Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$156.99 +2.19% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $157.31

Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.59B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CHRD) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $156.99 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $8.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CHRD ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHRD compare to VIST and NE in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CHRD carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 80.0%, and ROIC of 1.7%. By comparison, VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.84B) and NE (Noble Corporation plc A) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $7.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SM leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while SM leads on capital efficiency (12.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHRD?
β–Ό

Per CHRD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001486159), Chord Energy Corporation generated $4.88B in revenue (-7.1% YoY), $44.5M in net income, and $1.82B in free cash flow against $13.07B in total assets and $1.48B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $157.30 (+0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 37.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk C+
Cash (10)Whales (17)SEC (12)Macro (15)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$193 Bull$163 Base$127 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CHRD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHRD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CHRD SCORES 67/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±5.7% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 96% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$146.18+3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$150.85+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$154.06+1.9% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$156.99+1.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ C+ (67)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHRD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, CHRD faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 77.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($146.57) or 200D SMA ($132.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($163.35) toward Bear Floor ($127.41).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHRDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCHRD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CHRD Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CHRD)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CHRD. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CHRD Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CHRD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.19%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $153.6H $157.0L $153.6C $157.0VOL 660.1K
RES: $160.5SUP: $141.7SMA50: $146.6SMA200: $132.2
$163.7$148.1$132.4$116.8$101.1RES $160.5SUP $141.7$157.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHRD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHRD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHRD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHRD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHRD)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CHRD vs. VIST, NE, RIG, SM)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) ranks #53 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #62 by equity capitalization ($8.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SM leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while SM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.5% ROIC and β€” gross margin. SM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with CHRD at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHRD ACTIVE
Chord Energy Corporation
C+ 67/100 β€” 80.0% 1.7% +2.19% $8.59B Benchmark Subject
VIST
Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American
C 64/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -1.58% $7.84B /vist-vs-chrd β†’
NE
Noble Corporation plc A
C+ 69/100 35.0x β€” 5.4% +3.27% $7.82B /ne-vs-chrd β†’
RIG
Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)
C- 59/100 β€” 39.3% -17.3% +3.74% $7.75B /rig-vs-chrd β†’
SM
SM Energy Company
A- 82/100 14.5x β€” 12.5% +2.02% $9.60B /sm-vs-chrd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001486159

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) reported GAAP revenue of $4.88B (-7.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.25B , and +25.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $44.5M, operating cash flow of $2.04B, and free cash flow of $1.82B (-2.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHRD closed FY2025 with $13.07B in total assets against $1.48B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.66, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.88B $44.5M $2.04B $1.82B $13.07B $1.48B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.25B $848.6M $2.10B $1.86B $13.03B $842.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.90B $1.02B $1.82B $1.64B $4.68B $1.09B

3. CHRD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CHRD) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $156.99 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $8.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CHRD ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHRD compare to VIST and NE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CHRD carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 80.0%, and ROIC of 1.7%. By comparison, VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.84B) and NE (Noble Corporation plc A) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $7.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SM leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while SM leads on capital efficiency (12.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHRD?

Per CHRD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001486159), Chord Energy Corporation generated $4.88B in revenue (-7.1% YoY), $44.5M in net income, and $1.82B in free cash flow against $13.07B in total assets and $1.48B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHRD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHRD last traded at $156.99 (+2.19% on volume of 660,148 shares), positioning the stock +7.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($146.57) and +18.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($132.20). Across its 52-week range of $84.25 to $159.96, CHRD sits at the 96.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.7% ($148.04 to $165.94).

