174.0K

RES: $19.49SUP: $18.00SMA50: $19.25SMA200: $18.96

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FDUS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FDUS Butterfly Map → + Track FDUS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FDUS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FDUS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FDUS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FDUS)

Financials Rank #923 of 1096 ⚔️ BCSF vs FDUS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FDUS vs. BCSF, NMFC, AIO, SLRC)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) ranks #923 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #613 by equity capitalization ($732.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLRC leads on earnings valuation at 7.0x trailing P/E, while SLRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.3% ROIC and — gross margin. BCSF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with FDUS at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FDUS ACTIVE Fidus Investment Corporation	D-	39/100	—	—	—	+0.88%	$732.9M	Benchmark Subject
BCSF Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc.	D	45/100	7.1x	—	8.8%	+1.39%	$698.6M	/bcsf-vs-fdus →
NMFC New Mountain Finance Corporation	D	45/100	40.3x	—	1.4%	+1.14%	$664.0M	/nmfc-vs-fdus →
AIO Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of	D	44/100	—	—	—	-1.85%	$818.7M	/aio-vs-fdus →
SLRC SLR Investment Corp.	E	32/100	7.0x	—	9.3%	+1.55%	$634.5M	/slrc-vs-fdus →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001513363

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) reported GAAP revenue of $599.1M (+22.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $488.9M , and +354.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$147.0M, and free cash flow of -$147.0M (-165.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FDUS closed FY2025 with $1.43B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$599.1M	$0	-$147.0M	-$147.0M	$1.43B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$488.9M	$0	-$55.3M	-$55.3M	$1.16B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$131.9M	$12.1M	-$29.5M	-$29.5M	—	—

3. FDUS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FDUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FDUS compare to BCSF and NMFC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDUS?

Where is FDUS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FDUS last traded at $19.48 (+0.88% on volume of 157,492 shares), positioning the stock +1.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.25) and +2.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.96). Across its 52-week range of $16.87 to $20.95, FDUS sits at the 64.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($18.72 to $20.24).

Direct Sub-Reports: FDUS RQD Cockpit FDUS 12M Forecast FDUS Earnings & Move FDUS Dividends & DRIP FDUS Insiders & 13F FDUS Whale Options FDUS Profit Sankey FDUS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FDUS — Fidus Investment Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:23Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

FDUS scores 39 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine (5 / 20): ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of -19.92%. This is the weakest pillar and indicates the company is not currently converting capital into returns, which limits the upside case from a cash-generation standpoint.
Whale 13F Flow (11 / 20): Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar and suggests some institutional interest, though the source does not itemize specific holders.
Insider Conviction (5 / 20): Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score here indicates insider activity does not provide a strong confidence signal.
Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the broader market, offering neither defensive nor amplified exposure.
Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The Piotroski reading is weak, while the Altman and leverage readings are moderate.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a weak cash-generation profile and a low-quality financial-health signal, partially offset by institutional interest. Upside drivers would need to come from a turnaround in cash flow, which the current data does not show.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Finance/Investors Services industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $732.9M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0% (free cash flow yield of -19.92%). Within the Finance/Investors Services peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

Reported revenue and operating income are — across the three periods, with net income of $12.1M appearing only in FY 2023. Free cash flow is negative in each period, and cash declined from $70.0M in FY 2025 to $57.2M in FY 2024 per the same data set. Per the market data and Roarable RQD rating, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, ROIC is 0%, and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 with a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 11/20, the strongest pillar in the rating. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield -19.92%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $16.87 – $20.95 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Free cash flow yield of -19.92% with 0% ROIC leaves the cash engine pillar at 5/20. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context is the Financials classification and the Finance/Investors Services industry label.

Key Question #1: What drives the negative free cash flow, and when, if ever, is it expected to turn positive?
Key Question #2: What is the current debt level, since debt values are listed as N/A across all periods?
Key Question #3: What is the valuation basis, given that P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are all unavailable?

FDUS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FDUS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Fidus Investment Corporation Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call

Yahoo Finance report covering Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 23h ago

Fidus Investment: Buy This 11% Yield Before Deal Activity Rebounds (NASDAQ:FDUS)

Seeking Alpha report covering Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Fidus Investment Corporation Estimates – NASDAQ:FDUS

TradingView report covering Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Fidus Investment: Fed Pivot, Solid NII, Set For A Premium Valuation (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha report covering Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

How Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) Affects Rotational Strategy Timing

Stock Traders Daily report covering Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Fidus Investment (FDUS) Projected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Thursday

MarketBeat report covering Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Trading the Move, Not the Narrative: (FDUS) Edition

Stock Traders Daily report covering Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

FDUS Q2 2026 Earnings: EPS of $0.50 Falls Just Short of Estimates as Shares Slip - Profit Guidance Range

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FDUS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.48?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FDUS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

TA TapeReader_Pro Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.49 (+32.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 11/20, the strongest pillar in the rating.

Long FDUS at $19.31 targeting $25.49. Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 11/20, the strongest pillar in the rating.. Institutional whale score is 11/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $16.87 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 39/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $19.31 and keeping dry powder in case we test $17.96.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.22 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $19.31

Free cash flow yield of -19.92% with 0% ROIC leaves the cash engine pillar at 5/20.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short FDUS above $19.31. Free cash flow yield of -19.92% with 0% ROIC leaves the cash engine pillar at 5/20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20) and FCF yield (-19.92%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $20.95.