Stock Ratings / Industrials / DEC / earnings

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Diversified Energy Company (DEC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.4% Move

Q: Where is DEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DEC last traded at $14.44 (-1.16% on volume of 1,230,352 shares), positioning the stock +0.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.42) and -0.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.46). Across its 52-week range of $12.35 to $18.90, DEC sits at the 31.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($13.66 to $15.22).

Q: When is DEC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Diversified Energy Company (DEC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is DEC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.4% event move for DEC, spanning a range between $13.66 and $15.22.

$14.44 -1.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.38

Diversified Energy Company (DEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.11B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DEC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Diversified Energy Company (NYSE: DEC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $14.44 (-1.16% 1D, market cap $1.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DEC ranks #213 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DEC compare to SLSR and PSUS in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), DEC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, SLSR (Solaris Resources Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.09B) and PSUS (Pershing Square USA Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $983.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DEC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DEC leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEC?

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Per DEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001922446), Diversified Energy Company generated $1.83B in revenue (+141.5% YoY), $341.1M in net income, and $280.0M in free cash flow against $6.17B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.38 (-0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 15.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DEC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DEC SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.51 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$14.86-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$14.34+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$14.59-1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$14.44-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DEC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DEC currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.42) and Max Pain ($15.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DEC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DEC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.4% Swing Band

±$0.78 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DEC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 141.5%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.83B	$341.1M	$280.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$757.3M	-$104.4M	$168.6M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.95B	$748.7M	$291.4M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DEC)

✓Walkthrough of DEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.15%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $14.61H $14.61L $14.44C $14.44VOL 1.23M

RES: $14.79SUP: $13.52SMA50: $14.42SMA200: $14.46

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DEC Butterfly Map → + Track DEC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +141.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DEC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DEC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DEC)

Industrials Rank #213 of 485 ⚔️ SLSR vs DEC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DEC vs. SLSR, PSUS, CNL, HSLV)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diversified Energy Company (DEC) ranks #213 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #240 by equity capitalization ($1.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DEC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.5% ROIC and — gross margin. DEC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DEC ACTIVE Diversified Energy Company	D	51/100	—	—	11.5%	-1.16%	$1.11B	Benchmark Subject
SLSR Solaris Resources Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-4.80%	$1.09B	/slsr-vs-dec →
PSUS Pershing Square USA Ltd.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-2.06%	$983.5M	/psus-vs-dec →
CNL Collective Mining Ltd.	D	45/100	—	—	—	-6.58%	$973.8M	/cnl-vs-dec →
HSLV Highlander Silver Corp.	D-	42/100	—	—	—	-7.84%	$860.9M	/hslv-vs-dec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001922446

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Diversified Energy Company (DEC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.83B (+141.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $757.3M , and -6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $341.1M, operating cash flow of $464.6M, and free cash flow of $280.0M (+66.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DEC closed FY2025 with $6.17B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.51, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.83B	$341.1M	$464.6M	$280.0M	$6.17B	$2.72B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$757.3M	-$104.4M	$220.7M	$168.6M	$3.96B	$1.50B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.95B	$748.7M	$291.4M	$291.4M	—	—

3. DEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DEC compare to SLSR and PSUS in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEC?

Where is DEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DEC last traded at $14.44 (-1.16% on volume of 1,230,352 shares), positioning the stock +0.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.42) and -0.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.46). Across its 52-week range of $12.35 to $18.90, DEC sits at the 31.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($13.66 to $15.22).

DEC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DEC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Diversified Energy Company (DEC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DEC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.4% event move for DEC, spanning a range between $13.66 and $15.22.

Direct Sub-Reports: DEC RQD Cockpit DEC 12M Forecast DEC Earnings & Move DEC Dividends & DRIP DEC Insiders & 13F DEC Whale Options DEC Profit Sankey DEC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DEC — Diversified Energy Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:42Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DEC scores 56 out of 100 with a letter grade of D+ and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 11.5% and FCF yield of 24.97%. A high FCF yield can signal cash generation relative to market value, but this pillar scored low, indicating the rating weighs the cash-generation quality against other fundamentals more heavily.
Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. Specific 13F holdings data is not available in source data.
Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Described as SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The highest-scoring pillar, though the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity are cited. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level volatility relative to the broader market per the market data section.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the rating, Altman Z is 0.51, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 2.76. The Altman Z figure is low and the Debt/Equity figure is elevated, which are the main drags on this pillar.

