Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$77.68 +3.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.00

Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.49B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PATK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Patrick Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: PATK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $77.68 (+3.33% 1D, market cap $2.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PATK ranks #265 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PATK compare to DAN and LCII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), PATK carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 23.1%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, DAN (Dana Incorporated) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 29.6%, cap $2.49B) and LCII (LCI Industries) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PATK?
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Per PATK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000076605), Patrick Industries Inc. generated $3.95B in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $135.1M in net income, and $246.5M in free cash flow against $3.08B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.00 (+0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$156 Bull$79 Base$62 Bear
📬 FREE PATK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PATK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PATK SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64.4) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$63.31+6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$67.30+3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$69.93+11.1% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$77.68+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PATK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, PATK faces multiple-compression risk if 17.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($71.83) or 200D SMA ($94.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($79.43) toward Bear Floor ($61.96).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PATK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PATK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
64.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.00>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE17% OF RANGE
L: $63$77.68H: $149
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (23% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on PATK

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

8.9% ROIC with 23.1% gross margin and 10.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.00 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (55)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PATK
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PATK Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PATK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.75%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $75.18H $77.68L $75.18C $77.68VOL 1.09M
RES: $77.29SUP: $58.06SMA50: $71.83SMA200: $94.83
$114.4$100.4$86.52$72.60$58.68RES $77.29SUP $58.06$77.682026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PATK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PATK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PATK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PATK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PATK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #265 of 1011 ⚔️ DAN vs PATK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PATK vs. DAN, LCII, PHIN, VGNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) ranks #265 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #387 by equity capitalization ($2.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LCII leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while DAN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.6% ROIC and 8.0% gross margin. PATK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PATK ACTIVE
Patrick Industries Inc.
C 63/100 17.9x 23.1% 8.9% +3.33% $2.49B Benchmark Subject
DAN
Dana Incorporated
D 47/100 31.5x 8.0% 29.6% -7.00% $2.49B /dan-vs-patk →
LCII
LCI Industries
C 63/100 12.8x 23.8% 10.6% +0.01% $2.41B /lcii-vs-patk →
PHIN
PHINIA Inc.
C- 59/100 17.2x 21.9% 9.1% +3.05% $2.26B /phin-vs-patk →
VGNT
Versigent PLC
D 48/100 — — — -2.98% $2.91B /vgnt-vs-patk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000076605

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) reported GAAP revenue of $3.95B (+6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.72B , and +13.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $135.1M, operating cash flow of $329.4M, and free cash flow of $246.5M (-1.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, PATK closed FY2025 with $3.08B in total assets against $1.28B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.00, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.95B $135.1M $329.4M $246.5M $3.08B $1.28B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.72B $138.4M $326.8M $251.2M $3.02B $1.31B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.47B $142.9M $408.7M $252.6M $4.16B $973.8M

3. PATK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PATK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Patrick Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: PATK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $77.68 (+3.33% 1D, market cap $2.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PATK ranks #265 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PATK compare to DAN and LCII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), PATK carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 23.1%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, DAN (Dana Incorporated) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 29.6%, cap $2.49B) and LCII (LCI Industries) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PATK?

Per PATK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000076605), Patrick Industries Inc. generated $3.95B in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $135.1M in net income, and $246.5M in free cash flow against $3.08B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PATK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PATK last traded at $77.68 (+3.33% on volume of 1,086,174 shares), positioning the stock +8.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($71.83) and -18.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($94.83). Across its 52-week range of $63.00 to $148.50, PATK sits at the 17.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($70.53 to $84.83).

PATK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell PATK stock right now?

Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 23% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 18x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is PATK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PATK's 12-month base price target is $79.43 (range $61.96 to $155.93), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PATK — Patrick Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PATK scores 63 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 8.9% and an FCF yield of 10.21%. Cash generation is a relative strength, but returns on capital are moderate rather than exceptional.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. The rating describes institutional accumulation and options positioning as a weaker input. Per the holders section, no 13F data is provided, so this pillar cannot be independently verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. The rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow as a relative positive. Per the holders section, no transaction detail is provided.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. The rating cites a Beta of 0.96 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest pillar, suggesting limited fit with the current macro backdrop per the rating's own framing.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. The rating cites Altman Z of 3, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.08. This is the strongest pillar and indicates a financially sound profile.

For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are the cash-generation profile and balance-sheet strength. The valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 17.9 and an EV/EBITDA of 10.6, while the macro-regime pillar is weak. The stock's 52-week range of $63 - $148.5 indicates very wide price dispersion. The overall label of "Hold" reflects balanced rather than asymmetric risk-reward per the rating.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price75.18
Market Cap$2.41B
P/E (TTM)17.9
Forward P/E16.6
EV/EBITDA10.6
EPS (TTM)4.2
Dividend Yield2.29%
Beta0.96
52-Wk Range$63 - $148.5
ROIC %8.9%

Business

Per the profile, Patrick Industries Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Auto Parts:O.E.M. industry. Per the profile, its market capitalization is $2.4B. Not available in source data: product lines, customer base, and specific revenue-generation mechanics.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3950.8M$276.0M$135.1MN/A$246.5M$26.4M$1282.8M
FY 2024$3715.7M$258.0M$138.4MN/A$251.2M$33.6M$1311.7M
FY 2023$3468.0M$260.2M$142.9MN/A$252.6MN/A$973.8M

Per the market data, gross margin is 23.1%, operating margin is 7%, and net margin is 3.4%. ROIC is 8.9%. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 3 and Piotroski F is 7/9, both supporting a relatively sound balance-sheet read. Per the financials, revenue rose from $3468.0M in FY 2023 to $3950.8M in FY 2025 while net income declined from $142.9M to $135.1M over the same period. Debt was $1282.8M at FY 2025 versus $973.8M at FY 2023, and Debt/Equity is 1.08 per the RQD rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, five items reference PATK with a YELLOW signal and one with a GREEN CATALYST signal:

  • Headlines reference a "Q3 Earnings Profit Squeeze," a "Q3: Resilient In A Challenging Environment" analysis, and a note that PATK "Just Jumped."
  • A TradingView item reports that Patrick Industries "Reaffirms All-Stock Merger With LCI," the most concrete corporate-action reference in the wire.
  • Risk watch: the profit-squeeze headline and the net income decline in the financials.
  • Proprietary signals: none per the Butterfly graph.
  • Per the market data, the stock rose 7.51% on the day.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Not available in source data: specific sector correlations and 2nd-order bottlenecks. The merger reference in the news wire is the only identifiable corporate dependency to monitor.

Open Questions

  • What are the terms and timing of the reaffirmed all-stock merger with LCI, and how would it affect share count and the balance sheet?
  • What drove the net income decline from FY 2023 to FY 2025 despite revenue growth?
  • What are the specific EPS values for FY 2023–FY 2025, which are reported as N/A?
  • What insider, 13F, and Congressional trades underlie the RQD pillar scores?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is reported as N/A?

PATK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PATK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PATK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $77.68?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PATK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PATK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $81.19 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PATK (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $75.18?

Welcome to the PATK (Patrick Industries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $61.65 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $75.18

Pump the brakes on PATK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PATK, but look at what you are paying: 17.9x trailing P/E with 23.1% gross margins. Unless Patrick Industries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $90.97 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $75.18

PATK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PATK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Parts:O.E.M. and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $75.18 (52-wk range $63.00 - $148.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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