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Stock Ratings / Materials / CTGO / options
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Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$14.05 +2.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.08

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $459.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CTGO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CTGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (NYSE: CTGO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $14.05 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $459.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CTGO ranks #54 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CTGO compare to NAK and ITRG in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), CTGO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NAK (Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $455.5M) and ITRG (Integra Resources Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $426.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTGO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTGO?
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Per CTGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001502377), Contango Silver & Gold Inc. generated $193.4M in revenue (+162.9% YoY), -$36.1M in net income, and $25.7M in free cash flow against $172.0M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.08 (+0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 13.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$36 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE CTGO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CTGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CTGO SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.3% FCF Margin ($25.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$15.81-4.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$15.03-0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$15.02-6.5% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$14.05-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CTGO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, CTGO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.26) or 200D SMA ($20.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.86) toward Bear Floor ($10.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CTGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CTGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±10.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CTGO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CTGO.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CTGO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CTGO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CTGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.00%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $14.85H $14.85L $13.74C $14.05VOL 494.8K
RES: $16.76SUP: $13.40SMA50: $17.26SMA200: $20.54
$30.64$25.98$21.32$16.66$12.00RES $16.76SUP $13.40$14.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CTGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CTGO Butterfly Map → + Track CTGO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTGO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CTGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTGO)

Materials Rank #54 of 270 ⚔️ NAK vs CTGO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CTGO vs. NAK, ITRG, TMQ, GORO)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) ranks #54 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #176 by equity capitalization ($459.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CTGO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CTGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CTGO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CTGO ACTIVE
Contango Silver & Gold Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — 85.0% +2.26% $459.5M Benchmark Subject
NAK
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.
D 45/100 — — — -14.65% $455.5M /nak-vs-ctgo →
ITRG
Integra Resources Corp.
D 45/100 — — — -0.48% $426.0M /itrg-vs-ctgo →
TMQ
Trilogy Metals Inc.
E 31/100 — — -34.0% -0.46% $397.2M /tmq-vs-ctgo →
GORO
Goldgroup Mining Inc.
D 47/100 — — — -11.08% $534.1M /goro-vs-ctgo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001502377

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) reported GAAP revenue of $193.4M (+162.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $73.6M , and +108.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$36.1M, operating cash flow of $25.7M, and free cash flow of $25.7M (+3581.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTGO closed FY2025 with $172.0M in total assets against $29.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $193.4M -$36.1M $25.7M $25.7M $172.0M $29.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $73.6M -$38.0M $699.0K $699.0K $133.9M $26.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $92.7M -$59.1M -$13.6M -$13.6M — —

3. CTGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CTGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (NYSE: CTGO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $14.05 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $459.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CTGO ranks #54 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CTGO compare to NAK and ITRG in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), CTGO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NAK (Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $455.5M) and ITRG (Integra Resources Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $426.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTGO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTGO?

Per CTGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001502377), Contango Silver & Gold Inc. generated $193.4M in revenue (+162.9% YoY), -$36.1M in net income, and $25.7M in free cash flow against $172.0M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CTGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CTGO last traded at $14.05 (+2.26% on volume of 425,623 shares), positioning the stock -18.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.26) and -31.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.54). Across its 52-week range of $13.45 to $34.38, CTGO sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($12.63 to $15.47).

Direct Sub-Reports: CTGO RQD Cockpit CTGO 12M Forecast CTGO Earnings & Move CTGO Dividends & DRIP CTGO Insiders & 13F CTGO Whale Options CTGO Profit Sankey CTGO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CTGO — Contango Silver & Gold Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.05 (+2.26% 1D, market capitalization $459.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 5.18%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.19x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Materials sector and the Precious Metals industry. The source data identifies the company as operating in precious metals with a market capitalization of $0.5B. Revenue is reported as — in each available period, so the mechanism by which the company generates its reported operating income is not described in the source data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) reported $193.4M in annual revenue (up from $73.6M in FY2024, +162.9% YoY) and -$36.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($92.7M revenue, -$59.1M net income) through FY2025, CTGO scaled operating cash flow to $25.7M and free cash flow to $25.7M, backed by $172.0M in total assets against $29.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Free cash flow yield of 5.18% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $13.45 – $34.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 6.7x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means no 2nd-order ripple can be traced from the provided data; any such analysis would require information outside this source set.

  • Key Question #1: Can CTGO sustain or expand its — operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $193.4M and free cash flow of $25.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $29.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CTGO's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CTGO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CTGO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CTGO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.05?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CTGO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CTGO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.18 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, an 85% ROIC and 5.18% FCF yield drive the strongest pillar score of 17 / 20.

Don't sleep on CTGO's setup in Materials. Per the Roarable RQD rating, an 85% ROIC and 5.18% FCF yield drive the strongest pillar score of 17 / 20.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (55/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $13.74 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.99 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $13.74

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Whale 13F Flow scores only 3 / 20, and net income is negative in all three reported periods.

I respect the product at Contango Silver & Gold Inc., but the stock at $13.74 is a different story. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Whale 13F Flow scores only 3 / 20, and net income is negative in all three reported periods.. FCF yield is 5.18% and RQD sits at 55/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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