For a prospective investor, the rating's message is that strong reported cash metrics (FCF yield, ROIC, Piotroski score) coexist with balance-sheet and sentiment concerns (low Altman Z, high leverage, weak institutional-flow score). Upside drivers the data supports are the high FCF yield and the 7.58% dividend yield; the principal valuation tradeoff is that EV/EBITDA of 5.5 must be weighed against the leverage and the 0.51 Altman Z reading. Because EPS and P/E are not available in source data, earnings-based valuation cannot be assessed from these sources.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$1829.1M	$535.0M	$341.1M	N/A	$280.0M	$29.7M	$2715.5M
FY 2024	$757.3M	$-97.1M	$-104.4M	N/A	$168.6M	$6.0M	$1495.5M
FY 2023	$1948.8M	$1109.0M	$748.7M	N/A	$291.4M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, operating margin is 29.2% and net margin is 18.6%, while gross margin is listed as 0%. ROIC is 11.5% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.51 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. The Debt/Equity ratio cited in the rating is 2.76, and reported debt rose from $1495.5M in FY 2024 to $2715.5M in FY 2025 against cash of $29.7M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items were published, all sourced to market wire coverage (Yahoo Finance, Simply Wall St, MarketBeat, Stock Titan) and all flagged YELLOW. The headlines are general market-action and analyst-coverage pieces. One item references a planned quarterly results release with a call on Nov. 5 at 8:30 a.m. EST. The item summaries are templated and do not contain specific operating developments. Risk watch items per the data include the high debt level and low Altman Z reading noted in the rating. No proprietary signals are present in the Butterfly graph.

Open Questions

What are the underlying transactions behind the insider (Form 4 and Congressional PTR) and 13F whale-flow scores, and in what direction are they moving?
What is the composition and maturity schedule of the debt that rose to $2715.5M in FY 2025, and how is it being serviced given cash of $29.7M?
Why is the FY 2025 operating income ($535.0M) far above the FY 2025 net income ($341.1M), and what drives the gap?
What explains the swing from a net loss of $-104.4M in FY 2024 to net income of $341.1M in FY 2025, and is it recurring?
What are the company's EPS and P/E figures, and how do they compare with the 7.58% dividend yield on a sustainability basis?

DEC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Diversified Energy Company (DEC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DEC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) Rises As Market Takes a Dip: Key Facts

Yahoo Finance report covering Diversified Energy Company (DEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) Surpasses Market Returns: Some Facts Worth Knowing

Yahoo Finance report covering Diversified Energy Company (DEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Diversified Energy (NYSE:DEC) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering Diversified Energy Company (DEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) - What Are Researchers Saying About This Stock?

MarketBeat report covering Diversified Energy Company (DEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A Nov. 5 call at 8:30 a.m. EST follows Diversified Energy's planned quarterly results release.

Stock Titan report covering Diversified Energy Company (DEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?

Yahoo Finance report covering Diversified Energy Company (DEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 1d ago

Diversified Energy (NYSE:DEC) Stock Jumps 4.1% - Still a Buy?

MarketBeat report covering Diversified Energy Company (DEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE kalkine.ca • 1d ago

Diversified Energy Company PLC (LSE: DEC) Share Price, DEC Stock News, DEC Share Price & Updates

kalkine.ca report covering Diversified Energy Company (DEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DEC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.44?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DEC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $15.78 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DEC (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $14.61?

Welcome to the DEC (Diversified Energy Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Diversified Equities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.96 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $14.61

Pump the brakes on DEC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DEC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Diversified Energy Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.97 (+23.0%)

Spot @ $14.61

DEC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DEC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Equities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $14.61 (52-wk range $12.35 - $18.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.