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The Campbell's Company (CPB) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$21.42 +2.00% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.46

The Campbell's Company (CPB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.39B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CPB Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, The Campbell's Company (NASDAQ: CPB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $21.42 (+2.00% 1D, market cap $6.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CPB ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPB compare to INGR and CAG in the Consumer Staples sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), CPB carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.4x, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, INGR (Ingredion Incorporated) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $6.12B) and CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPB?
β–Ό

Per CPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-03, CIK 0000016732), The Campbell's Company generated $10.25B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $602.0M in net income, and $705.0M in free cash flow against $15.35B in total assets and $5.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.46 (+0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 6.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 54.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (12)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$34 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CPB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CPB SCORES 63/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.9% FCF Margin ($705.0M FCF) & 30.4% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$19.10+2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$19.56+5.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$20.59+4% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$21.42+0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (55) β†’ C (63)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CPB faces multiple-compression risk if 10.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 27.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.72) or 200D SMA ($22.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.90) toward Bear Floor ($17.08).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPBβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCPB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 31, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CPB Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CPB)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CPB. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CPB Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CPB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.49%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $21.00H $21.42L $21.00C $21.42VOL 6.32M
RES: $24.95SUP: $17.69SMA50: $20.72SMA200: $22.37
$29.01$26.19$23.37$20.55$17.72RES $24.95SUP $17.69$21.422026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPB)

Consumer Staples Rank #39 of 147 βš”οΈ INGR vs CPB Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (CPB vs. INGR, CAG, LW, DAR)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Campbell's Company (CPB) ranks #39 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #42 by equity capitalization ($6.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while INGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. LW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with CPB at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPB ACTIVE
The Campbell's Company
C 63/100 10.4x 30.4% 10.8% +2.00% $6.39B Benchmark Subject
INGR
Ingredion Incorporated
C 63/100 8.3x 25.3% 16.1% +1.44% $6.12B /ingr-vs-cpb β†’
CAG
ConAgra Brands Inc.
D 49/100 β€” 23.9% -10.0% +3.41% $6.96B /cag-vs-cpb β†’
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.
B+ 78/100 25.3x 20.6% 14.8% +1.48% $7.45B /lw-vs-cpb β†’
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc.
D+ 55/100 138.6x 24.0% 3.1% +1.05% $8.79B /dar-vs-cpb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-08-03 β€’ CIK 0000016732 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-03), The Campbell's Company (CPB) reported GAAP revenue of $10.25B (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.64B , and +9.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $602.0M, operating cash flow of $1.13B, and free cash flow of $705.0M (+5.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPB closed FY2025 with $15.35B in total assets against $5.10B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.68, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-03 $10.25B $602.0M $1.13B $705.0M $15.35B $5.10B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-07-28 $9.64B $567.0M $1.19B $668.0M $15.91B $5.40B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-30 $9.36B $858.0M $1.14B $721.9M $11.23B $2.63B

3. CPB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The Campbell's Company (NASDAQ: CPB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $21.42 (+2.00% 1D, market cap $6.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CPB ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPB compare to INGR and CAG in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), CPB carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.4x, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, INGR (Ingredion Incorporated) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $6.12B) and CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPB?

Per CPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-03, CIK 0000016732), The Campbell's Company generated $10.25B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $602.0M in net income, and $705.0M in free cash flow against $15.35B in total assets and $5.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPB last traded at $21.42 (+2.00% on volume of 6,320,541 shares), positioning the stock +3.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.72) and -4.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.37). Across its 52-week range of $18.60 to $32.04, CPB sits at the 21.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.8% ($20.18 to $22.66).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 63/100 (C) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CPB β€” The Campbell's Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-08-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Campbell's Company (CPB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $21.42 (+2.00% 1D, market capitalization $6.39B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.8%, gross margin of 30.4%, operating margin of 11.0%, and free cash flow yield of 11.26%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.68, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.19x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The Campbell's Company (CPB) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, Packaged Foods industry. Its market capitalization is $6.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-03), The Campbell's Company (CPB) reported $10.25B in annual revenue (up from $9.64B in FY2024, +6.4% YoY) and $602.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($9.36B revenue, $858.0M net income) through FY2025, CPB scaled operating cash flow to $1.13B and free cash flow to $705.0M, backed by $15.35B in total assets against $5.10B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C β€’ RQD 63/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 11.26% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.60 – $32.04 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 10.4x trailing P/E and 7.0x EV/EBITDA against 11.0% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Packaged Foods (Consumer Staples), CPB carries a macro regime beta of 0.99 and gross margin of 30.4%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CPB sustain or expand its 11.0% operating margin and 10.8% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.25B and free cash flow of $705.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.10B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CPB's 9.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?

CPB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Campbell's Company (CPB) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CPB Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $21.42?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPB:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.85 (+16.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The stock trades at 10.4x TTM earnings with an 11.26% FCF yield and a 7.33% dividend yield, while insider conviction scores 17/20 in th

Picked up a starter position in CPB in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $21.42. The stock trades at 10.4x TTM earnings with an 11.26% FCF yield and a 7.33% dividend yield, while insider conviction scores 17/20 in the RQD rating.. Trading inside a $18.60–$32.04 52-week range with 11.26% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Packaged Foods multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” CPB's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.49 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $21.42

Debt rose from $2.63B to $5.10B between FY 2023 and FY 2025 while the Altman Z-Score sits at 1.68, and the stock hit a 12-month low

Debt rose from $2.63B to $5.10B between FY 2023 and FY 2025 while the Altman Z-Score sits at 1.68, and the stock hit a 12-month low per recent news.. Look at the math on CPB: paying 10.4x trailing P/E for 10.8% ROIC and 11.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Packaged Foods demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $18.85 before getting long.

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