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Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$139.33 +2.44% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $139.68

Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.01B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DORM Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DORM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Dorman Products Inc. (NASDAQ: DORM) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $139.33 (+2.44% 1D, market cap $4.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DORM ranks #185 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DORM compare to GTX and GNTX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DORM carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.3x, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of 12.9%. By comparison, GTX (Garrett Motion Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 13.5x, ROIC 69.2%, cap $3.86B) and GNTX (Gentex Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.1x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $4.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GNTX leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while GTX leads on capital efficiency (69.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DORM?
β–Ό

Per DORM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000868780), Dorman Products Inc. generated $2.13B in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $204.2M in net income, and $75.7M in free cash flow against $2.49B in total assets and $402.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $139.68 (+0.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk B-
Cash (10)Whales (15)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$172 Bull$146 Base$114 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE DORM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DORM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY DORM SCORES 68/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.3% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 14.1% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$123.34+0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$123.94+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$124.31+12.1% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$139.33+1.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (60) β†’ C+ (68)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DORM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, DORM faces multiple-compression risk if 19.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 39.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($125.77) or 200D SMA ($123.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($145.60) toward Bear Floor ($113.57).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DORMβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œDORM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DORM)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DORM.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating DORM & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on DORM
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DORM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.69%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $133.7H $139.3L $133.7C $139.3VOL 280.2K
RES: $174.0SUP: $119.8SMA50: $125.8SMA200: $123.5
$158.9$144.3$129.8$115.3$100.7RES $174.0SUP $119.8$139.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DORM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
12.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DORM today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DORM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DORM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DORM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #185 of 1011 βš”οΈ GTX vs DORM Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DORM vs. GTX, GNTX, ATMU, VGNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) ranks #185 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #311 by equity capitalization ($4.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GNTX leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while GTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 69.2% ROIC and 20.4% gross margin. DORM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DORM ACTIVE
Dorman Products Inc.
C+ 68/100 19.3x 42.1% 12.9% +2.44% $4.01B Benchmark Subject
GTX
Garrett Motion Inc.
C- 59/100 13.5x 20.4% 69.2% -3.30% $3.86B /gtx-vs-dorm β†’
GNTX
Gentex Corporation
C 65/100 11.1x 34.2% 14.8% +3.47% $4.19B /gntx-vs-dorm β†’
ATMU
Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
C 62/100 18.3x 28.2% 34.6% +4.31% $3.73B /atmu-vs-dorm β†’
VGNT
Versigent PLC
D 48/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.19% $2.91B /vgnt-vs-dorm β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000868780

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) reported GAAP revenue of $2.13B (+6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.01B , and +10.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $204.2M, operating cash flow of $113.6M, and free cash flow of $75.7M (-60.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DORM closed FY2025 with $2.49B in total assets against $402.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.13B $204.2M $113.6M $75.7M $2.49B $402.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.01B $190.0M $231.0M $191.6M $2.42B $439.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.93B $129.3M $208.8M $208.8M β€” β€”

3. DORM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DORM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dorman Products Inc. (NASDAQ: DORM) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $139.33 (+2.44% 1D, market cap $4.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DORM ranks #185 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DORM compare to GTX and GNTX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DORM carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.3x, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of 12.9%. By comparison, GTX (Garrett Motion Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 13.5x, ROIC 69.2%, cap $3.86B) and GNTX (Gentex Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.1x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $4.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GNTX leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while GTX leads on capital efficiency (69.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DORM?

Per DORM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000868780), Dorman Products Inc. generated $2.13B in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $204.2M in net income, and $75.7M in free cash flow against $2.49B in total assets and $402.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DORM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DORM last traded at $139.33 (+2.44% on volume of 249,221 shares), positioning the stock +10.78% above its 50-day simple moving average ($125.77) and +12.83% above its 200-day simple moving average ($123.49). Across its 52-week range of $98.45 to $155.37, DORM sits at the 71.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.3% ($129.16 to $149.50).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 68/100 (C+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DORM β€” Dorman Products Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $139.33 (+2.44% 1D, market capitalization $4.01B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.9%, gross margin of 42.1%, operating margin of 14.1%, and free cash flow yield of 1.92%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.27x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Dorman Products Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 42.1%, an operating margin of 14.1%, and a net margin of 9.6%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) reported $2.13B in annual revenue (up from $2.01B in FY2024, +6.0% YoY) and $204.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.93B revenue, $129.3M net income) through FY2025, DORM scaled operating cash flow to $113.6M and free cash flow to $75.7M, backed by $2.49B in total assets against $402.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C+ β€’ RQD 68/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $98.45 – $155.37 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 19.3x trailing P/E and 12.9x EV/EBITDA against 14.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is "NONE" and the butterfly_links and proprietary_signals arrays are empty. Sector classification (Consumer Discretionary / Auto Parts: O.E.M.) is the only sector context provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can DORM sustain or expand its 14.1% operating margin and 12.9% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.13B and free cash flow of $75.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $402.4M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DORM's 17.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DORM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to DORM Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DORM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $139.33?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DORM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DORM:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $171.37 (+26.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Balance sheet strength (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.27) is the strongest RQD pillar at 15/20.

Long DORM at $136.01 targeting $171.37. Balance sheet strength (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.27) is the strongest RQD pillar at 15/20.. Institutional whale score is 15/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $98.45 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” DORM's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $116.97 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $136.01

FCF fell from $208.8M in FY 2023 to $75.7M in FY 2025, and the FCF yield of 1.92% leaves little cash-based valuation support.

Fading this rally in DORM at $136.01. FCF fell from $208.8M in FY 2023 to $75.7M in FY 2025, and the FCF yield of 1.92% leaves little cash-based valuation support.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $136.01 (52-wk range $98.45–$155.37), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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