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Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$3.40 +1.49% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.40

Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $2.99B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on COTY Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is COTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Coty Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: COTY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $3.40 (+1.49% 1D, market cap $2.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, COTY ranks #480 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does COTY compare to IPAR and SCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), COTY carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.8%, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, IPAR (Interparfums Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $3.73B) and SCL (Stepan Company) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 33.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPAR leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while IPAR leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COTY?
β–Ό

Per COTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001024305), Coty Inc. (Class A) generated $5.89B in revenue (-3.7% YoY), -$381.1M in net income, and $492.6M in free cash flow against $11.08B in total assets and $2.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.40 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 8.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 50.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (15)SEC (6)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.4% Base Target
$4 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE COTY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COTY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY COTY SCORES 53/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±8.2% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 68% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 70.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$2.95+9.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$3.22+2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$3.29+3.3% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$3.40-0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D+ (53)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a COTY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While COTY currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.88) and Max Pain ($3.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.37.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COTYβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCOTY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COTY)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of COTY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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COTY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +40.50%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $3.35H $3.40L $3.35C $3.40VOL 4.65M
RES: $3.46SUP: $2.71SMA50: $2.88SMA200: $2.53
$3.55$3.08$2.61$2.14$1.67RES $3.46SUP $2.71$3.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COTY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
21.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COTY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COTY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COTY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COTY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #480 of 1009 βš”οΈ IPAR vs COTY Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (COTY vs. IPAR, SCL, ELF, EPC)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) ranks #480 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #357 by equity capitalization ($2.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IPAR leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while IPAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.3% ROIC and 63.6% gross margin. IPAR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with COTY at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
COTY ACTIVE
Coty Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 β€” 64.8% 3.1% +1.49% $2.99B Benchmark Subject
IPAR
Interparfums Inc.
A- 81/100 17.8x 63.6% 21.3% +0.75% $3.73B /ipar-vs-coty β†’
SCL
Stepan Company
C 62/100 33.9x 11.6% 4.3% -0.54% $1.58B /scl-vs-coty β†’
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty Inc.
C+ 69/100 β€” 70.7% 4.0% -1.12% $6.59B /elf-vs-coty β†’
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care Company
C- 60/100 51.8x 41.6% 2.5% 0.00% $1.32B /epc-vs-coty β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0001024305 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) reported GAAP revenue of $5.89B (-3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.12B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$381.1M, operating cash flow of $492.6M, and free cash flow of $492.6M (-19.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, COTY closed FY2025 with $11.08B in total assets against $2.99B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $5.89B -$381.1M $492.6M $492.6M $11.08B $2.99B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $6.12B $76.2M $614.6M $614.6M $11.72B $3.39B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $5.55B $495.0M $625.7M $625.7M β€” β€”

3. COTY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Coty Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: COTY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $3.40 (+1.49% 1D, market cap $2.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, COTY ranks #480 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COTY compare to IPAR and SCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), COTY carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.8%, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, IPAR (Interparfums Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $3.73B) and SCL (Stepan Company) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 33.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPAR leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while IPAR leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COTY?

Per COTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001024305), Coty Inc. (Class A) generated $5.89B in revenue (-3.7% YoY), -$381.1M in net income, and $492.6M in free cash flow against $11.08B in total assets and $2.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COTY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COTY last traded at $3.40 (+1.49% on volume of 4,651,793 shares), positioning the stock +18.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.88) and +34.39% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.53). Across its 52-week range of $1.82 to $4.16, COTY sits at the 67.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.2% ($3.12 to $3.68).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 53/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

COTY β€” Coty Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.40 (+1.49% 1D, market capitalization $2.99B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.1%, gross margin of 64.8%, operating margin of 4.1%, and free cash flow yield of 16.70%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Coty Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating within the Package Goods/Cosmetics industry. The market capitalization is $3.0B. Per the financial data, the company reported revenue of $5.89B for FY 2025, indicating a sizable consumer-facing product business.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) reported $5.89B in annual revenue (up from $6.12B in FY2024, -3.7% YoY) and -$381.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.55B revenue, $495.0M net income) through FY2025, COTY scaled operating cash flow to $492.6M and free cash flow to $492.6M, backed by $11.08B in total assets against $2.99B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 53/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 16.70% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.82 – $4.16 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation and 22.8x EV/EBITDA against 4.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Package Goods/Cosmetics (Consumer Discretionary), COTY carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 64.8%.

  • Key Question #1: Can COTY sustain or expand its 4.1% operating margin and 3.1% ROIC against Package Goods/Cosmetics peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.89B and free cash flow of $492.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.99B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is COTY's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

COTY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to COTY Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

COTY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.40?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON COTY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on COTY:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.49 (+32.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 16.7% FCF yield and a share price of 3.35 near the low end of a $1.82–$4.16 range suggest substantial cash generation relative to mar

Long COTY at $3.40 targeting $4.49. A 16.7% FCF yield and a share price of 3.35 near the low end of a $1.82–$4.16 range suggest substantial cash generation relative to market value.. Institutional whale score is 15/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.82 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 53/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $3.40 and keeping dry powder in case we test $3.16.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.69 (-20.9%)
Spot @ $3.40

An Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a -6.5% net margin, with FY 2025 net income falling to -$381.1M, point to meaningful balance sheet and ear

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on COTY: An Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a -6.5% net margin, with FY 2025 net income falling to -$381.1M, point to meaningful balance sheet and earnings-quality risk.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Package Goods/Cosmetics triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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