Why CLDX Stock dropped -3.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$29.04 -3.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.80

Celldex Therapeutics Inc. (CLDX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.36B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CLDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Celldex Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: CLDX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $29.04 (-3.52% 1D, market cap $2.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CLDX ranks #821 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CLDX compare to NEOG and NTLA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances), CLDX carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 87.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NEOG (Neogen Corporation) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $2.58B) and NTLA (Intellia Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLDX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEOG leads on capital efficiency (-0.6% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLDX?
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Per CLDX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000744218), Celldex Therapeutics Inc. generated $1.5M in revenue (-78.0% YoY), -$258.8M in net income, and -$213.7M in free cash flow against $583.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.80 (-0.82%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.1% Base Target
$47 Bull$25 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE CLDX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLDX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CLDX SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 87.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 20.25 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
21
Grade E$28.25+7.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
24
Grade E$30.29-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$30.15-3.7% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$29.04-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (21) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CLDX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CLDX currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.64) and Max Pain ($30.49) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $47.40.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLDX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CLDX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
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Why CLDX Stock dropped -3.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Celldex Therapeutics Inc. (CLDX) dropped -3.52% to $29.04, trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($22.1 – $45.14). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($22.1 – $45.14) with RSI-14 at 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.7% around $29.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 87.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CLDX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREStock Traders Daily • 1d ago
Understanding Momentum Shifts in (CLDX)

Stock Traders Daily report covering Celldex Therapeutics Inc. (CLDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLDX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CLDX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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CLDX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.38%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $29.89H $30.10L $29.04C $29.04VOL 870.8K
RES: $42.39SUP: $26.31SMA50: $33.64SMA200: $32.69
$46.44$41.06$35.69$30.32$24.94RES $42.39SUP $26.31$29.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLDX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLDX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLDX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLDX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLDX)

Health Care Rank #821 of 1016 ⚔️ NEOG vs CLDX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CLDX vs. NEOG, NTLA, QDEL, ORKA)

Industry: Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Celldex Therapeutics Inc. (CLDX) ranks #821 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #226 by equity capitalization ($2.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLDX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NEOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -0.6% ROIC and 46.9% gross margin. ORKA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with CLDX at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CLDX ACTIVE
Celldex Therapeutics Inc.
E 29/100 — 87.1% -35.0% -3.52% $2.36B Benchmark Subject
NEOG
Neogen Corporation
D 47/100 — 46.9% -0.6% 0.00% $2.58B /neog-vs-cldx →
NTLA
Intellia Therapeutics Inc.
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -6.50% $1.75B /ntla-vs-cldx →
QDEL
QuidelOrtho Corporation
E 21/100 — — -35.0% +5.89% $908.6M /qdel-vs-cldx →
ORKA
Oruka Therapeutics Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — -18.8% -1.49% $6.41B /orka-vs-cldx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000744218

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Celldex Therapeutics Inc. (CLDX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.5M (-78.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.0M , and -77.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$258.8M, operating cash flow of -$210.9M, and free cash flow of -$213.7M (-33.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLDX closed FY2025 with $583.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 20.25, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.5M -$258.8M -$210.9M -$213.7M $583.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.0M -$157.9M -$157.8M -$159.7M $792.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.9M -$141.4M -$107.3M -$107.3M — —

3. CLDX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Celldex Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: CLDX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $29.04 (-3.52% 1D, market cap $2.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CLDX ranks #821 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLDX compare to NEOG and NTLA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances), CLDX carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 87.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NEOG (Neogen Corporation) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $2.58B) and NTLA (Intellia Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLDX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEOG leads on capital efficiency (-0.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLDX?

Per CLDX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000744218), Celldex Therapeutics Inc. generated $1.5M in revenue (-78.0% YoY), -$258.8M in net income, and -$213.7M in free cash flow against $583.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLDX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLDX last traded at $29.04 (-3.52% on volume of 956,143 shares), positioning the stock -13.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.64) and -11.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.69). Across its 52-week range of $22.10 to $45.14, CLDX sits at the 30.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($26.51 to $31.57).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CLDX — Celldex Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:59Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

CLDX scores 28 out of 100, a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9 / 20): this pillar reflects ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -9.1%. Both figures indicate the business is consuming rather than generating cash relative to its capital base and market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow (5 / 20): institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. The underlying 13F detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (3 / 20): SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores low. No individual transactions are itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3 / 20): beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity score low.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (8 / 20): Altman Z 20.25, Piotroski F 3/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5 are cited. The high Altman Z is offset by a weak Piotroski score.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the 87.1% gross margin and the 52-week range of $22.1 to $45.14, which places the current price of $29.89 in the lower-middle portion of that band. The reported operating margin of -60% and net margin of -60% mean any investment thesis depends on future operating improvement rather than current profitability. The combined RQD pillar scores, all below 50% of their maximums, point to weak alignment across fundamentals, flows, and insider behavior at this time.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Celldex Therapeutics Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances industry,. Reported revenue was $1.5M in FY 2025, $7.0M in FY 2024, and $6.9M in FY 2023, . — for further detail on how the company monetizes its offerings.

The company reported operating losses in each period shown, with FY 2025 operating income of -$287.4M against revenue of $1.5M. Per the market data, gross margin is 87.1%, while operating and net margins are each -60%, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 20.25 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3 of 9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. The balance sheet posture reflects a high Altman Z alongside weak Piotroski quality signals and reported cash of $28.9M at FY 2025 year-end.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Gross margin of 87.1% and a CATALYST-flagged news item indicate strong unit economics and potential upside if operating losses narrow. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield -9.10%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $22.10 – $45.14 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Free cash flow of -$213.7M against $28.9M of cash and an RQD score of 28 (Grade E) point to significant forensic and liquidity risk. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances (Health Care), CLDX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 87.1%.

  • Key Question #1: What is the nature and status of the shareholder investigation referenced in the news flow?
  • Key Question #2: What cash runway is implied by the $28.9M in FY 2025 cash against the -$213.7M free cash flow reported that year?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CLDX's 87.1% gross margin and equity valuation to Health Care demand cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00)?

CLDX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Celldex Therapeutics Inc. (CLDX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CLDX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CLDX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.04?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CLDX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CLDX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $39.13 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Gross margin of 87.1% and a CATALYST-flagged news item indicate strong unit economics and potential upside if operating losses narrow.

Here is why I am bullish on CLDX here at $30.10: Gross margin of 87.1% and a CATALYST-flagged news item indicate strong unit economics and potential upside if operating losses narrow.. Compare CLDX's -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $28.59 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — CLDX's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $25.59 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $30.10

Free cash flow of -$213.7M against $28.9M of cash and an RQD score of 28 (Grade E) point to significant forensic and liquidity risk.

Free cash flow of -$213.7M against $28.9M of cash and an RQD score of 28 (Grade E) point to significant forensic and liquidity risk.. Look at the math on CLDX: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Biotechnology: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $26.49 before getting long.

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