Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (NYSE: CTGO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $14.05 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $459.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CTGO ranks #54 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), CTGO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NAK (Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $455.5M) and ITRG (Integra Resources Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $426.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTGO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per CTGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001502377), Contango Silver & Gold Inc. generated $193.4M in revenue (+162.9% YoY), -$36.1M in net income, and $25.7M in free cash flow against $172.0M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.3% FCF Margin ($25.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, CTGO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.26) or 200D SMA ($20.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.86) toward Bear Floor ($10.81).
Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) surged +2.26% to $14.05, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($13.45 – $34.38). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Streetwise Reports report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Streetwise Reports report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Fairbanks, Alaska--(Newsfile Corp. - October 28, 2026) - Contango Silver and Gold Inc. (NYSE American: CTGO) (TSX: CTGO) ("Contango" or the "Company") is pleased to provide a corporate update on its 2026 field season for
Inflation is heating up again, the Fed has just raised rates for the first time since 2023, and real wages are shrinking, which is a tough mix for most assets but a potential turning point for a small corner of the marke
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTGO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) ranks #54 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #176 by equity capitalization ($459.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CTGO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CTGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CTGO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTGO
ACTIVE
Contango Silver & Gold Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | 85.0% | +2.26% | $459.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -14.65% | $455.5M | /nak-vs-ctgo → |
| ITRG Integra Resources Corp. | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -0.48% | $426.0M | /itrg-vs-ctgo → |
| TMQ Trilogy Metals Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -34.0% | -0.46% | $397.2M | /tmq-vs-ctgo → |
| GORO Goldgroup Mining Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -11.08% | $534.1M | /goro-vs-ctgo → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) reported GAAP revenue of $193.4M (+162.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $73.6M , and +108.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$36.1M, operating cash flow of $25.7M, and free cash flow of $25.7M (+3581.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTGO closed FY2025 with $172.0M in total assets against $29.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $193.4M | -$36.1M | $25.7M | $25.7M | $172.0M | $29.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $73.6M | -$38.0M | $699.0K | $699.0K | $133.9M | $26.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $92.7M | -$59.1M | -$13.6M | -$13.6M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (NYSE: CTGO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $14.05 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $459.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CTGO ranks #54 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), CTGO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NAK (Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $455.5M) and ITRG (Integra Resources Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $426.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTGO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per CTGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001502377), Contango Silver & Gold Inc. generated $193.4M in revenue (+162.9% YoY), -$36.1M in net income, and $25.7M in free cash flow against $172.0M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CTGO last traded at $14.05 (+2.26% on volume of 425,623 shares), positioning the stock -18.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.26) and -31.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.54). Across its 52-week range of $13.45 to $34.38, CTGO sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($12.63 to $15.47).
CTGO scores 55 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:
Taken together, the rating suggests a prospective investor faces a cash-generative profile with weak institutional support, modest insider signal, limited macro fit, and an unremarkable balance sheet. The rating's "Trim" verdict signals that the composite view favors reducing exposure rather than adding to it. The strongest argument for the stock rests on the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar; the weakest is Whale 13F Flow.
Contango Silver & Gold Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Materials sector and the Precious Metals industry. The source data identifies the company as operating in precious metals with a market capitalization of $0.5B. Revenue is reported as — in each available period, so the mechanism by which the company generates its reported operating income is not described in the source data.
Operating income moved from -$33.1M in FY 2023 to $26.3M in FY 2024 and $69.1M in FY 2025, while net income remained negative in all three periods. Gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0% in the market data, so margin trends cannot be interpreted. ROIC is 85%, and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Debt/Equity is 1.19. Reported cash rose from $20.1M to $64.8M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, while debt rose modestly from $26.4M to $29.9M.
The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means no 2nd-order ripple can be traced from the provided data; any such analysis would require information outside this source set.
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Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Streetwise Reports report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Streetwise Reports report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Don't sleep on CTGO's setup in Materials. Per the Roarable RQD rating, an 85% ROIC and 5.18% FCF yield drive the strongest pillar score of 17 / 20.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (55/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@ForensicBear Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $13.74 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.
I respect the product at Contango Silver & Gold Inc., but the stock at $13.74 is a different story. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Whale 13F Flow scores only 3 / 20, and net income is negative in all three reported periods.. FCF yield is 5.18% and RQD sits at 55/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?
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