CHRD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are CHRD insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CHRD leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 67/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CHRD β€” Chord Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:29Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CHRD scores 68 out of 100 with a letter grade of C+, labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20 (ROIC 1.7%; FCF yield 21.67%). This is the weakest pillar relative to its weight. The return on invested capital is low, but the free-cash-flow yield is high, which suggests cash generation is strong relative to the market value even though accounting returns are thin. A prospective investor should note the gap between these two measures rather than treating either alone as decisive.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 17 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the strongest pillar, indicating institutional positioning has been constructive per the rating's inputs. The underlying 13F detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 13 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). A moderate reading. The specific trade detail is not provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 16 / 20 (Beta 1.15; sector sensitivity). Per the market data, beta of 1.15 implies above-average sensitivity to broad market moves, so the stock may amplify both upside and downside in a risk-on or risk-off regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20 (Altman Z 1.66; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.18). A Piotroski F-score of 7 out of 9 is a relatively favorable reading on financial strength, while an Altman Z of 1.66 sits in a range that warrants caution on bankruptcy-risk screens. The Debt/Equity of 0.18 is low.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock with strong institutional and cash-flow signals offset by weak accounting returns and a mixed balance-sheet read. The "Watch for Breakout" label signals that the rating sees potential upside conditional on improvement in profitability, not a current buy signal. The 52-week range of $84.25 to $159.96 and the current price of $153.63 place the stock near the upper end of its recent trading band, which means much of the optimism may already be reflected in the price.

Business

Chord Energy Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within Oil & Gas Production per the company profile. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue-generation mechanics beyond this classification. Per the SEC financials, the company reports revenue in the billions of dollars annually, but the composition of that revenue is not itemized in the source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4877.1M$197.4M$44.5MN/A$1821.2M$189.5M$1479.6M
FY 2024$5251.1M$1100.1M$848.6MN/A$1860.9M$37.0M$842.6M
FY 2023$3896.6M$1273.2M$1023.8MN/A$1644.5MN/A$1094.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $5251.1M in FY 2024 to $4877.1M in FY 2025, and net income fell from $848.6M to $44.5M over the same period. Per the market data, the gross margin is 80%, operating margin 4%, and net margin 0.9%, with ROIC of 1.7%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.66 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 out of 9, per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt rose from $842.6M to $1479.6M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while cash increased from $37.0M to $189.5M, and the reported Debt/Equity is 0.18.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the most significant item is a leadership change: Chord Energy named Michael Lou as President and CEO, with Brown moving to lead Expand Energy. The headline appears in a Seeking Alpha report, and a Stock Titan item notes Lou's 17 years in leadership roles at Chord and its predecessors. A Google-sourced "GREEN" light item describes the stock as potentially "well poised for a surge," classified as a catalyst, while several other items are flagged "YELLOW" as market-wire coverage without specific fundamental content. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no graph-derived catalysts are available. Risk watch items per the data include the operating-margin compression from FY 2024 to FY 2025 and the rise in debt. The news summaries are generic and do not provide earnings or guidance detail.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the stated Energy / Oil & Gas Production classification, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. A prospective investor should recognize that commodity-price exposure, which is typical of this industry, is not quantified in the provided sources.

Open Questions

  • What are the earnings per share and P/E ratios on a trailing and forward basis, given that these fields are absent?
  • What drove the decline in net income from $848.6M in FY 2024 to $44.5M in FY 2025, and is the operating-margin compression structural or cyclical?
  • What is the composition of the rise in debt from $842.6M to $1479.6M, and how does it affect the Altman Z-Score trajectory?
  • What do the institutional 13F holdings and insider Form 4 trades specifically show, since the holder data is not itemized?
  • How does the leadership transition to Michael Lou affect capital-allocation priorities, and is there any guidance on that point?

CHRD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CHRD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHRD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $156.99?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHRD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHRD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $165.92 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CHRD (C+ β€’ RQD 68/100) a Buy at $153.63?

Welcome to the CHRD (Chord Energy Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $115.22 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $153.63

Pump the brakes on CHRD β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CHRD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 80.0% gross margins. Unless Chord Energy Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $196.65 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $153.63

CHRD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CHRD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $153.63 (52-wk range $84.25 - $159.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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