Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Everus Construction Group Inc. (NYSE: ECG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $102.99 (+0.35% 1D, market cap $5.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ECG ranks #630 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), ECG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.3x, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of 30.4%. By comparison, IBP (Installed Building Products Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 24.7%, cap $5.67B) and CVCO (Cavco Industries Inc.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $4.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while ECG leads on capital efficiency (30.4% ROIC).
Per ECG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002015845), Everus Construction Group Inc. generated $3.75B in revenue (+31.5% YoY), $201.8M in net income, and -$11.7M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $266.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 6.47 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 12.1% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (41.7) create a -15 pt regime headwind
While ECG currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($113.82) and Max Pain ($108.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $180.16.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) advanced +0.35% to $102.99, trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($78.14 – $171.58). Stretched risk/reward at 27x P/E (30% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 0.00% and -1.25%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Investment management company First Pacific Advisors recently released its “FPA Queens Road Small Cap Value Fund” Q3 2026 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. The Fund returned -7.62% in the thir
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +31.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ECG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ECG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) ranks #630 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #261 by equity capitalization ($5.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTH leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while ECG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.4% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. SKY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with ECG at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECG
ACTIVE
Everus Construction Group Inc. | D | 46/100 | 27.3x | 12.1% | 30.4% | +0.35% | $5.24B | Benchmark Subject |
| IBP Installed Building Products Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 21.3x | 34.0% | 24.7% | +3.32% | $5.67B | /ibp-vs-ecg → |
| CVCO Cavco Industries Inc. | B+ | 80/100 | 22.0x | 23.5% | 17.6% | +7.09% | $4.76B | /cvco-vs-ecg → |
| SKY Champion Homes Inc. | A- | 81/100 | 21.3x | 26.4% | 20.8% | +4.72% | $4.60B | /sky-vs-ecg → |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corporation | C- | 59/100 | 9.3x | — | 8.0% | +7.04% | $4.20B | /mth-vs-ecg → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) reported GAAP revenue of $3.75B (+31.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.85B , and +31.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $201.8M, operating cash flow of $156.8M, and free cash flow of -$11.7M (-133.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ECG closed FY2025 with $1.73B in total assets against $266.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.47, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.75B | $201.8M | $156.8M | -$11.7M | $1.73B | $266.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.85B | $143.4M | $163.4M | $35.1M | $1.29B | $280.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.85B | $137.2M | $171.3M | $42.9M | $3.43B | $801.5M |
As of 2026-11-03, Everus Construction Group Inc. (NYSE: ECG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $102.99 (+0.35% 1D, market cap $5.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ECG ranks #630 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), ECG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.3x, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of 30.4%. By comparison, IBP (Installed Building Products Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 24.7%, cap $5.67B) and CVCO (Cavco Industries Inc.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $4.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while ECG leads on capital efficiency (30.4% ROIC).
Per ECG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002015845), Everus Construction Group Inc. generated $3.75B in revenue (+31.5% YoY), $201.8M in net income, and -$11.7M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $266.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ECG last traded at $102.99 (+0.35% on volume of 677,621 shares), positioning the stock -9.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($113.82) and -18.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($126.09). Across its 52-week range of $78.14 to $171.58, ECG sits at the 26.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($92.18 to $113.80).
The Roarable RQD rating is 48 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning" (). The five pillars are:
Taken together, the rating points to a company with healthy balance-sheet metrics and high reported returns on capital, offset by weak free cash flow, weak institutional and insider signals, and elevated market sensitivity. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 27.3 versus forward P/E of 22.9 implies expected earnings growth in the source's estimates, while the negative FCF yield means current cash generation does not support the market price. These are educational observations, not a recommendation.
Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) is a NYSE-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Homebuilding industry (per the company profile). — for specific products, customers, or revenue-generation detail beyond the sector classification. The source data provides gross margin of 12.1%, operating margin of 7.1%, and net margin of 5.4% (per the market data section), which describe profitability but not the operating model itself.
Revenue rose from $2.85B (FY 2023) to $3.75B (FY 2025), while FY 2025 free cash flow turned negative at -$11.7M after positive FCF in the two prior years. Debt declined from $801.5M in FY 2023 to $266.5M in FY 2025. The Altman Z-Score is 6.47, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.42. Net margin is 5.4% per the market data section. — for period-end cash balances.
Sector classification is Consumer Discretionary / Homebuilding (). The beta of 1.13 (per the market data) is the only available indicator of sensitivity to broad market movement.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
High ROIC of 30.4% and a strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 6.47, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.42) with debt falling from $801.5M to $266.5M.. When you look under the hood at ECG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 12.1% gross margins and 30.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $171.58. My 12M target is $124.18.
@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $102.63 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
Negative FCF yield of -0.21% with FY 2025 FCF at -$11.7M, weak whale-flow (7/20) and macro-fit (5/20) scores, and Beta of 1.13.. Look at the math on ECG: paying 27.3x trailing P/E for 30.4% ROIC and 7.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Homebuilding demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $90.31 before getting long.
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