TradingView report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CAKE Stock slipped -0.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CAKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ: CAKE) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $112.64 (-0.42% 1D, market cap $5.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAKE ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CAKE compare to JMKE and CAVA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CAKE carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, JMKE (Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.97B) and CAVA (CAVA Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 108.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $6.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WING leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while WING leads on capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAKE?
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Per CAKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0000887596), Cheesecake Factory Incorporated generated $3.75B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $148.0M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $3.26B in total assets and $561.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.3% realized swing band)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.1% FCF Margin ($155.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.9) create a -9 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CAKE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 72/100 (B) score, CAKE faces multiple-compression risk if 38.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($107.99) or 200D SMA ($80.21) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($119.74) toward Bear Floor ($92.36).
Why CAKE Stock slipped -0.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) slipped -0.42% to $112.64, trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($43.07 – $118.63). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($43.07 – $118.63) with RSI-14 at 55.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.3% around $112.64 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $155.1M annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
It’s always going to be 2006 at the Cheesecake Factory. And for the crowds of young people dining there in cheetah print and sunglasses bigger than the restaurant’s portions, that’s exactly how they want it.
While rivals cut prices to win back customers, Cheesecake Factory’s CFO says its newest guests want something else entirely.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CAKE Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
CAKE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAKE today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAKE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAKE)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CAKE vs. JMKE, CAVA, BROS, WING)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) ranks #105 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #248 by equity capitalization ($5.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WING leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while WING leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 45.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CAKE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAKE
ACTIVE
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | B | 72/100 | 38.0x | — | 18.9% | -0.42% | $5.63B | Benchmark Subject |
| JMKE Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. | D | 50/100 | 32.8x | — | 2.4% | -2.66% | $5.97B | /jmke-vs-cake → |
| CAVA CAVA Group Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | 108.5x | — | 5.9% | -0.79% | $6.92B | /cava-vs-cake → |
| BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 96.2x | 25.9% | 20.7% | -2.52% | $7.68B | /bros-vs-cake → |
| WING Wingstop Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 22.6x | — | 45.0% | +2.99% | $3.93B | /wing-vs-cake → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-30 • CIK 0000887596In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30), Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) reported GAAP revenue of $3.75B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.58B , and +9.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $148.0M, operating cash flow of $301.3M, and free cash flow of $155.1M (+43.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAKE closed FY2025 with $3.26B in total assets against $561.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.02, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-30 | $3.75B | $148.0M | $301.3M | $155.1M | $3.26B | $561.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $3.58B | $157.0M | $268.3M | $108.0M | $3.04B | $452.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-01-02 | $3.44B | $101.0M | $218.4M | $63.6M | $4.13B | $965.8M |
3. CAKE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CAKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ: CAKE) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $112.64 (-0.42% 1D, market cap $5.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAKE ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CAKE compare to JMKE and CAVA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CAKE carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, JMKE (Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.97B) and CAVA (CAVA Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 108.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $6.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WING leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while WING leads on capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAKE?
Per CAKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0000887596), Cheesecake Factory Incorporated generated $3.75B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $148.0M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $3.26B in total assets and $561.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CAKE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CAKE last traded at $112.64 (-0.42% on volume of 1,628,349 shares), positioning the stock +4.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($107.99) and +40.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($80.21). Across its 52-week range of $43.07 to $118.63, CAKE sits at the 92.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($102.16 to $123.12).
CAKE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CAKE stock moving today?
Why CAKE Stock slipped -0.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
CAKE — Cheesecake Factory Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CAKE scores 72 out of 100, a grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The score is built from five pillars. The fundamental cash engine scores 17 of 20, supported by an ROIC of 18.9% and a FCF yield of 2.76%. This is the strongest-supported pillar, suggesting the business earns solid returns on capital, though the modest FCF yield means the cash return to the investor at the current price is limited. Whale/13F flow scores 18 of 20, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning; this points to institutional interest as an upside driver, though the source data does not itemize the underlying holdings. Insider conviction scores 12 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow; this is a mid-range reading and does not signal strong insider conviction in either direction. Macro regime fit scores 11 of 20, with a beta of 0.9 and a stated sector sensitivity; the below-market beta reduces market-linked volatility, but the sector sensitivity score caps the pillar. Forensic balance sheet scores 14 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 3.02, a Piotroski F-Score of 6 of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.29; these indicate a financially sound but leveraged posture. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers are the cash-engine returns and institutional accumulation. The valuation tradeoff is significant: a trailing P/E of 38 and forward P/E of 35.3 price in substantial expectations relative to the 2.76% FCF yield. This is an educational summary of the score, not personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $3751.8M | $187.3M | $148.0M | N/A | $155.1M | $215.7M | $561.3M |
| FY 2024 | $3581.7M | $178.3M | $157.0M | N/A | $108.0M | $84.2M | $452.1M |
| FY 2023 | $3439.5M | $108.6M | $101.0M | N/A | $63.6M | N/A | $965.8M |
Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is 5%, and net margin is 3.9%, with ROIC at 18.9%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.02, the Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 1.29. Revenue rose from $3439.5M in FY 2023 to $3751.8M in FY 2025, while debt declined from $965.8M to $561.3M over the same span. Net income was $148.0M in FY 2025, below the $157.0M reported for FY 2024.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news section, six items were recorded. Sources include TradingView, Yahoo Finance (two items), Seeking Alpha, and MarketBeat, with a marketscreener.com earnings flash. The earnings flash reports Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.02 per share against a FactSet estimate of $0.96, a positive surprise. A Seeking Alpha item carries a GREEN catalyst flag and an upgrade reference citing traffic activity. A Yahoo Finance item notes the stock has more than doubled this year. A Yahoo Finance item references a new 52-week high. The MarketBeat item cites a consensus price target of $90.33, which is below the current price of $113.12. Risk watch: the stock's gain relative to the consensus target indicates expectations may be stretched. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-sector dependencies. The only sector context available is Consumer Discretionary and Restaurants, with the RQD macro regime score noting sector sensitivity. A prospective investor should watch restaurant-sector demand conditions, though the source data does not quantify this linkage.
Open Questions
- What are the company's products, customer base, and revenue model? The profile does not describe its operations.
- What is the reported EPS for FY 2024 and FY 2025? The financials list EPS as N/A for all periods.
- What is the cash balance for FY 2023? It is listed as N/A.
- Which specific institutions and insiders drove the whale and insider pillar scores?
- What gross margin is reported, given the market data lists gross margin as 0%?
CAKE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
TradingView report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CAKE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $112.64?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CAKE (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $113.12?
Welcome to the CAKE (Cheesecake Factory Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Restaurants. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (38.0x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on CAKE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CAKE, but look at what you are paying: 38.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Cheesecake Factory Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
CAKE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CAKE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $113.12 (52-wk range $43.07 - $118.63), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.