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Why CPB Stock surged +3.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$22.14 +3.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.23

The Campbell's Company (CPB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.39B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, The Campbell's Company (NASDAQ: CPB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $22.14 (+3.36% 1D, market cap $6.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CPB ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPB compare to INGR and CAG in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), CPB carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.4x, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, INGR (Ingredion Incorporated) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $6.12B) and CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPB?
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Per CPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-03, CIK 0000016732), The Campbell's Company generated $10.25B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $602.0M in net income, and $705.0M in free cash flow against $15.35B in total assets and $5.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.23 (+0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 6.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (12)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$34 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE CPB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPB SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.9% FCF Margin ($705.0M FCF) & 30.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$19.10+2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$19.56+5.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$20.59+7.5% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$22.14+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CPB faces multiple-compression risk if 10.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.72) or 200D SMA ($22.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.64) toward Bear Floor ($17.66).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 31, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CPB Stock surged +3.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

The Campbell's Company (CPB) surged +3.36% to $22.14, trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($18.6 – $32.04). Solid 30.4% gross margin (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($18.6 – $32.04) with RSI-14 at 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.8% around $22.14 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 30.4% gross margin and $705.0M annual free cash flow.
Live CPB Headlines & Catalysts
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Value stocks typically trade at discounts to the broader market, offering patient investors the opportunity to buy businesses when they’re out of favor. The key risk, however, is that these stocks are usually cheap for a

MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Semiconductor stocks lose momentum as S&P 500 takes lead

Key TakeawaysSemiconductor-related stocks experienced substantial outflows last week, while software attracted fresh investment. Historical analysis suggests broader market returns have been more modest when the S&P 500

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CPB Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CPB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.00%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $21.00H $22.14L $21.00C $22.14VOL 6.32M
RES: $24.95SUP: $17.69SMA50: $20.72SMA200: $22.37
$29.01$26.19$23.37$20.55$17.72RES $24.95SUP $17.69$22.142026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPB)

Consumer Staples Rank #39 of 147 ⚔️ INGR vs CPB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (CPB vs. INGR, CAG, LW, DAR)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Campbell's Company (CPB) ranks #39 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #42 by equity capitalization ($6.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while INGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. LW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with CPB at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPB ACTIVE
The Campbell's Company
C 63/100 10.4x 30.4% 10.8% +3.36% $6.39B Benchmark Subject
INGR
Ingredion Incorporated
C 63/100 8.3x 25.3% 16.1% +2.02% $6.12B /ingr-vs-cpb →
CAG
ConAgra Brands Inc.
D 49/100 — 23.9% -10.0% +1.51% $6.96B /cag-vs-cpb →
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.
B+ 78/100 25.3x 20.6% 14.8% +4.62% $7.45B /lw-vs-cpb →
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc.
D+ 55/100 138.6x 24.0% 3.1% -3.07% $8.79B /dar-vs-cpb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-03 • CIK 0000016732 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-03), The Campbell's Company (CPB) reported GAAP revenue of $10.25B (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.64B , and +9.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $602.0M, operating cash flow of $1.13B, and free cash flow of $705.0M (+5.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPB closed FY2025 with $15.35B in total assets against $5.10B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.68, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-03 $10.25B $602.0M $1.13B $705.0M $15.35B $5.10B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-07-28 $9.64B $567.0M $1.19B $668.0M $15.91B $5.40B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-30 $9.36B $858.0M $1.14B $721.9M $11.23B $2.63B

3. CPB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The Campbell's Company (NASDAQ: CPB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $22.14 (+3.36% 1D, market cap $6.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CPB ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPB compare to INGR and CAG in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), CPB carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.4x, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, INGR (Ingredion Incorporated) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $6.12B) and CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPB?

Per CPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-03, CIK 0000016732), The Campbell's Company generated $10.25B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $602.0M in net income, and $705.0M in free cash flow against $15.35B in total assets and $5.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPB last traded at $22.14 (+3.36% on volume of 6,680,990 shares), positioning the stock +6.85% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.72) and -1.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.37). Across its 52-week range of $18.60 to $32.04, CPB sits at the 26.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($20.86 to $23.42).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CPB — The Campbell's Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-08-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Campbell's Company (CPB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $22.14 (+3.36% 1D, market capitalization $6.39B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.8%, gross margin of 30.4%, operating margin of 11.0%, and free cash flow yield of 11.26%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.68, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.19x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The Campbell's Company (CPB) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, Packaged Foods industry. Its market capitalization is $6.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-03), The Campbell's Company (CPB) reported $10.25B in annual revenue (up from $9.64B in FY2024, +6.4% YoY) and $602.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($9.36B revenue, $858.0M net income) through FY2025, CPB scaled operating cash flow to $1.13B and free cash flow to $705.0M, backed by $15.35B in total assets against $5.10B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 11.26% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.60 – $32.04 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 10.4x trailing P/E and 7.0x EV/EBITDA against 11.0% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Packaged Foods (Consumer Staples), CPB carries a macro regime beta of 0.99 and gross margin of 30.4%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CPB sustain or expand its 11.0% operating margin and 10.8% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.25B and free cash flow of $705.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.10B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CPB's 9.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?

CPB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Campbell's Company (CPB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CPB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.14?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.85 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at 10.4x TTM earnings with an 11.26% FCF yield and a 7.33% dividend yield, while insider conviction scores 17/20 in th

Picked up a starter position in CPB in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $21.42. The stock trades at 10.4x TTM earnings with an 11.26% FCF yield and a 7.33% dividend yield, while insider conviction scores 17/20 in the RQD rating.. Trading inside a $18.60–$32.04 52-week range with 11.26% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Packaged Foods multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — CPB's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.49 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $21.42

Debt rose from $2.63B to $5.10B between FY 2023 and FY 2025 while the Altman Z-Score sits at 1.68, and the stock hit a 12-month low

Debt rose from $2.63B to $5.10B between FY 2023 and FY 2025 while the Altman Z-Score sits at 1.68, and the stock hit a 12-month low per recent news.. Look at the math on CPB: paying 10.4x trailing P/E for 10.8% ROIC and 11.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Packaged Foods demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $18.85 before getting long.

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