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Church & Dwight Company Inc. (CHD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$110.45 +3.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.31

Church & Dwight Company Inc. (CHD) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (45% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $25.44B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Church & Dwight Company Inc. (NYSE: CHD) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $110.45 (+3.00% 1D, market cap $25.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CHD ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHD compare to KVUE and HLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), CHD carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.1x, gross margin of 44.7%, and ROIC of 14.7%. By comparison, KVUE (Kenvue Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 25.6x, ROIC 11.5%, cap $37.57B) and HLN (Haleon plc American) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $38.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KVUE leads on earnings multiple (25.6x) while CL leads on capital efficiency (44.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHD?
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Per CHD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000313927), Church & Dwight Company Inc. generated $6.20B in revenue (+1.6% YoY), $736.8M in net income, and $1.09B in free cash flow against $8.91B in total assets and $2.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.31 (+0.78%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 17.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510080
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk A-
Cash (15)Whales (17)SEC (18)Macro (15)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target
$143 Bull$121 Base$91 Bear
📬 FREE CHD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHD SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.24 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 5 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$102.63+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
75
Grade B+$105.00-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
77
Grade B+$104.75+5.4% Next Q
Current
80
Grade B+$110.45+8.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → B+ (80)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, CHD faces multiple-compression risk if 34.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($99.61) or 200D SMA ($97.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($121.38) toward Bear Floor ($90.57).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CHD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $110.45: 90.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $90.57
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $121.38
$10,990
+$990 (+9.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $143.23
$12,968
+$2,968 (+29.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$12674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadSTRONG BUY$13569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$10658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CHD Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CHD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.90%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $106.0H $110.5L $106.0C $110.5VOL 3.66M
RES: $111.6SUP: $93.55SMA50: $99.61SMA200: $97.95
$112.7$106.6$100.4$94.29$88.14RES $111.6SUP $93.55$110.52026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #19 of 1011 ⚔️ KVUE vs CHD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CHD vs. KVUE, HLN, EL, CL)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Church & Dwight Company Inc. (CHD) ranks #19 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #80 by equity capitalization ($25.44B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KVUE leads on earnings valuation at 25.6x trailing P/E, while CL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 44.0% ROIC and 60.1% gross margin. CHD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHD ACTIVE
Church & Dwight Company Inc.
B+ 80/100 34.1x 44.7% 14.7% +3.00% $25.44B Benchmark Subject
KVUE
Kenvue Inc.
B 74/100 25.6x 58.1% 11.5% +1.19% $37.57B /kvue-vs-chd →
HLN
Haleon plc American
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.16% $38.09B /hln-vs-chd →
EL
Estee Lauder Companies Inc.
D+ 58/100 — 74.0% -11.0% -4.08% $39.58B /el-vs-chd →
CL
Colgate-Palmolive Company
B- 71/100 34.8x 60.1% 44.0% +2.25% $75.96B /cl-vs-chd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000313927

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Church & Dwight Company Inc. (CHD) reported GAAP revenue of $6.20B (+1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.11B , and +5.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $736.8M, operating cash flow of $1.22B, and free cash flow of $1.09B (+11.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHD closed FY2025 with $8.91B in total assets against $2.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.24, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.20B $736.8M $1.22B $1.09B $8.91B $2.21B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.11B $585.3M $1.16B $976.4M $8.88B $2.20B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.87B $755.6M $1.03B $766.5M $13.83B $3.24B

3. CHD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Church & Dwight Company Inc. (NYSE: CHD) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $110.45 (+3.00% 1D, market cap $25.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CHD ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHD compare to KVUE and HLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), CHD carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.1x, gross margin of 44.7%, and ROIC of 14.7%. By comparison, KVUE (Kenvue Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 25.6x, ROIC 11.5%, cap $37.57B) and HLN (Haleon plc American) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $38.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KVUE leads on earnings multiple (25.6x) while CL leads on capital efficiency (44.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHD?

Per CHD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000313927), Church & Dwight Company Inc. generated $6.20B in revenue (+1.6% YoY), $736.8M in net income, and $1.09B in free cash flow against $8.91B in total assets and $2.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHD last traded at $110.45 (+3.00% on volume of 2,739,551 shares), positioning the stock +10.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($99.61) and +12.76% above its 200-day simple moving average ($97.95). Across its 52-week range of $81.49 to $111.23, CHD sits at the 97.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($105.70 to $115.20).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 80/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CHD — Church & Dwight Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Church & Dwight Company Inc. (CHD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 80/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $110.45 (+3.00% 1D, market capitalization $25.44B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.7%, gross margin of 44.7%, operating margin of 17.4%, and free cash flow yield of 4.35%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.09x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.24, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.55x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Church & Dwight Company Inc. Is a NYSE-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Package Goods/Cosmetics industry,.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Church & Dwight Company Inc. (CHD) reported $6.20B in annual revenue (up from $6.11B in FY2024, +1.6% YoY) and $736.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.87B revenue, $755.6M net income) through FY2025, CHD scaled operating cash flow to $1.22B and free cash flow to $1.09B, backed by $8.91B in total assets against $2.21B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 80/100): Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $81.49 – $111.23 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 34.1x trailing P/E and 22.8x EV/EBITDA against 17.4% operating margins and a 1.09x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can CHD sustain or expand its 17.4% operating margin and 14.7% ROIC against Package Goods/Cosmetics peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.20B and free cash flow of $1.09B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.21B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CHD's 31.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.09x)?

CHD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Church & Dwight Company Inc. (CHD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $110.45?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $126.53 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 5.24, Piotroski F 8/9) and institutional accumulation support a B+ RQD rating.

Here is why I am bullish on CHD here at $107.23: Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 5.24, Piotroski F 8/9) and institutional accumulation support a B+ RQD rating.. Compare CHD's 17.4% operating margin and 14.7% ROIC against the rest of Package Goods/Cosmetics. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $101.87 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 80/100 quality, though with 1.09 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $107.23 and keeping dry powder in case we test $99.72.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $84.71 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $107.23

Premium valuation at 34.1x trailing P/E and 22.8x EV/EBITDA, with the stock near its 52-week low per RED news items, leaves little room

Premium valuation at 34.1x trailing P/E and 22.8x EV/EBITDA, with the stock near its 52-week low per RED news items, leaves little room for disappointment.. Look at the math on CHD: paying 34.1x trailing P/E for 14.7% ROIC and 17.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Package Goods/Cosmetics demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $94.36 before getting long.

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