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LW (78) CPB (63) INGR (63) DAR (55) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$14.79 +1.51% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.80

ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $6.96B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CAG Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CAG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, ConAgra Brands Inc. (NYSE: CAG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $14.79 (+1.51% 1D, market cap $6.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CAG ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CAG compare to LW and CPB in the Consumer Staples sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), CAG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.9%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, LW (Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 25.3x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $7.45B) and CPB (The Campbell's Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAG?
β–Ό

Per CAG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0000023217), ConAgra Brands Inc. generated $11.28B in revenue (-2.9% YoY), -$1.92B in net income, and $978.7M in free cash flow against $19.54B in total assets and $5.15B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.80 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 8.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510049
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$21 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CAG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CAG SCORES 49/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 29% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$13.84+1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$14.04-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$13.92+6.2% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$14.79-5.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (41) β†’ D (49)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CAG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CAG currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.56) and Max Pain ($15.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.34.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCAG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CAG Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CAG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CAG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CAG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CAG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.79%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $14.09H $14.79L $14.09C $14.79VOL 10.72M
RES: $18.30SUP: $12.69SMA50: $14.56SMA200: $15.25
$18.06$16.56$15.06$13.56$12.06RES $18.30SUP $12.69$14.792026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CAG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ CAG Butterfly Map β†’ + Track CAG β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAG)

Consumer Staples Rank #77 of 146 βš”οΈ LW vs CAG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (CAG vs. LW, CPB, INGR, DAR)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) ranks #77 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #38 by equity capitalization ($6.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while INGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. LW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with CAG at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CAG ACTIVE
ConAgra Brands Inc.
D 49/100 β€” 23.9% -10.0% +1.51% $6.96B Benchmark Subject
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.
B+ 78/100 25.3x 20.6% 14.8% +4.62% $7.45B /lw-vs-cag β†’
CPB
The Campbell's Company
C 63/100 10.4x 30.4% 10.8% +3.36% $6.39B /cpb-vs-cag β†’
INGR
Ingredion Incorporated
C 63/100 8.3x 25.3% 16.1% +2.02% $6.12B /ingr-vs-cag β†’
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc.
D+ 55/100 138.6x 24.0% 3.1% -3.07% $8.79B /dar-vs-cag β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-05-31 β€’ CIK 0000023217 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) reported GAAP revenue of $11.28B (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.61B , and -6.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.92B, operating cash flow of $1.40B, and free cash flow of $978.7M (-24.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAG closed FY2025 with $19.54B in total assets against $5.15B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.06, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-31 $11.28B -$1.92B $1.40B $978.7M $19.54B $5.15B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-25 $11.61B $1.15B $1.69B $1.30B $21.02B $5.50B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-05-26 $12.05B $347.7M $2.02B $1.47B $14.46B $3.38B

3. CAG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CAG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ConAgra Brands Inc. (NYSE: CAG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $14.79 (+1.51% 1D, market cap $6.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CAG ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CAG compare to LW and CPB in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), CAG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.9%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, LW (Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 25.3x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $7.45B) and CPB (The Campbell's Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAG?

Per CAG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0000023217), ConAgra Brands Inc. generated $11.28B in revenue (-2.9% YoY), -$1.92B in net income, and $978.7M in free cash flow against $19.54B in total assets and $5.15B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CAG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CAG last traded at $14.79 (+1.51% on volume of 14,341,995 shares), positioning the stock +1.58% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.56) and -3.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.25). Across its 52-week range of $12.53 to $20.32, CAG sits at the 29.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.0% ($13.90 to $15.68).

Direct Sub-Reports: CAG RQD Cockpit CAG 12M Forecast CAG Earnings & Move CAG Dividends & DRIP CAG Insiders & 13F CAG Whale Options CAG Profit Sankey CAG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 49/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CAG β€” ConAgra Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-05-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.79 (+1.51% 1D, market capitalization $6.96B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -10.0%, gross margin of 23.9%, operating margin of -14.4%, and free cash flow yield of 14.55%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.07x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.06, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.59x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector and Packaged Foods industry. The profile identifies the company as a packaged-foods operator with a market capitalization of $6.7B. Per the market data, gross margin is 23.9%, indicating the economics of its product sales.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-05-31), ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) reported $11.28B in annual revenue (up from $11.61B in FY2024, -2.9% YoY) and -$1.92B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.05B revenue, $347.7M net income) through FY2025, CAG scaled operating cash flow to $1.40B and free cash flow to $978.7M, backed by $19.54B in total assets against $5.15B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 49/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 14.55% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.53 – $20.32 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against -14.4% operating margins and a 1.07x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Packaged Foods (Consumer Staples), CAG carries a macro regime beta of 1.07 and gross margin of 23.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CAG sustain or expand its -14.4% operating margin and -10.0% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $11.28B and free cash flow of $978.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.15B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CAG's 23.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.07x)?

CAG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ConAgra Brands Inc. (CAG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CAG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CAG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $14.79?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CAG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.23 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 14.55% FCF yield and 9.96% dividend yield offer high cash return relative to the $14.09 price.

Long CAG at $14.57 targeting $19.23. A 14.55% FCF yield and 9.96% dividend yield offer high cash return relative to the $14.09 price.. Institutional whale score is 9/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $12.53 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $14.57 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Staples.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.07 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $14.57

Negative ROIC of -10%, an Altman Z of 1.06, and a Piotroski F of 4/9 signal weak fundamentals and balance-sheet strain.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CAG: Negative ROIC of -10%, an Altman Z of 1.06, and a Piotroski F of 4/9 signal weak fundamentals and balance-sheet strain.. At 23.0x forward P/E, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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