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C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$128.71 +3.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $129.23

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.56B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CHRW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHRW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ: CHRW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $128.71 (+3.29% 1D, market cap $14.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CHRW ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHRW compare to EXPD and BCO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), CHRW carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.6%. By comparison, EXPD (Expeditors International of Washington Inc.) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 31.8x, ROIC 40.3%, cap $25.85B) and BCO (Brinks Company) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $4.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHRW?
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Per CHRW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043277), C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. generated $16.23B in revenue (-8.4% YoY), $587.1M in net income, and $894.9M in free cash flow against $5.06B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $129.22 (+0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 5.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C
Cash (19)Whales (6)SEC (18)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$221 Bull$135 Base$105 Bear
📬 FREE CHRW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHRW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHRW SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.5% FCF Margin ($894.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.42 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
76
Grade B+$139.45+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$140.95-9.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$127.60+0.9% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$128.71+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHRW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, CHRW faces multiple-compression risk if 25.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($144.30) or 200D SMA ($168.80) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($134.50) toward Bear Floor ($104.91).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHRW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHRW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CHRW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $128.71: 77.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $104.91
$8,151
$-1,849 (-18.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $134.50
$10,450
+$450 (+4.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $220.85
$17,159
+$7,159 (+71.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$14074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$20869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$12058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CHRW Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
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CHRW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.17%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $127.4H $128.7L $124.6C $128.7VOL 4.34M
RES: $162.9SUP: $121.2SMA50: $144.3SMA200: $168.8
$216.5$190.9$165.4$139.8$114.3RES $162.9SUP $121.2$128.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHRW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CHRW Butterfly Map → + Track CHRW →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
19.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHRW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHRW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHRW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHRW)

Industrials Rank #51 of 486 ⚔️ EXPD vs CHRW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CHRW vs. EXPD, BCO, HUBG, FWRD)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) ranks #51 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #80 by equity capitalization ($14.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCO leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while EXPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EXPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with CHRW at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHRW ACTIVE
C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.
C+ 68/100 25.4x — 22.6% +3.29% $14.56B Benchmark Subject
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington Inc.
B+ 80/100 31.8x — 40.3% +0.86% $25.85B /expd-vs-chrw →
BCO
Brinks Company
D 46/100 21.1x 25.8% 19.6% +4.52% $4.23B /bco-vs-chrw →
HUBG
Hub Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — — — +2.51% $1.63B /hubg-vs-chrw →
FWRD
Forward Air Corporation
E 25/100 — — 1.7% +3.97% $595.2M /fwrd-vs-chrw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043277 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) reported GAAP revenue of $16.23B (-8.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.72B , and -7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $587.1M, operating cash flow of $914.5M, and free cash flow of $894.9M (+84.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHRW closed FY2025 with $5.06B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.42, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $16.23B $587.1M $914.5M $894.9M $5.06B $1.09B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $17.72B $465.7M $509.1M $486.4M $5.30B $921.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $17.60B $325.1M $731.9M -$59.9M $21.12B $4.94B

3. CHRW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHRW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ: CHRW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $128.71 (+3.29% 1D, market cap $14.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CHRW ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHRW compare to EXPD and BCO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), CHRW carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.6%. By comparison, EXPD (Expeditors International of Washington Inc.) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 31.8x, ROIC 40.3%, cap $25.85B) and BCO (Brinks Company) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $4.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHRW?

Per CHRW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043277), C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. generated $16.23B in revenue (-8.4% YoY), $587.1M in net income, and $894.9M in free cash flow against $5.06B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHRW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHRW last traded at $128.71 (+3.29% on volume of 1,783,424 shares), positioning the stock -10.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($144.30) and -23.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($168.80). Across its 52-week range of $122.21 to $210.33, CHRW sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($119.70 to $137.72).

Direct Sub-Reports: CHRW RQD Cockpit CHRW 12M Forecast CHRW Earnings & Move CHRW Dividends & DRIP CHRW Insiders & 13F CHRW Whale Options CHRW Profit Sankey CHRW News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CHRW — C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $128.71 (+3.29% 1D, market capitalization $14.56B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 22.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 4.9%, and free cash flow yield of 6.01%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.02x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.42, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.59x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. The company reported revenue of $16.23B for FY 2025, indicating a large-scale operating base.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) reported $16.23B in annual revenue (up from $17.72B in FY2024, -8.4% YoY) and $587.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($17.60B revenue, $325.1M net income) through FY2025, CHRW scaled operating cash flow to $914.5M and free cash flow to $894.9M, backed by $5.06B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $122.21 – $210.33 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 25.4x trailing P/E and 19.5x EV/EBITDA against 4.9% operating margins and a 1.02x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector information is the Industrials / Integrated Freight & Logistics classification.

  • Key Question #1: Can CHRW sustain or expand its 4.9% operating margin and 22.6% ROIC against Integrated Freight & Logistics peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $16.23B and free cash flow of $894.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.09B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CHRW's 23.6x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.02x)?

CHRW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHRW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHRW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $128.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHRW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHRW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $153.27 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash generation and returns (ROIC 22.6%, FCF yield 6.01%) combined with a forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 8.42, Piotroski F 8/9

The street is overcomplicating C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW). Strong cash generation and returns (ROIC 22.6%, FCF yield 6.01%) combined with a forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 8.42, Piotroski F 8/9) support the stock's fundamentals.. With an RQD score of 68/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $134.58.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 68/100 quality, though with 1.02 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $124.61 and keeping dry powder in case we test $115.89.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $104.67 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $124.61

A weak macro regime fit (8/20) and low institutional flow (6/20), alongside a 25.4 P/E and shares sliding after the $5.8B RXO deal, lea

I respect the product at C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc., but the stock at $124.61 is a different story. A weak macro regime fit (8/20) and low institutional flow (6/20), alongside a 25.4 P/E and shares sliding after the $5.8B RXO deal, leave limited near-term support.. FCF yield is 6.01% and RQD sits at 68/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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