Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CVR carries an RQD Score of 31 and a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars, each scored out of 20, are:

• Fundamental Cash Engine: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -5.5% and an FCF yield of -11.66%. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation picture is the weakest link: the business is currently not earning a return on invested capital and is not converting revenue into free cash flow on a yield basis.
• Whale / 13F Flow: 8 / 20. This pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. A score below midpoint indicates limited institutional support in the signal set.
• Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating weak insider-side conviction in the signal set.
• Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. This pillar indicates the stock's risk profile relative to the market has not been scored as favorable in the current regime.
• Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 4.22, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Altman Z reading is the strongest data point in the rating; the Piotroski F reading is weak.

Taken together, the rating is driven mostly by weak cash generation, weak insider signals, and a weak Piotroski score, partially offset by a comparatively favorable Altman Z reading. Upside drivers would need to come from a turnaround in cash generation, which the source data does not show. The current price of 10.9 sits within a 52-week range of $8.5 - $15, and the 8.35% change reflects a single-session move in the market data rather than a demonstrated change in the fundamental pillars.

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry. Per the profile, it has a market capitalization of $0.0B. Per the market data, gross margin is 14.8%. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue mix.

Per the SEC financials, revenue moved from $31.5M (FY 2023) to $27.0M (FY 2024) and $27.9M (FY 2025), while operating income was negative in all three reported periods. Per the market data, operating margin is -4.3%, net margin is -3.9%, and ROIC is -5.5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.22 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. The Altman Z-Score is the more favorable forensic indicator, while the low Piotroski F-Score points to weak fundamental scoring on the rating's checklist.

Per the recent news feed, six items reference CVR, most tagged as "MARKET WIRE" with a YELLOW light, including reports from Yahoo! Finance Canada and TradingKey covering market action and institutional positioning. One item, a headline referencing a Q2 2026 earnings result showing a loss of $1.02 per share with no consensus estimate, is tagged as a CATALYST with a GREEN light and is flagged in the feed with a revenue recognition risk label. Several feed headlines reference unrelated companies (Chervon Holdings, The Timken Company) and general market lists; these do not contain CVR-specific fundamental information. The feed's summary field for the earnings item references a source domain not matching the headline, which the reader should verify directly. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks are recorded. The source data does not allow identification of supplier or customer concentration for CVR. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means this analysis cannot assess ripple effects from Industrials peers.

• What are CVR's reported EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, given that these are not available in the source data?
• What are the company's reported debt balances, since the financial table lists Debt as N/A for all periods?
• What products, end markets, and customers drive the $27.9M of FY 2025 revenue?
• What is the cause of the consistently negative operating income across FY 2023–FY 2025?
• What is the institutional and insider holding picture, given that the holders dataset is empty?