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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / COTY
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Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$3.48 +2.35% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.49

Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.99B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on COTY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is COTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Coty Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: COTY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $3.48 (+2.35% 1D, market cap $2.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, COTY ranks #480 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does COTY compare to IPAR and SCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), COTY carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.8%, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, IPAR (Interparfums Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $3.73B) and SCL (Stepan Company) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 33.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPAR leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while IPAR leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COTY?
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Per COTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001024305), Coty Inc. (Class A) generated $5.89B in revenue (-3.7% YoY), -$381.1M in net income, and $492.6M in free cash flow against $11.08B in total assets and $2.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.49 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 8.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (15)SEC (6)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$4 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE COTY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COTY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY COTY SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 71% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 70.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$2.95+9.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$3.22+2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$3.29+5.8% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$3.48-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a COTY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While COTY currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.88) and Max Pain ($3.65) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.37.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COTY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “COTY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
70.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE71% OF RANGE
L: $2$3.48H: $4
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on COTY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

3.1% ROIC with 64.8% gross margin and 16.70% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (30)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like COTY
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COTY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of COTY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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COTY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +43.80%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $3.35H $3.48L $3.35C $3.48VOL 4.65M
RES: $3.93SUP: $2.71SMA50: $2.88SMA200: $2.53
$3.60$3.11$2.63$2.15$1.67RES $3.93SUP $2.71$3.482026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COTY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 COTY Butterfly Map → + Track COTY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
21.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COTY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COTY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COTY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COTY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #480 of 1009 ⚔️ IPAR vs COTY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (COTY vs. IPAR, SCL, ELF, EPC)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) ranks #480 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #357 by equity capitalization ($2.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IPAR leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while IPAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.3% ROIC and 63.6% gross margin. IPAR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with COTY at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
COTY ACTIVE
Coty Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 — 64.8% 3.1% +2.35% $2.99B Benchmark Subject
IPAR
Interparfums Inc.
A- 81/100 17.8x 63.6% 21.3% +3.00% $3.73B /ipar-vs-coty →
SCL
Stepan Company
C 62/100 33.9x 11.6% 4.3% +0.99% $1.58B /scl-vs-coty →
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty Inc.
C+ 69/100 — 70.7% 4.0% -0.90% $6.59B /elf-vs-coty →
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care Company
C- 60/100 51.8x 41.6% 2.5% -0.35% $1.32B /epc-vs-coty →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001024305 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) reported GAAP revenue of $5.89B (-3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.12B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$381.1M, operating cash flow of $492.6M, and free cash flow of $492.6M (-19.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, COTY closed FY2025 with $11.08B in total assets against $2.99B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $5.89B -$381.1M $492.6M $492.6M $11.08B $2.99B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $6.12B $76.2M $614.6M $614.6M $11.72B $3.39B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $5.55B $495.0M $625.7M $625.7M — —

3. COTY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Coty Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: COTY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $3.48 (+2.35% 1D, market cap $2.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, COTY ranks #480 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COTY compare to IPAR and SCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), COTY carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.8%, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, IPAR (Interparfums Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $3.73B) and SCL (Stepan Company) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 33.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPAR leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while IPAR leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COTY?

Per COTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001024305), Coty Inc. (Class A) generated $5.89B in revenue (-3.7% YoY), -$381.1M in net income, and $492.6M in free cash flow against $11.08B in total assets and $2.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COTY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COTY last traded at $3.48 (+2.35% on volume of 6,880,847 shares), positioning the stock +20.83% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.88) and +37.55% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.53). Across its 52-week range of $1.82 to $4.16, COTY sits at the 70.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($3.19 to $3.77).

Direct Sub-Reports: COTY RQD Cockpit COTY 12M Forecast COTY Earnings & Move COTY Dividends & DRIP COTY Insiders & 13F COTY Whale Options COTY Profit Sankey COTY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

COTY — Coty Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.48 (+2.35% 1D, market capitalization $2.99B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.1%, gross margin of 64.8%, operating margin of 4.1%, and free cash flow yield of 16.70%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Coty Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating within the Package Goods/Cosmetics industry. The market capitalization is $3.0B. Per the financial data, the company reported revenue of $5.89B for FY 2025, indicating a sizable consumer-facing product business.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) reported $5.89B in annual revenue (up from $6.12B in FY2024, -3.7% YoY) and -$381.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.55B revenue, $495.0M net income) through FY2025, COTY scaled operating cash flow to $492.6M and free cash flow to $492.6M, backed by $11.08B in total assets against $2.99B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 16.70% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.82 – $4.16 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation and 22.8x EV/EBITDA against 4.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Package Goods/Cosmetics (Consumer Discretionary), COTY carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 64.8%.

  • Key Question #1: Can COTY sustain or expand its 4.1% operating margin and 3.1% ROIC against Package Goods/Cosmetics peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.89B and free cash flow of $492.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.99B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is COTY's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

COTY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to COTY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

COTY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.48?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON COTY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on COTY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.49 (+32.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 16.7% FCF yield and a share price of 3.35 near the low end of a $1.82–$4.16 range suggest substantial cash generation relative to mar

Long COTY at $3.40 targeting $4.49. A 16.7% FCF yield and a share price of 3.35 near the low end of a $1.82–$4.16 range suggest substantial cash generation relative to market value.. Institutional whale score is 15/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.82 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 53/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $3.40 and keeping dry powder in case we test $3.16.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.69 (-20.9%)
Spot @ $3.40

An Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a -6.5% net margin, with FY 2025 net income falling to -$381.1M, point to meaningful balance sheet and ear

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on COTY: An Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a -6.5% net margin, with FY 2025 net income falling to -$381.1M, point to meaningful balance sheet and earnings-quality risk.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Package Goods/Cosmetics triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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