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Why ECL Stock advanced +1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$308.38 +1.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $310.11

Ecolab Inc. (ECL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (44.5% gross margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $84.98B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ECL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ecolab Inc. (NYSE: ECL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $308.38 (+1.78% 1D, market cap $84.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ECL ranks #99 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ECL compare to CL and UL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), ECL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.6x, gross margin of 44.5%, and ROIC of 14.1%. By comparison, CL (Colgate-Palmolive Company) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 34.8x, ROIC 44.0%, cap $75.96B) and UL (Unilever PLC American) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $140.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UL leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while CL leads on capital efficiency (44.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECL?
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Per ECL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000031462), Ecolab Inc. generated $16.08B in revenue (+2.2% YoY), $2.08B in net income, and $1.90B in free cash flow against $24.70B in total assets and $6.70B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 41x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $310.11 (+0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 11.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (15)Whales (18)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$387 Bull$328 Base$253 Bear
📬 FREE ECL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ECL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ECL SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.16 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (70.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$287.71+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$288.09+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$292.41+5.5% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$308.38+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ECL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, ECL faces multiple-compression risk if 40.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 41x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($282.89) or 200D SMA ($276.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($327.81) toward Bear Floor ($252.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ECL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ECL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ECL Stock advanced +1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Ecolab Inc. (ECL) advanced +1.78% to $308.38, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($243.15 – $309.27). High-quality cash engine (44.5% gross margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($243.15 – $309.27) with RSI-14 at 70.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.5% around $308.38 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 44.5% gross margin and $1.9B annual free cash flow.
Live ECL Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ECL Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ECL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.65%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $300.9H $308.4L $300.9C $308.4VOL 1.74M
RES: $304.9SUP: $270.4SMA50: $282.9SMA200: $276.3
$312.9$294.0$275.1$256.2$237.3RES $304.9SUP $270.4$308.42026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ECL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
30.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ECL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ECL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ECL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ECL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #99 of 1009 ⚔️ CL vs ECL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ECL vs. CL, UL, EL, HLN)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ecolab Inc. (ECL) ranks #99 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #21 by equity capitalization ($84.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UL leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while CL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 44.0% ROIC and 60.1% gross margin. ECL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ECL ACTIVE
Ecolab Inc.
B 72/100 40.6x 44.5% 14.1% +1.78% $84.98B Benchmark Subject
CL
Colgate-Palmolive Company
B- 71/100 34.8x 60.1% 44.0% +2.25% $75.96B /cl-vs-ecl →
UL
Unilever PLC American
B- 70/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.81% $140.59B /ul-vs-ecl →
EL
Estee Lauder Companies Inc.
D+ 58/100 — 74.0% -11.0% -4.08% $39.58B /el-vs-ecl →
HLN
Haleon plc American
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.16% $38.09B /hln-vs-ecl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000031462 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ecolab Inc. (ECL) reported GAAP revenue of $16.08B (+2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.74B , and +5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.08B, operating cash flow of $2.95B, and free cash flow of $1.90B (+4.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ECL closed FY2025 with $24.70B in total assets against $6.70B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.16, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $16.08B $2.08B $2.95B $1.90B $24.70B $6.70B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.74B $2.11B $2.81B $1.82B $22.39B $6.12B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $15.32B $1.37B $2.41B $1.72B $46.39B $10.85B

3. ECL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ECL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ecolab Inc. (NYSE: ECL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $308.38 (+1.78% 1D, market cap $84.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ECL ranks #99 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ECL compare to CL and UL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), ECL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.6x, gross margin of 44.5%, and ROIC of 14.1%. By comparison, CL (Colgate-Palmolive Company) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 34.8x, ROIC 44.0%, cap $75.96B) and UL (Unilever PLC American) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $140.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UL leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while CL leads on capital efficiency (44.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECL?

Per ECL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000031462), Ecolab Inc. generated $16.08B in revenue (+2.2% YoY), $2.08B in net income, and $1.90B in free cash flow against $24.70B in total assets and $6.70B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 41x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ECL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ECL last traded at $308.38 (+1.78% on volume of 1,492,992 shares), positioning the stock +9.01% above its 50-day simple moving average ($282.89) and +11.60% above its 200-day simple moving average ($276.33). Across its 52-week range of $243.15 to $309.27, ECL sits at the 98.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($294.50 to $322.26).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ECL — Ecolab Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ecolab Inc. (ECL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $308.38 (+1.78% 1D, market capitalization $84.98B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.1%, gross margin of 44.5%, operating margin of 17.0%, and free cash flow yield of 2.26%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.92x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.16, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.64x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ecolab Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ecolab Inc. (ECL) reported $16.08B in annual revenue (up from $15.74B in FY2024, +2.2% YoY) and $2.08B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($15.32B revenue, $1.37B net income) through FY2025, ECL scaled operating cash flow to $2.95B and free cash flow to $1.90B, backed by $24.70B in total assets against $6.70B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Strong cash generator (44.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $243.15 – $309.27 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 41x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 40.6x trailing P/E and 24.8x EV/EBITDA against 17.0% operating margins and a 0.92x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Package Goods/Cosmetics (Consumer Discretionary), ECL carries a macro regime beta of 0.92 and gross margin of 44.5%.

  • Key Question #1: Can ECL sustain or expand its 17.0% operating margin and 14.1% ROIC against Package Goods/Cosmetics peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $16.08B and free cash flow of $1.90B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.70B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ECL's 37.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.92x)?

ECL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ecolab Inc. (ECL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ECL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ECL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $308.38?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ECL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ECL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $372.67 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 71 RQD score with a 17/20 whale-flow pillar and a 16/20 forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 5.16) shows institutional demand and financi

The street is overcomplicating Ecolab Inc. (ECL). A 71 RQD score with a 17/20 whale-flow pillar and a 16/20 forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 5.16) shows institutional demand and financial strength aligned.. With an RQD score of 72/100 (B) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $327.22.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on 40.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Package Goods/Cosmetics. If gross margin (44.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $233.29 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $302.98

A 40.6 trailing P/E and 2.26% FCF yield leave little valuation cushion if growth expectations, including the AI-growth thesis, fail to

I respect the product at Ecolab Inc., but the stock at $302.98 is a different story. A 40.6 trailing P/E and 2.26% FCF yield leave little valuation cushion if growth expectations, including the AI-growth thesis, fail to materialize.. FCF yield is 2.26% and RQD sits at 72/100 (B) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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