Stock Ratings / Industrials / EXPD / options

CHRW (68) BCO (46) HUBG (42) FWRD (25) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$198.85 +0.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $199.41

Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 40% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $25.85B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EXPD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EXPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (NYSE: EXPD) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $198.85 (+0.23% 1D, market cap $25.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, EXPD ranks #2 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EXPD compare to CHRW and BCO in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), EXPD carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 40.3%. By comparison, CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 25.4x, ROIC 22.6%, cap $14.56B) and BCO (Brinks Company) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $4.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXPD?

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Per EXPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000746515), Expeditors International of Washington Inc. generated $11.07B in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $810.3M in net income, and $508.4M in free cash flow against $4.89B in total assets and $1.15B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $199.41 (+0.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 4.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EXPD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EXPD SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.6% FCF Margin ($508.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.8) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$196.38+0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$197.01+0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$197.15+0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$198.85+8.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → B+ (80)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EXPD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, EXPD faces multiple-compression risk if 31.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($192.37) or 200D SMA ($167.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($218.54) toward Bear Floor ($163.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EXPD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EXPD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 80%NO 20%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±3.9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (EXPD)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for EXPD.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating EXPD & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on EXPD
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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EXPD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +42.33%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $198.4H $198.9L $198.4C $198.9VOL 1.56M

RES: $203.9SUP: $179.0SMA50: $192.4SMA200: $167.4

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EXPD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EXPD Butterfly Map → + Track EXPD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

24.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXPD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXPD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EXPD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXPD)

Industrials Rank #2 of 485 ⚔️ CHRW vs EXPD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (EXPD vs. CHRW, BCO, HUBG, FWRD)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) ranks #2 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #51 by equity capitalization ($25.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCO leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while EXPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EXPD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EXPD ACTIVE Expeditors International of Washington Inc.	B+	80/100	31.8x	—	40.3%	+0.23%	$25.85B	Benchmark Subject
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.	C+	68/100	25.4x	—	22.6%	-2.21%	$14.56B	/chrw-vs-expd →
BCO Brinks Company	D	46/100	21.1x	25.8%	19.6%	+0.51%	$4.23B	/bco-vs-expd →
HUBG Hub Group Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	—	+0.11%	$1.63B	/hubg-vs-expd →
FWRD Forward Air Corporation	E	25/100	—	—	1.7%	-1.40%	$595.2M	/fwrd-vs-expd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000746515

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) reported GAAP revenue of $11.07B (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.60B , and +19.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $810.3M, operating cash flow of $1.01B, and free cash flow of $508.4M (+106.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXPD closed FY2025 with $4.89B in total assets against $1.15B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.70, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$11.07B	$810.3M	$1.01B	$508.4M	$4.89B	$1.15B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$10.60B	$810.1M	$723.4M	$246.3M	$4.75B	$1.11B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$9.30B	$752.9M	$1.05B	$634.7M	$14.18B	$3.32B

3. EXPD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EXPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does EXPD compare to CHRW and BCO in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXPD?

Where is EXPD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EXPD last traded at $198.85 (+0.23% on volume of 1,557,941 shares), positioning the stock +3.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($192.37) and +18.76% above its 200-day simple moving average ($167.44). Across its 52-week range of $128.10 to $200.66, EXPD sits at the 97.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($191.09 to $206.61).

EXPD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is EXPD's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for EXPD.

Direct Sub-Reports: EXPD RQD Cockpit EXPD 12M Forecast EXPD Earnings & Move EXPD Dividends & DRIP EXPD Insiders & 13F EXPD Whale Options EXPD Profit Sankey EXPD News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 80/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EXPD — Expeditors International of Washington Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD score is 80 out of 100, a letter grade of B+, and a verdict label of "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 19 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 40.3% and an FCF yield of 1.97%. For an investor, this is the strongest pillar: the business earns a high return on invested capital, but the free cash flow yield relative to the current price is modest, meaning much of the valuation rests on future growth rather than present cash generation.
Whale 13F Flow: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not itemize the 13F holdings, so the underlying flow cannot be independently verified here.
Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the second-weakest pillar, suggesting insider signals are mixed rather than strongly bullish.
Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 0.89 and sector sensitivity. The low beta implies lower-than-market price volatility, which can cushion drawdowns in a risk-off environment but may limit upside in a strong rally. This is the weakest pillar.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 10.7, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42. These readings point to a financially sound balance sheet with low accounting-quality concern.

