What is DAN's 12-month stock price target?

Dana Incorporated (DAN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $21.76 (-4.9% from $22.89), with a bull-case target of $41.54 and a bear-case floor of $16.97.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DAN / forecast

PATK (63) LCII (63) PHIN (59) VGNT (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Dana Incorporated (DAN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is DAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates DAN D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 47/100.

$22.89 -0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.81

Dana Incorporated (DAN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.49B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DAN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Dana Incorporated (NYSE: DAN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $22.89 (-0.95% 1D, market cap $2.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAN ranks #612 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DAN compare to PATK and LCII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DAN carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of 8.0%, and ROIC of 29.6%. By comparison, PATK (Patrick Industries Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $2.49B) and LCII (LCI Industries) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAN?

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Per DAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000026780), Dana Incorporated generated $7.50B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), $85.0M in net income, and $512.0M in free cash flow against $7.81B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.81 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DAN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DAN SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.8% FCF Margin ($512.0M FCF) & 8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$28.45+2.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$29.19-6.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$27.20-15.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$22.89-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DAN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DAN currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($28.65) and Max Pain ($24.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DAN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DAN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your DAN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $22.89: 436.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $16.97

$7,414

$-2,586 (-25.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $21.76

$9,506

$-494 (-4.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $41.54

$18,148

+$8,148 (+81.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$23	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$39	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$19	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DAN)

✓Walkthrough of DAN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DAN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.96%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $24.85H $24.85L $22.89C $22.89VOL 2.64M

RES: $28.99SUP: $22.54SMA50: $28.65SMA200: $31.14

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DAN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DAN Butterfly Map → + Track DAN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DAN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DAN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DAN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DAN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #612 of 1011 ⚔️ PATK vs DAN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DAN vs. PATK, LCII, PHIN, VGNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dana Incorporated (DAN) ranks #612 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #388 by equity capitalization ($2.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LCII leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while DAN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.6% ROIC and 8.0% gross margin. PATK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with DAN at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DAN ACTIVE Dana Incorporated	D	47/100	31.5x	8.0%	29.6%	-0.95%	$2.49B	Benchmark Subject
PATK Patrick Industries Inc.	C	63/100	17.9x	23.1%	8.9%	+5.24%	$2.49B	/patk-vs-dan →
LCII LCI Industries	C	63/100	12.8x	23.8%	10.6%	+3.14%	$2.41B	/lcii-vs-dan →
PHIN PHINIA Inc.	C-	59/100	17.2x	21.9%	9.1%	+12.51%	$2.26B	/phin-vs-dan →
VGNT Versigent PLC	D	48/100	—	—	—	-0.19%	$2.91B	/vgnt-vs-dan →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000026780

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dana Incorporated (DAN) reported GAAP revenue of $7.50B (-3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.73B , and -1.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $85.0M, operating cash flow of $512.0M, and free cash flow of $512.0M (+13.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, DAN closed FY2025 with $7.81B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.38, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$7.50B	$85.0M	$512.0M	$512.0M	$7.81B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.73B	-$57.0M	$450.0M	$450.0M	$7.49B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$7.61B	$38.0M	$476.0M	$476.0M	—	—

3. DAN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DAN compare to PATK and LCII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAN?

Where is DAN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DAN last traded at $22.89 (-0.95% on volume of 2,222,137 shares), positioning the stock -20.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.65) and -26.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($31.14). Across its 52-week range of $18.96 to $39.56, DAN sits at the 19.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($20.78 to $25.00).

Direct Sub-Reports: DAN RQD Cockpit DAN 12M Forecast DAN Earnings & Move DAN Dividends & DRIP DAN Insiders & 13F DAN Whale Options DAN Profit Sankey DAN News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DAN — Dana Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Dana Incorporated (DAN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $22.89 (-0.95% 1D, market capitalization $2.49B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 29.6%, gross margin of 8.0%, operating margin of 1.9%, and free cash flow yield of 19.15%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.38, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Dana Incorporated (DAN) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts:O.E.M. Industry,. Per the market data, gross margin is 8%, operating margin 1.9%, and net margin 1.1%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Dana Incorporated (DAN) reported $7.50B in annual revenue (up from $7.73B in FY2024, -3.0% YoY) and $85.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($7.61B revenue, $38.0M net income) through FY2025, DAN scaled operating cash flow to $512.0M and free cash flow to $512.0M, backed by $7.81B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 19.15% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.96 – $39.56 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 31.5x trailing P/E and 15.9x EV/EBITDA against 1.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this dataset cannot identify second-order bottlenecks; the Beta of 1.0 and the Macro Regime Fit pillar (6 of 20, "sector sensitivity") are the only available indicators of sector-level exposure.

Key Question #1: Can DAN sustain or expand its 1.9% operating margin and 29.6% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.50B and free cash flow of $512.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is DAN's 29.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DAN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dana Incorporated (DAN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DAN Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Australia • 20h ago

Dana Incorporated (DAN) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Australia report covering Dana Incorporated (DAN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 23h ago

DAN: Dana Inc Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas

Stocktwits report covering Dana Incorporated (DAN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE PR Newswire • 1d ago

Dana to Pay Dividend on Common Stock

PR Newswire report covering Dana Incorporated (DAN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Dana Incorporated to Participate in Gabelli 50th Annual Automotive Symposium

Yahoo Finance report covering Dana Incorporated (DAN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

$200 million went to buying back Dana's own shares; the company expects $100 million more in Q4.

Stock Titan report covering Dana Incorporated (DAN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 1d ago

Dana Incorporated $DAN Stock: Assenagon Asset Management S.A. Raises Position

MarketBeat report covering Dana Incorporated (DAN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Dana Incorporated (DAN) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Dana Incorporated (DAN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 3d ago

BNP Paribas Reiterates Outperform on Dana, Lowers Price Target to $34

BNP Paribas analyst James Picariello reiterates Dana (NYSE:DAN) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $38 to $34.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DAN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.89?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DAN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $27.04 (+17.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow of $512.0M in FY 2025 and a 29.6% ROIC show strong cash generation relative to the company's $2.67B market cap.

The street is overcomplicating Dana Incorporated (DAN). Free cash flow of $512.0M in FY 2025 and a 29.6% ROIC show strong cash generation relative to the company's $2.67B market cap.. With an RQD score of 47/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $24.96.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — DAN's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.79 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $23.11

A Piotroski-weakened balance sheet with an Altman Z of 1.38 and a 2.0% dividend yield against 31.5x trailing P/E leaves limited margin

I respect the product at Dana Incorporated, but the stock at $23.11 is a different story. A Piotroski-weakened balance sheet with an Altman Z of 1.38 and a 2.0% dividend yield against 31.5x trailing P/E leaves limited margin for error.. FCF yield is 19.15% and RQD sits at 47/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?