Investor implications: The composite profile is strongest on cash economics and balance sheet quality, and weakest on macro fit and insider signals. Valuation is a key tradeoff: per the market data, the trailing P/E is 31.8 and the forward P/E is 29.6, which are elevated relative to the modest FCF yield. An investor would weigh high-quality cash returns against a demanding multiple. The score describes the data profile and is not a recommendation.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
198.39	$25.79B	31.8	29.6	17.3	6.23	0.8%	0.89	$120.94 - $200.66	40.3%

Business

Expeditors International of Washington Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry (per the profile). The source data does not describe its specific services, customer base, or revenue model. The financial data indicates revenue of $11069.0M for FY 2025 (per the SEC financials), but how the company generates that revenue is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$11069.0M	$1052.5M	$810.3M	N/A	$508.4M	$1314.3M	$1145.1M
FY 2024	$10600.5M	$1041.3M	$810.1M	N/A	$246.3M	$1148.3M	$1112.5M
FY 2023	$9300.1M	$939.9M	$752.9M	N/A	$634.7M	N/A	$3319.0M

Per the market data, operating margin is 9.5%, net margin is 7.3%, and gross margin is 0%. Net income was broadly flat between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while revenue grew, and FCF rose from $246.3M to $508.4M. Debt fell from $3319.0M in FY 2023 to $1145.1M in FY 2025 (per the SEC financials). The Altman Z-Score of 10.7, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.42 are reported in the Roarable RQD rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Fresh high (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo Finance report describes EXPD hitting a fresh high and asks whether there is room to run.
Stocktwits coverage (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A general stock overview with no specific catalyst identified.
Stifel price target raise (GREEN, CATALYST): Investing.com reports Stifel raised its price target to $190 citing efficiency.
MarketBeat coverage (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A general stock overview.
Insider selling signal (RED, RISK WATCH): A Moomoo report discusses possible bearish signals from insiders disposing of stock.
Technical breakout setup (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): ChartMill reports the stock nearing a breakout with strong technical readings.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are mapped for this issuer.

Open Questions

What specific services and customer segments drive the revenue reported for FY 2025, and how does the company earn its margins?
Why is EPS reported as N/A across all three periods, and how does the TTM EPS of 6.23 reconcile with reported net income?
Why is FY 2023 cash N/A, and what drove the decline in debt from $3319.0M to $1145.1M?
What is the composition of the insider selling referenced in the RED risk-watch item, and how large is it relative to holdings?
What is the upstream and downstream dependency map, given that the supply-chain graph is empty?

EXPD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EXPD Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 19h ago

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

Yahoo Finance report covering Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 22h ago

EXPD: Expeditors International Of Washington, Inc. Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas

Stocktwits report covering Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago

Stifel raises Expeditors stock price target to $190 on efficiency

Investing.com report covering Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) Stock Price, News & Analysis

MarketBeat report covering Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Moomoo • 1d ago

Possible Bearish Signals With Expeditors International of Washington Insiders Disposing Stock

Moomoo report covering Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ChartMill • 1d ago

Expeditors Intl Wash Inc (NYSE:EXPD) Nears Breakout With Perfect Technical Strength

ChartMill report covering Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

OMAB vs. EXPD: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?

Yahoo Finance report covering Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall Street • 1d ago

Earnings Beat Might Change The Case For Investing In Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)

Simply Wall Street report covering Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EXPD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $198.85?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EXPD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $234.10 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EXPD (B+ • RQD 80/100) a Buy at $198.39?

Welcome to the EXPD (Expeditors International of Washington Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 80/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Integrated Freight & Logistics. Bulls point to capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (31.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $160.70 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $198.39

Pump the brakes on EXPD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EXPD, but look at what you are paying: 31.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Expeditors International of Washington Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $232.12 (+17.0%)

Spot @ $198.39

EXPD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EXPD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated Freight & Logistics and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $198.39 (52-wk range $120.94 - $200.66), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.